USA. Women. NWSL
Washington Spirit (w) - San Diego Wave (w)
Washington Spirit (w) meet San Diego Wave (w) on August 2, 2026 in the USA. Women. NWSL.
Recent form (W-D-L): Washington Spirit (w) 4-0-1, San Diego Wave (w) 2-1-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Washington Spirit (w), an implied 44% to win. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 45% to win — broadly in line with the market. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Washington Spirit (w) — 45%
Pure model vs market (1 · Washington Spirit (w)): model 57% · market 44% Δ +13 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Washington Spirit (w) 44.8%, draw 25.6%, win San Diego Wave (w) 29.6%. Model favourite — Washington Spirit (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Vashington Spirit (Zh): probability 50% vs 53% on the line (odds 1.88)
- • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Washington Spirit (w) - San Diego Wave (w) August 2, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Washington Spirit (w).
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.06 / X 3.44 / 2 2.97
- 1X2 market: Washington Spirit (w) 43.6% / X 26.2% / San Diego Wave (w) 30.2%
- Glicko: Washington Spirit (w) 44.8% / X 25.6% / San Diego Wave (w) 29.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
NWSL WomenHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Washington Spirit (w) - San Diego Wave (w)
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.05 48.8% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.05 48.8% | 1.91 52.4% | |
| X | 3.50 28.6% | 3.48 28.7% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.13 32.0% |
| 3.00 33.3% | 3.02 33.1% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.80 35.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.40 71.4% | 2.28 43.9% |
| yes | 2.75 36.4% | 1.56 64.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.16 86.2% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.08 92.6% |
| 1x | 1.27 78.7% | 1.34 74.6% | 6.40 15.6% |
| x2 | 1.62 61.7% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.02 98.0% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 0_1 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 0_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 0_3 | 31.00 3.2% |
| 0_4 | 71.00 1.4% |
| 0_5 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 1_0 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 1_1 | 6.25 16.0% |
| 1_2 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 1_3 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 1_4 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 1_5 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 2_0 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 2_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 2_2 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 2_3 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 2_4 | 51.00 2.0% |
| 2_5 | 126.00 0.8% |
Full head-to-head historyWashington Spirit (w) - San Diego Wave (w)
Overall statistics
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form