USA. Women. NWSL
Racing Louisville (w) meet Chicago Red Stars (w) on August 1, 2026 in the USA. Women. NWSL.
Recent form (W-D-L): Racing Louisville (w) 1-1-3, Chicago Red Stars (w) 1-0-4. The market favourite is Racing Louisville (w) at roughly 58%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 58% to win — broadly in line with the market. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Racing Louisville (w) — 58%
Pure model vs market (1 · Racing Louisville (w)): model 41% · market 58% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Racing Louisville (w) 57.6%, draw 22.2%, win Chicago Red Stars (w) 20.2%. Model favourite — Racing Louisville (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Racing Louisville (w).
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.55 64.5% | 1.51 66.2% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.44 69.4% | |
| X | 4.10 24.4% | 4.20 23.8% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.95 25.3% | 4.20 23.8% | 3.60 27.8% |
| 4.75 21.1% | 4.96 20.2% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.70 21.3% | 5.00 20.0% | 4.33 23.1% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.26 44.3% |
| yes | 1.57 63.7% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.12 89.3% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.03 97.1% |
| 1x | 1.09 91.7% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.02 98.0% |
| x2 | 2.20 45.5% | 2.40 41.7% | 6.30 15.9% |
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 0_1 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 0_2 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 0_3 | 56.00 1.8% |
| 0_4 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 1_0 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 1_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 1_2 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 1_3 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 1_4 | 71.00 1.4% |
| 2_0 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 2_1 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 2_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 2_3 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 2_4 | 67.00 1.5% |
| 3_0 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 3_1 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 3_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
Full head-to-head historyRacing Louisville (w) - Chicago Red Stars (w)
The Racing Louisville (w) - Chicago Red Stars (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
