Denver Summit (w) face Boston Legacy (w) on August 3, 2026 in the USA: Womens League Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Denver Summit (w) 2-1-2, Boston Legacy (w) 3-1-1. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 54% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1Denver Summit (w) — 54%
Pure model vs market (1 · Denver Summit (w)): model 29% · market 15%Δ +14 ppmodel estimates above the market
54%1
1 · Denver Summit (w)53.6%
X · draw24.3%
2 · Boston Legacy (w)22.1%
Model estimate: win Denver Summit (w) 53.6%, draw 24.3%, win Boston Legacy (w) 22.1%. Model favourite — Denver Summit (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
•Model backs Boston Legacy (Zh): probability 50% vs 47% on the line (odds 2.13)
•edge over the line +3 pp — value pick
•Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Denver Summit (w) - Boston Legacy (w) August 3, 2026
Football math model
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.
Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 6.10 / X 1.20 / 2 9.50
Glicko: Denver Summit (w) 53.6% / X 24.3% / Boston Legacy (w) 22.1%
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.3%
114.9%
X75.6%
29.5%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Denver Summit (w)
Rating 1497
Boston Legacy (w)
Rating 1436
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
🧮
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Denver Summit (w)2:2Boston Legacy (w)
11.61
X3.90
24.47
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
OptionSignalPrediction / actualRating
Glicko-2: base favouriteAudit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 53.6% fact: draw
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.910 / LogLoss 1.416
Glicko-2: calibrated favouriteAudit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 53.6% fact: draw
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.910 / LogLoss 1.416
Market and Glicko
Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Denver Summit (w)55.2%53.6%market and model agree
Draw24.3%24.3%draw risk
Boston Legacy (w)20.5%22.1%
1X2: 3 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P253.6% / 24.3% / 22.1%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating1,350 / 1,694
Denver Summit (w) / Boston Legacy (w)
RD209 / 183
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD932-1,767 / 1,329-2,059
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
29.50
Fonbet · no value · model 22.1%
X1.20
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
16.10
Fonbet · weak value +227.1% · model 53.6%
Double chance
123.75
Fonbet · weak value +184.0% · model 75.7%
1X1.04
Fonbet · no value · model 77.9%
X21.10
Fonbet · no value · model 46.4%
Handicap
2 +11.65
market consensus · line only
2 02.90
Fonbet · line only
1 -12.10
market consensus · line only
1 01.35
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.51.64
market consensus · line only
Under 2.51.01
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No1.60
Fonbet · line only
Yes2.20
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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