AI verdict

AI pick Inter Miami win probability ~41% best odds 2.32

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Inter Miami. Full breakdown below.

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USA. MLS
USA. MLS
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
22.07.2026 21:30 UTC MLS
Finished

USA. MLS

Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire — Football prediction

Football
Inter Miami
Inter Miami
3 : 2
Finished
Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire

Inter Miami take on Chicago Fire on July 22, 2026 in the USA. MLS.

The bookmaker line makes Inter Miami the favourite at about 41%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Inter Miami (odds2.28) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • Model backs Inter Mayami: probability 50% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.28)
  • edge over the line +6 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Inter Miami - Chicago Fire July 22, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inter Miami.

Line favourite market consensus: Inter Miami. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.32 / X 3.99 / 2 2.65
  • 1X2 market: Inter Miami 40.6% / X 23.7% / Chicago Fire 35.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.2% 17 books · best price +4.3%
1 40.5%
X 23.8%
2 35.7%

Odds source: consensus of 17 books (10Bet, Baltbet, Bet365, Bet365 (no latency), BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Major League Soccer
League table
Inter Miami
#234 ptsGP 1610-4-242:30
WWWWW
Chicago Fire
#326 ptsGP 158-2-529:19
LWWWL
Best price across 12 books
1 2.45 Bet365
X 4.05 Betano
2 3.05 Superbet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Inter Miami
W-D-L 6-3-1 Scored 3.01 Conceded 2.00 xG 2.38 xGA 1.29 Corners 6.6
Chicago Fire
W-D-L 7-1-2 Scored 2.20 Conceded 1.20 xG 1.92 xGA 1.26 Corners 4.3

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Inter Miami
Rating 1666 xG 1.52 Win 36%
Chicago Fire
Rating 1540 xG 1.60 Win 40%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Inter Miami 2 : 2 Chicago Fire
12.44
X4.16
22.64

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:3/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen

Google AI updated21.07.2026 22:00 UTC
1 35% ✓ favourite
X 35%
2 30%
Score2:2 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:X2 (Chikago Fayr ne proigraet)
Per AI data H2H: 3-5
Kimi updated21.07.2026 22:10 UTC
1 38% ✓ favourite
X 28%
2 34%
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 3.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:X2 (double chance Chikago Fayr)
GLM 5.2 updated21.07.2026 22:11 UTC
1 40% ✓ favourite
X 30%
2 30%
Score2:1 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:1X
Per AI data H2H: 3-2

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 35% 35% 30% 2:2 Over 2.5 Yes X2 (Chikago Fayr ne proigraet)
Kimi 38% 28% 34% 1:1 Under 3.5 Yes X2 (double chance Chikago Fayr)
GLM 5.2 40% 30% 30% 2:1 Over 2.5 Yes 1X

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Match center
Stadium Di-Er-Vi Pi-En-Ka Stadium
Start 22.07.2026 21:30 UTC
Market 1 40.7% @ 2.32 / X 23.7% @ 3.99 / 2 35.6% @ 2.65
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Inter Miami 38%
💹 Market Inter Miami 4061%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Inter Miami - Chicago Fire

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Inter Mayami - Chikago Fayr, 23 iyulya 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Championship USA po futbolu 2026 MLS (MLS), MLS. Inter Mayami - Chikago Fayr, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.

Post-match / SStats
Score 3:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line home - 40.5% fact: home hit / ROI 145.0% / Brier 0.538 / LogLoss 0.905
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line home - 40.5% fact: home hit / ROI 145.0% / Brier 0.538 / LogLoss 0.905
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.40 Fonbet · line only
X 1.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 2.55 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.16 Fonbet · line only
X2 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.90 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.05 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.15 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.13 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 5.10 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 4.05 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.20 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Dafabet
2.28 43.9% 2.45 40.8% 2.35 42.6% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.37 42.2%
X 4.10 24.4% 4.00 25.0% 4.05 24.7% 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0% 4.10 24.4%
2.56 39.1% 2.55 39.2% 2.65 37.7% 2.63 38.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.70 37.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 4.05 24.7% 3.30 30.3%
yes 1.20 83.3% 1.34 74.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 2.55 39.2%
1x 1.45 69.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.16 86.2%
x2 1.55 64.5% 1.56 64.1% 9.00 11.1%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 31.00 3.2%
0_1 15.00 6.7%
0_2 17.00 5.9%
0_3 26.00 3.9%
0_4 51.00 2.0%
0_5 101.00 1.0%
1_0 13.00 7.7%
1_1 8.00 12.5%
1_2 9.00 11.1%
1_3 13.00 7.7%
1_4 29.00 3.5%
1_5 67.00 1.5%
2_0 15.00 6.7%
2_1 8.50 11.8%
2_2 9.00 11.1%
2_3 13.00 7.7%
2_4 29.00 3.5%
2_5 67.00 1.5%
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Inter Miami
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Chicago Fire
Inter Miami Team comparison Chicago Fire
15 Games 14
9 Wins 8
4 Draws 2
2 Losses 4
39 Scored 27
28 Conceded 16
31 Points 26
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
16.62 Shots on goal 15.15
6.93 Shots on target 5.21
Inter Mayami MLS Goly Rokko Rios Novo 0:1 18' Luis Suares 1 27' Luis Suares Kherman Berterame 2:1 51' Puso Dithejane Maren Khayle-Selassi 2 67' Preston Plambeck 3:2 87' Nakazaniya Dzhek Elliott 64' Serkhio Regilon 90+7'

Inter Mayami Chikago Fayr 15 Games 14 9 Wins 8 4 Draws 2 Losses 4 39 Scored 27 28 Conceded 16 31 Points 26 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 16.62 Shots on goal 15.15 6.93 Udary v stvor 5.21 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 6 Uglovye 4.64 1.67 Offsaydy 1.5 13.4 Foly 12.64 53.07 % vladeniya myachom 53.5 2.87 Warnings 2.5 0.07 Sendoffs 0.07 Sleduyuschiy match 10.09.2026 USA — Major League Soccer Chikago Fayr –:– Inter Mayami MLS Goly Rokko Rios Novo 0:1 18' Luis Suares 1 27' Luis Suares Kherman Berterame 2:1 51' Puso Dithejane Maren Khayle-Selassi 2 67' Preston Plambeck 3:2 87' Nakazaniya Dzhek Elliott 64' Serkhio Regilon 90+7'

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Inter Miami. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire?

Live odds for Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire start?

July 22, 2026.