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USA. Women. NWSL
USA. Women. NWSL
01.08.2026 22:30 UTC
Finished

USA. Women. NWSL

Kansas City (w) - Angel City (w)

Football
K
Kansas City (w)
1 : 1
Finished
A
Angel City (w)

Kansas City (w) meet Angel City (w) on August 1, 2026 in the USA. Women. NWSL.

Recent form (W-D-L): Kansas City (w) 2-1-2, Angel City (w) 3-0-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Kansas City (w), an implied 44% to win. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 44% to win — broadly in line with the market. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Kansas City (w)44%

Pure model vs market (1 · Kansas City (w)): model 37% · market 44% Δ −7 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Kansas City (w)43.8%
X · draw26.3%
2 · Angel City (w)29.9%

Model estimate: win Kansas City (w) 43.8%, draw 26.3%, win Angel City (w) 29.9%. Model favourite — Kansas City (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Angel City (w) (odds1.87) Score 1:2 confidence 53% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Angel City (Zh): probability 53% vs 53% on the line (odds 1.87)
  • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kansas City (w) - Angel City (w) August 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kansas City (w).

Strongest: Kansas City (w) - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.04 / X 3.38 / 2 3.04
  • 1X2 market: Kansas City (w) 43.9% / X 26.6% / Angel City (w) 29.5%
  • Glicko: Kansas City (w) 43.8% / X 26.3% / Angel City (w) 29.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.5%
1 44.0%
X 26.5%
2 29.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

NWSL Women
League table
Kansas City (w)
#628 ptsGP 179-1-728:24
Angel City (w)
#922 ptsGP 157-1-723:16
Best price across 12 books
1 2.14 Pinnacle
X 3.60 Betfair
2 3.35 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Kansas City (w)
W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 2.10 Conceded 1.01 xG 1.82 xGA 1.11 Corners 4.5
Angel City (w)
W-D-L 4-1-5 Scored 1.21 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.45 xGA 1.26 Corners 5.1

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Kansas City (w)
Rating 1534 xG 1.48 Win 43%
Angel City (w)
Rating 1488 xG 1.21 Win 31%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Kansas City (w) 2 : 1 Angel City (w)
11.98
X3.50
23.22

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 22:30 UTC
Market 1 44.0% @ 2.04 / X 26.5% @ 3.38 / 2 29.5% @ 3.04
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Kansas City (w) 44%
💹 Market Kansas City (w) 4391%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Kansas City (w) - Angel City (w)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kansas City (w) 44.3% 43.8% market and model agree
Draw 26.4% 26.3% draw risk
Angel City (w) 29.3% 29.9%
xG - 1.48 : 1.21
1X2: 13 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 43.8% / 26.3% / 29.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,506 / 1,644 Kansas City (w) / Angel City (w)
RD 185 / 205 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,135-1,877 / 1,235-2,053 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.70 Fonbet · no value · model 29.9%
X 1.23 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 5.80 Fonbet · no value · model 43.8%
Double chance
12 3.30 Fonbet · weak value +143.3% · model 73.7%
1X 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 70.1%
X2 1.09 Fonbet · no value · model 56.2%
Handicap
2 0 2.15 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.62 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.19 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.61 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.44 29.1% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.10 32.3%
3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.00 33.3% 2.75 36.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.19 45.7%
yes 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 3.30 30.3%
1x 1.05 95.2%
x2 1.09 91.7%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 11.00 9.1%
0_1 9.50 10.5%
0_2 13.00 7.7%
0_3 31.00 3.2%
0_4 67.00 1.5%
1_0 7.50 13.3%
1_1 6.00 16.7%
1_2 9.00 11.1%
1_3 19.00 5.3%
1_4 51.00 2.0%
1_5 126.00 0.8%
2_0 9.50 10.5%
2_1 7.00 14.3%
2_2 11.00 9.1%
2_3 23.00 4.4%
2_4 56.00 1.8%
3_0 17.00 5.9%
3_1 13.00 7.7%
Match center
Kansas City (w)
W L D L W
2026-07-30 National Womens Soccer League 2026
Kansas City (w) Kansas City (w) 5:1 Racing Louisville (w)
2026-07-25 National Womens Soccer League 2026
Kansas City (w) Boston Legacy (w) 1:0 Kansas City (w)
2026-07-18 National Womens Soccer League 2026
Kansas City (w) Kansas City (w) 2:2 San Diego Wave (w)
2026-07-11 National Womens Soccer League 2026
Kansas City (w) Orlando Pride (w) 3:0 Kansas City (w)
2026-07-04 National Womens Soccer League 2026
Kansas City (w) Denver Summit (w) 0:3 Kansas City (w)
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Angel City (w)
L W W W L
2026-07-27 National Womens Soccer League 2026
Angel City (w) 1:2 Racing Louisville (w) Angel City (w)
2026-07-18 National Womens Soccer League 2026
Chicago Red Stars (w) 0:2 Angel City (w) Angel City (w)
2026-07-12 National Womens Soccer League 2026
San Diego Wave (w) 0:2 Angel City (w) Angel City (w)
2026-07-04 National Womens Soccer League 2026
Angel City (w) 2:0 Orlando Pride (w) Angel City (w)
2026-05-31 National Womens Soccer League 2026
Angel City (w) 1:2 North Carolina Courage (w) Angel City (w)
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKansas City (w) - Angel City (w)

Kansas City (w)
1 matches total
Angel City (w)
Kansas City (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Angel City (w): 1 (100%)
Biggest win Angel City (w) 2:1 (2026-05-21) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 2026-05-21) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

2026-05-21 National Womens Soccer League 2026
Angel City (w) 2:1 Kansas City (w)