USA. MLS. Outrights
Tigres Monterrey - Duluth FC
Tigres Monterrey take on Duluth FC on August 5, 2026 in the USA. MLS. Outrights.
PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 35% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Duluth FC — 40%
Pure model vs market (2 · Duluth FC): model 42% · market 40% Δ +2 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Tigres Monterrey 35.2%, draw 24.9%, win Duluth FC 39.9%. Model favourite — Duluth FC.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Real Solt-Leyk: probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.30)
- • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Tigres Monterrey - Duluth FC August 5, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Duluth FC.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.65 / X 3.80 / 2 2.36
- Glicko: Tigres Monterrey 35.2% / X 24.9% / Duluth FC 39.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Baltbet, Betcity). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Tigres Monterrey - Duluth FC
Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi UANL Tigres - Real Solt-Leyk, 5 avgusta 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Cup lig MLS + MX, Cup lig MLS + MX. 1-y Round. UANL Tigres - Real Solt-Leyk, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.
What data is collected and where it is shown
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.46 40.7% |
| yes | 1.51 66.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.24 80.7% |
| 1x | 1.51 66.2% | 1.55 64.5% |
| x2 | 1.41 70.9% | 1.44 69.4% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.25 30.8% | |
| X | 2.36 42.4% |
| 2.86 35.0% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.56 64.1% |
| Under 1 | 2.33 42.9% |
Form & head-to-head
Odds · 5 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2.85 | 3.75 | 2.2 |
| Winline | 2.16 | 3.6 | 1.7 |
| Fonbet | 2.8 | 3.95 | 2.18 |
| Betcity | 3 | 3.9 | 2.1 |
| Liga Stavok | 2.8 | 3.5 | 2.19 |
Match stats
Tigres Monterrey
Duluth FC
Full head-to-head historyTigres Monterrey - Duluth FC
Match history
UANL Tigres Real Solt-Leyk 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Khuan Brunetta 1:0 6' Pablo Ruis 1 16' Poslematchevye penalti Khuan Sanabriya 0:1 Khuan Brunetta 1 Sergi Solans 1:2 Fernando Gorriaran 2 Diego Luna 2:3 Rodrigo Agirre 3 Noel Caliskan 3:4 Sesar Araukho 4 Lukas Engel 4:5 Alan Franko 5 Zach Booth 5 Khesus Garsa 6:5 Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 46% 31% 23% Double chance 39% 34% 27% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1330536' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Cup lig MLS + MX Turnirnaya Standings
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form