AI verdict

AI pick Houston Dynamo win probability ~56% confidence Medium best odds 1.70

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Houston Dynamo. Full breakdown below.

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USA. MLS
USA. MLS
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
25.07.2026 22:30 UTC MLS
Finished

USA. MLS

Houston Dynamo vs Austin — Football prediction

Football
Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo
3 : 0
Finished
Austin
Austin

Houston Dynamo take on Austin on July 25, 2026 in the USA. MLS.

Recent form (W-D-L): Houston Dynamo 0-1-0, Austin 1-0-0. Sportsbooks lean towards Houston Dynamo, an implied 56% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Double chance Houston Dynamo or draw 1.06

Model confidence 80% ~82% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Austin (odds2.44) Score 0:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Ostin FK: probability 50% vs 41% on the line (odds 2.44)
  • edge over the line +9 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Houston Dynamo - Austin July 25, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Houston Dynamo.

Line favourite market consensus: Houston Dynamo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.70 / X 3.92 / 2 4.68
  • 1X2 market: Houston Dynamo 55.7% / X 24.1% / Austin 20.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.1% 16 books · best price +47.1%
1 55.8%
X 24.1%
2 20.1%

Odds source: consensus of 16 books (10Bet, Bet365, Bet365 (no latency), BetVictor, Betano, Betcity). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Major League Soccer
League table
Houston Dynamo
#526 ptsGP 168-2-623:24
WDDWL
Austin
#1417 ptsGP 174-5-822:35
LWLLL
Best price across 12 books
1 1.72 Betano
X 4.04 Pinnacle
2 5.10 Betano

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Houston Dynamo
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.20 Conceded 1.40 xG 1.44 xGA 1.59 Corners 3.2
Austin
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 1.50 Conceded 2.30 xG 1.34 xGA 1.64 Corners 3.6

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Houston Dynamo
Rating 1519 xG 1.56 Win 51%
Austin
Rating 1465 xG 0.96 Win 23%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Houston Dynamo 2 : 1 Austin
11.73
X4.05
24.89

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Stadium Shell Enerdzhi Stadium
Start 25.07.2026 22:30 UTC
Market 1 55.7% @ 1.70 / X 24.1% @ 3.92 / 2 20.2% @ 4.68
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$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Houston Dynamo - Austin

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Khyuston Dinamo - Ostin, 26 iyulya 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Championship USA po futbolu 2026 MLS (MLS), MLS. Khyuston Dinamo - Ostin, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.

Form 1/1 recent games
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 54.6% fact: home hit / Brier 0.310 / LogLoss 0.606
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 54.6% fact: home hit / Brier 0.310 / LogLoss 0.606
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.61 market consensus · line only
X 3.88 market consensus · line only
1 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.03 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.06 Fonbet · line only
X2 7.20 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.45 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.16 market consensus · line only
2 0 6.40 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 6.20 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Yes 5.20 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Dafabet
1.68 59.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.74 57.5%
X 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0% 4.15 24.1% 4.00 25.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.95 25.3%
4.60 21.7% 5.00 20.0% 4.85 20.6% 4.75 21.1% 4.75 21.1% 4.70 21.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.12 89.3% 2.04 49.0%
yes 5.20 19.2% 1.78 56.2%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
12 1.34 74.6% 1.03 97.1%
1x 1.39 71.9% 1.06 94.3%
x2 1.47 68.0% 7.20 13.9%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 10.00 10.0%
0_1 12.00 8.3%
0_2 23.00 4.4%
0_3 56.00 1.8%
0_4 126.00 0.8%
1_0 6.50 15.4%
1_1 6.50 15.4%
1_2 12.00 8.3%
1_3 31.00 3.2%
1_4 81.00 1.2%
2_0 7.50 13.3%
2_1 6.50 15.4%
2_2 12.00 8.3%
2_3 31.00 3.2%
2_4 81.00 1.2%
3_0 11.00 9.1%
3_1 10.00 10.0%
3_2 17.00 5.9%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 4-1-5, avg 2.4 gls
2026-07-26 · Khyuston Dinamo 3:0 Ostin
2026-04-26 · Khyuston Dinamo 0:2 Ostin
2025-08-10 · Khyuston Dinamo 2:2 Ostin
2025-05-22 · Khyuston Dinamo 1:3 Ostin
2025-04-27 · Khyuston Dinamo 2:0 Ostin
Source: ruscore

Match stats

52 Ball possession 48
11 Vsego udarov 8
4 Shots on target 4
6 Shots off target 3
12 Udary ot vorot 9
1 Blokirovannye udary 1
10 Shtrafnye 11
1 Corners 6
3 Offsides 0
5 Auty 13
2 Saves 1
12 Fouls 10
2 Cards total 2
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
0 Second yellows 0
0 Travmy 0
5 Substitutions 5
Source: ruscore
Houston Dynamo
D
22.07 22:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
Houston Dynamo 1:1 DS YunaytedDS Yunayted
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Austin
W
22.07 23:30 UTC USA: MLS Standings
Austin 3:1 Sietl SaundersSietl Saunders
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Houston Dynamo - Austin

Houston Dynamo
0 matches total
Austin
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Houston Dynamo
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Austin
Houston Dynamo Team comparison Austin
15 Games 16
7 Wins 4
2 Draws 5
6 Losses 7
20 Scored 22
24 Conceded 32
23 Points 17
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
13.46 Shots on goal 10.33
4.67 Shots on target 4
Sendoffs 0.06 Goly Mateush Bogush Esekel Ponse 1:0 12' Mateush Bogush Guilherme Augusto 2:0 29' Guilherme Augusto Agustin Bousat 3:0 32' Nakazaniya Ile Sanches 18' Andrade Felipe 42' Lukas Alter 62' Besard Shabovich 62'

Khyuston Dynamo Ostin 15 Games 16 7 Wins 4 2 Draws 5 6 Losses 7 20 Scored 22 24 Conceded 32 23 Points 17 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 13.46 Shots on goal 10.33 4.67 Udary v stvor 4 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.13 Uglovye 4.19 1.27 Offsaydy 1.13 10.4 Foly 11 44.2 % vladeniya myachom 48 2 Warnings 2 0.33 Sendoffs 0.06 Goly Mateush Bogush Esekel Ponse 1:0 12' Mateush Bogush Guilherme Augusto 2:0 29' Guilherme Augusto Agustin Bousat 3:0 32' Nakazaniya Ile Sanches 18' Andrade Felipe 42' Lukas Alter 62' Besard Shabovich 62'

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Houston Dynamo vs Austin?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Houston Dynamo. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Houston Dynamo vs Austin?

Live odds for Houston Dynamo vs Austin from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Houston Dynamo vs Austin start?

July 25, 2026.