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Austin — Puebla

Football 10.08.2026 01:00 UTC
Favourite Austin best odds 1.75

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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USA. MLS. Outrights
USA. MLS. Outrights
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
10.08.2026 01:00 UTC Cup lig MLS + MX. 2 round
Finished

USA. MLS. Outrights

Austin - Puebla

Football
Austin
Austin
3 : 0
Finished
Puebla
Puebla

Austin take on Puebla on August 10, 2026 in the USA. MLS. Outrights.

Recent form (W-D-L): Austin 2-0-3, Puebla 1-1-3. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Austin (odds2.02) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • Model backs Ostin FK: probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 2.02)
  • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Austin - Puebla August 10, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Austin. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.70 / X 4.20 / 2 4.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.6% 6 books · best price +1.5%
1 54.5%
X 23.1%
2 22.5%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Leagues Cup
League table
Austin
#16 ptsGP 22-0-05:0
Puebla
#360 ptsGP 20-0-22:8
Best price across 14 books
1 1.75 Superbet
X 4.27 Pinnacle
2 4.75 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Austin
W-D-L 3-0-3 Scored 1.61 Conceded 1.33 xG 1.37 xGA 1.39 Corners 5.3
Puebla
W-D-L 2-2-5 Scored 1.29 Conceded 2.08 xG 1.15 xGA 2.24 Corners 5.3

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Injuries and absences
Desler, Mikkel — Travmirovan Bell, Dzhon — Travmirovan

Source: gismo_stats

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Austin
54%
1.75
Draw
23%
4.22
Puebla
23%
4.32
Handicap
Austin (0)
70%
1.34
Puebla (0)
30%
3.10
Total
Over 3
49%
1.92
Under 3
51%
1.82
Both teams to score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.28

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Absences

Injuries and absences

Austin
  • Mikkel DeslerOut
  • Dzhon BellOut
Puebla
No absences

Injury and absence data - for reference.

Play-by-play

Match timeline

AustinPuebla
  • 4' Goal Austin
  • 4' Goal Austin
  • 5' Goal Puebla
  • 7' Goal Austin
  • 7' Goal Austin
  • 9' Yellow card Puebla
  • 14' Yellow card Puebla
  • 18' Goal Puebla
  • 21' Goal Puebla
  • 28' Yellow card Austin
  • 34' Goal Austin
  • 34' Goal Austin
  • 39' Red card Austin
  • 44' Yellow card Puebla
  • 45' Goal Austin
  • 46' Substitution Austin
  • 48' Goal Austin
  • 50' Goal Puebla
  • 51' Goal Austin
  • 53' Goal Puebla
  • 56' Substitution Puebla
  • 56' Substitution Puebla
  • 62' Substitution Austin
  • 62' Substitution Austin
  • 62' Substitution Austin
  • 63' Goal Puebla
  • 64' Goal Austin
  • 65' Goal Austin
  • 77' Goal Puebla
  • 78' Yellow card Puebla
  • 79' Substitution Austin
  • 80' Goal Austin
  • 81' Goal Austin
  • 82' Goal Austin
  • 82' Substitution Puebla
  • 82' Substitution Puebla
  • 88' Goal Austin
  • 90' Substitution Puebla
  • 90' Goal Puebla
  • 90' Goal Austin

Play-by-play: gismo. For reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Austin 2 : 2 Puebla
11.69
X4.15
24.18

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 10.08.2026 01:00 UTC
Market 1 55.3% @ 1.70 / X 22.4% @ 4.20 / 2 22.4% @ 4.20
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Match center

Austin - Puebla

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Ostin - Puebla, 10 avgusta 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Cup lig MLS + MX, Cup lig MLS + MX. 2-y Round. Ostin - Puebla, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.

Form 5/5 recent games
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 54.4% fact: home hit / ROI 75.0% / Brier 0.312 / LogLoss 0.609
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 54.4% fact: home hit / ROI 75.0% / Brier 0.312 / LogLoss 0.609
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.20 Fonbet · line only
X 4.20 Fonbet · line only
1 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.20 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.20 Fonbet · line only
X2 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.68 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.40 Fonbet · line only
2 0 3.05 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.30 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
no 2.25 44.4% 2.28 43.9% 2.28 43.9% 2.23 44.8%
yes 1.60 62.5% 1.56 64.1% 1.56 64.1% 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
12 1.19 84.0% 1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3% 1.47 68.0% 1.47 68.0%
1x 1.19 84.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5%
x2 1.96 51.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 1.55 64.5% 1.55 64.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.17 46.1%
X 2.55 39.2%
4.41 22.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.53 65.4%
Over 1.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 1 2.35 42.6%
Under 1.5 1.57 63.7%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0, avg 3.0 gls
2026-08-10 · Ostin 3:0 Puebla
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.9 (Betcity) · X 4.3 (Winline) · 2 4.1 (Fonbet)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.85 4.1 3.55
Winline 1.68 4.3 4
Fonbet 1.77 3.9 4.1
Betcity 1.9 4.3 3.3
Liga Stavok 1.82 3.65 3.65
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

52 Ball possession 48
11 Vsego udarov 12
5 Shots on target 3
4 Shots off target 5
6 Udary ot vorot 6
2 Blokirovannye udary 4
16 Shtrafnye 10
7 Corners 8
1 Offsides 1
14 Auty 16
3 Saves 2
9 Fouls 15
1 Cards total 4
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
0 Second yellows 0
1 Travmy 0
5 Substitutions 5
Source: ruscore
Austin
W L L W L
2026-08-07 Leagues Cup 2026, Liga MX
Austin Austin 2:0 Tijuana
2026-08-02 MLS 2026
Austin Colorado Rapids 1:0 Austin
2026-07-26 MLS 2026
Austin Houston Dynamo 3:0 Austin
2026-07-23 MLS 2026
Austin Austin 3:1 Seattle Sounders
2026-05-23 MLS 2026
Austin St. Louis City 3:0 Austin
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Puebla
L D L W L
2026-08-07 Leagues Cup 2026, Liga MX
Portland Timbers 5:2 Puebla Puebla
2026-08-01 Liga MX 26/27, Apertura
Puebla 1:1 Chivas Guadalajara Puebla
2026-07-22 Liga MX 26/27, Apertura
Cruz Azul 2:1 Puebla Puebla
2026-07-18 Liga MX 26/27, Apertura
Juarez 0:1 Puebla Puebla
2026-04-25 Liga MX, Clausura 2026
Puebla 1:2 Queretaro Puebla
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Austin - Puebla

Austin
0 matches total
Puebla
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Austin
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Puebla
Austin Team comparison Puebla
1 Games 1
1 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 1
2 Scored 2
0 Conceded 5
3 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Myurto Uzuni 1:0 4' Myurto Uzuni 2:0 7' Myurto Uzuni 3:0 34'
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Ostin Puebla 1 Games 1 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 1 2 Scored 2 0 Conceded 5 3 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Myurto Uzuni 1:0 4' Myurto Uzuni 2:0 7' Myurto Uzuni 3:0 34' Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 63% -1% 38% Double chance 31% 50% 19% Materialy po prognozam «Inter Mayami» — «Ostin». Bekkhem nuzhdaetsya v Messi «Ostin» — «Dallas». Sebastyan Driussi nashel sebya v MLS CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1330500' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Cup lig MLS + MX Turnirnaya Standings

Frequently asked questions

When does Austin vs Puebla start?

August 10, 2026.