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USA. MLS
USA. MLS
02.08.2026 01:30 UTC MLS
Finished

USA. MLS

Colorado Rapids - Austin

Football
C
Colorado Rapids
0 : 0
Finished
A
Austin

Colorado Rapids meet Austin on August 2, 2026 in the USA. MLS.

Recent form (W-D-L): Colorado Rapids 2-1-2, Austin 1-0-4. The bookmaker line makes Colorado Rapids the favourite at about 54%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 54% to win — broadly in line with the market. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Colorado Rapids54%

Pure model vs market (1 · Colorado Rapids): model 56% · market 54% Δ +2 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Colorado Rapids53.8%
X · draw24.1%
2 · Austin22.2%

Model estimate: win Colorado Rapids 53.8%, draw 24.1%, win Austin 22.2%. Model favourite — Colorado Rapids.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Colorado Rapids (odds1.96) Score 2:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Kolorado Repids: probability 50% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.96)
  • no edge over the line (-1 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Colorado Rapids - Austin August 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Colorado Rapids.

Strongest: Colorado Rapids - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.76 / X 3.87 / 2 4.28
  • 1X2 market: Colorado Rapids 53.6% / X 24.4% / Austin 22.0%
  • Glicko: Colorado Rapids 53.8% / X 24.1% / Austin 22.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.0%
1 53.6%
X 24.4%
2 22.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Major League Soccer
League table
Colorado Rapids
#2022 ptsGP 187-1-1027:25
Austin
#2617 ptsGP 184-5-922:36
Best price across 13 books
1 1.78 Betano
X 4.03 Pinnacle
2 4.55 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Colorado Rapids
W-D-L 2-1-7 Scored 0.70 Conceded 1.29 xG 1.39 xGA 1.83 Corners 4.7
Austin
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 1.40 Conceded 2.40 xG 1.29 xGA 1.70 Corners 3.6

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Colorado Rapids
Rating 1491 xG 1.57 Win 49%
Austin
Rating 1448 xG 1.05 Win 25%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Colorado Rapids 1 : 1 Austin
11.76
X4.30
24.34

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 01:30 UTC
Market 1 53.6% @ 1.76 / X 24.4% @ 3.87 / 2 22.0% @ 4.28
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Colorado Rapids 54%
💹 Market Colorado Rapids 5359%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Colorado Rapids - Austin

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Kolorado Repidz - Ostin, 2 avgusta 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, tochnyy schet. Championship USA po futbolu 2026 MLS (MLS), MLS. Kolorado Repidz - Ostin, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Lineup / squad Line
More needed
Movement Line history
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 53.8% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.915 / LogLoss 1.425
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 53.8% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.915 / LogLoss 1.425
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Colorado Rapids 53.6% 53.8% market and model agree
Draw 24.3% 24.1% draw risk
Austin 22.1% 22.2%
xG - 1.59 : 1.00
1X2: 15 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 53.8% / 24.1% / 22.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,600 / 1,363 Colorado Rapids / Austin
RD 291 / 254 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,017-2,182 / 856-1,871 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.27 market consensus · no value · model 22.2%
X 1.12 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.27 Fonbet · no value · model 53.8%
Double chance
12 5.30 Fonbet · weak value +302.5% · model 75.9%
1X 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 77.8%
X2 3.60 Fonbet · weak value +66.5% · model 46.2%
Handicap
2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.06 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.59 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.55 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.68 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Dafabet
1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2%
X 3.85 26.0% 3.75 26.7% 3.85 26.0% 4.00 25.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.95 25.3%
4.30 23.3% 4.75 21.1% 4.40 22.7% 4.33 23.1% 4.20 23.8% 4.40 22.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.01 99.0% 2.20 45.5%
yes 12.00 8.3% 1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 5.30 18.9%
1x 1.20 83.3% 1.21 82.6% 1.01 99.0%
x2 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 3.60 27.8%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 10.00 10.0%
0_1 12.00 8.3%
0_2 21.00 4.8%
0_3 46.00 2.2%
0_4 101.00 1.0%
1_0 7.00 14.3%
1_1 6.50 15.4%
1_2 11.00 9.1%
1_3 26.00 3.9%
1_4 67.00 1.5%
2_0 8.00 12.5%
2_1 6.50 15.4%
2_2 11.00 9.1%
2_3 26.00 3.9%
2_4 67.00 1.5%
3_0 12.00 8.3%
3_1 10.00 10.0%
3_2 17.00 5.9%
Match center
Lineup summary
  • 41 vr Nicholas Defreitas
  • 4 zsch Redzhi Kennon
  • 22 zsch Lukas Kherrington
  • 5 zsch Loic Williams
  • 29 zsch Migel Navarro
  • 8 pz Khamzat Odzhediran
  • 13 pz Wayne Frederick
  • 10 pz Paksten Aaronson
  • 93 pz Georgi Minungu
  • 7 np Dante Sili
Colorado Rapids

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Austin

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

SStats Market - Glicko - Form - H2H
Match center
Colorado Rapids
L W D L W
2026-07-26 MLS 2026
Colorado Rapids St. Louis City 1:0 Colorado Rapids
2026-07-23 MLS 2026
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 1:0 San Diego
2026-07-10 Club Friendly Games 2026
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 1:1 Juarez
2026-05-24 MLS 2026
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 1:2 Dallas
2026-05-21 US Open Cup 2026
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 2:0 San Jose Earthquakes
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points
Austin
L W L L L
2026-07-26 MLS 2026
Houston Dynamo 3:0 Austin Austin
2026-07-23 MLS 2026
Austin 3:1 Seattle Sounders Austin
2026-05-23 MLS 2026
St. Louis City 3:0 Austin Austin
2026-05-17 MLS 2026
Austin 1:2 Sporting Kansas City Austin
2026-05-14 MLS 2026
San Diego 5:0 Austin Austin
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.8 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyColorado Rapids - Austin

Colorado Rapids
0 matches total
Austin
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Colorado Rapids
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Austin
Colorado Rapids Team comparison Austin
17 Games 17
6 Wins 4
1 Draws 5
10 Losses 8
26 Scored 22
25 Conceded 35
19 Points 17
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
9.46 Shots on goal 10.63
3.76 Udary v stvor 4.06
17 Games 17
6 Wins 4
1 Draws 5
10 Losses 8
26 Scored 22
25 Conceded 35

Kolorado Repidz Ostin 17 Games 17 6 Wins 4 1 Draws 5 10 Losses 8 26 Scored 22 25 Conceded 35 19 Points 17 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 9.46 Shots on goal 10.63 3.76 Udary v stvor 4.06 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.35 Uglovye 4.29 0.88 Offsaydy 1.06 13.06 Foly 10.94 51.94 % vladeniya myachom 48.35 2.82 Warnings 2 0.29 Sendoffs 0.06 Sleduyuschiy match 10.09.2026 USA — Major League Soccer Ostin –:– Kolorado Repidz MLS Goly Rafael Navarro 1:0 90+4' Nakazaniya Ervin Torres 70' Dzhozef Rosales 72' Myurto Uzuni 90+3' Rafael Navarro 90+5'