USA. Women. NWSL
Utah Royals (w) - Portland Thorns (w)
Utah Royals (w) meet Portland Thorns (w) on August 2, 2026 in the USA. Women. NWSL.
Recent form (W-D-L): Utah Royals (w) 2-0-3, Portland Thorns (w) 1-1-3. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is Utah Royals (w) at roughly 44%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 45% to win — broadly in line with the market. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Utah Royals (w) — 45%
Pure model vs market (1 · Utah Royals (w)): model 53% · market 44% Δ +9 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Utah Royals (w) 45.0%, draw 24.9%, win Portland Thorns (w) 30.0%. Model favourite — Utah Royals (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Yuta Royals (Zh): probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 1.99)
- • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Utah Royals (w) - Portland Thorns (w) August 2, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Utah Royals (w).
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.03 / X 3.56 / 2 2.94
- 1X2 market: Utah Royals (w) 44.2% / X 25.2% / Portland Thorns (w) 30.6%
- Glicko: Utah Royals (w) 45.0% / X 24.9% / Portland Thorns (w) 30.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
NWSL WomenHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Utah Royals (w) - Portland Thorns (w)
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.05 48.8% | 2.03 49.3% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.91 52.4% | |
| X | 3.65 27.4% | 3.62 27.6% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.65 27.4% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.25 30.8% |
| 2.95 33.9% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.05 32.8% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.70 37.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.85 35.1% | 2.45 40.8% |
| yes | 1.37 73.0% | 1.49 67.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.19 84.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.13 88.5% |
| 1x | 1.27 78.7% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.03 97.1% |
| x2 | 1.58 63.3% | 1.69 59.2% | 11.50 8.7% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 0_1 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 0_2 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 0_3 | 31.00 3.2% |
| 0_4 | 67.00 1.5% |
| 0_5 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 1_0 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 1_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 1_2 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 1_3 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 1_4 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 1_5 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 2_0 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 2_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 2_2 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 2_3 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 2_4 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 2_5 | 101.00 1.0% |
Utah Royals (w)
Full head-to-head historyUtah Royals (w) - Portland Thorns (w)
Overall statistics
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form