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USA. Women. NWSL
USA. Women. NWSL
02.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Finished

USA. Women. NWSL

Utah Royals (w) - Portland Thorns (w)

Football
Utah Royals (w)
Utah Royals (w)
3 : 1
Finished
P
Portland Thorns (w)

Utah Royals (w) meet Portland Thorns (w) on August 2, 2026 in the USA. Women. NWSL.

Recent form (W-D-L): Utah Royals (w) 2-0-3, Portland Thorns (w) 1-1-3. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is Utah Royals (w) at roughly 44%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 45% to win — broadly in line with the market. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Utah Royals (w)45%

Pure model vs market (1 · Utah Royals (w)): model 53% · market 44% Δ +9 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Utah Royals (w)45.0%
X · draw24.9%
2 · Portland Thorns (w)30.0%

Model estimate: win Utah Royals (w) 45.0%, draw 24.9%, win Portland Thorns (w) 30.0%. Model favourite — Utah Royals (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Utah Royals (w) (odds1.99) Score 2:1 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • Model backs Yuta Royals (Zh): probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 1.99)
  • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Utah Royals (w) - Portland Thorns (w) August 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Utah Royals (w).

Strongest: Utah Royals (w) - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.03 / X 3.56 / 2 2.94
  • 1X2 market: Utah Royals (w) 44.2% / X 25.2% / Portland Thorns (w) 30.6%
  • Glicko: Utah Royals (w) 45.0% / X 24.9% / Portland Thorns (w) 30.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.4%
1 44.2%
X 25.2%
2 30.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

NWSL Women
League table
Utah Royals (w)
#330 ptsGP 179-3-526:18
Portland Thorns (w)
#628 ptsGP 178-4-527:20
Best price across 13 books
1 2.10 Dafabet
X 3.75 Betfair
2 3.05 Betano

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Utah Royals (w)
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.60 Conceded 1.21 xG 1.49 xGA 1.24 Corners 5.4
Portland Thorns (w)
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 1.50 Conceded 1.40 xG 1.53 xGA 1.26 Corners 4.7

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Utah Royals (w)
Rating 1537 xG 1.30 Win 37%
Portland Thorns (w)
Rating 1534 xG 1.30 Win 37%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Utah Royals (w) 2 : 1 Portland Thorns (w)
12.02
X3.62
23.03

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Market 1 44.2% @ 2.03 / X 25.2% @ 3.56 / 2 30.5% @ 2.94
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Utah Royals (w) 45%
💹 Market Utah Royals (w) 4424%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Utah Royals (w) - Portland Thorns (w)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 3:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Utah Royals (w) 44.5% 45.0% market and model agree
Draw 25.1% 24.9% draw risk
Portland Thorns (w) 30.4% 30.0%
xG - 1.30 : 1.30
1X2: 15 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 45.0% / 24.9% / 30.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,608 / 1,398 Utah Royals (w) / Portland Thorns (w)
RD 161 / 207 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,287-1,929 / 984-1,811 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.94 market consensus · no value · model 30.0%
X 5.10 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 45.0%
Double chance
12 1.13 Fonbet · no value · model 75.1%
1X 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 70.0%
X2 1.64 market consensus · no value · model 55.0%
Handicap
2 +1 1.43 market consensus · line only
2 0 9.50 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.60 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.19 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 4.00 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.85 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.37 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.05 48.8% 2.03 49.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.91 52.4%
X 3.65 27.4% 3.62 27.6% 3.70 27.0% 3.65 27.4% 3.75 26.7% 3.25 30.8%
2.95 33.9% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8% 2.90 34.5% 2.70 37.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.85 35.1% 2.45 40.8%
yes 1.37 73.0% 1.49 67.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.19 84.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.13 88.5%
1x 1.27 78.7% 1.34 74.6% 1.03 97.1%
x2 1.58 63.3% 1.69 59.2% 11.50 8.7%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 15.00 6.7%
0_1 12.00 8.3%
0_2 17.00 5.9%
0_3 31.00 3.2%
0_4 67.00 1.5%
0_5 126.00 0.8%
1_0 9.50 10.5%
1_1 7.00 14.3%
1_2 9.00 11.1%
1_3 17.00 5.9%
1_4 41.00 2.4%
1_5 91.00 1.1%
2_0 11.00 9.1%
2_1 7.50 13.3%
2_2 9.50 10.5%
2_3 17.00 5.9%
2_4 41.00 2.4%
2_5 101.00 1.0%
Match center
Utah Royals (w)
L W W L L
2026-07-30 National Womens Soccer League 2026
Utah Royals (w) Utah Royals (w) 0:1 Washington Spirit (w)
2026-07-25 National Womens Soccer League 2026
Utah Royals (w) North Carolina Courage (w) 1:4 Utah Royals (w)
2026-07-19 National Womens Soccer League 2026
Utah Royals (w) Utah Royals (w) 1:0 Orlando Pride (w)
2026-07-11 National Womens Soccer League 2026
Utah Royals (w) Utah Royals (w) 1:3 Gotham (w)
2026-07-05 National Womens Soccer League 2026
Utah Royals (w) Chicago Red Stars (w) 3:2 Utah Royals (w)
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Portland Thorns (w)
D L L W L
2026-07-25 National Womens Soccer League 2026
Portland Thorns (w) 2:2 Gotham (w) Portland Thorns (w)
2026-07-18 National Womens Soccer League 2026
Denver Summit (w) 2:1 Portland Thorns (w) Portland Thorns (w)
2026-07-12 National Womens Soccer League 2026
OL Reign (w) 2:0 Portland Thorns (w) Portland Thorns (w)
2026-07-05 National Womens Soccer League 2026
Portland Thorns (w) 4:0 Racing Louisville (w) Portland Thorns (w)
2026-06-28 Club Friendly Games, Women 2026
Portland Thorns (w) 3:4 San Diego Wave (w) Portland Thorns (w)
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUtah Royals (w) - Portland Thorns (w)

Utah Royals (w)
1 matches total
Portland Thorns (w)
Utah Royals (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Portland Thorns (w): 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 2026-05-30) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (2026-05-30) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

2026-05-30 National Womens Soccer League 2026
Portland Thorns (w) 2:2 Utah Royals (w)