Match center
Start
04.08.2026 15:00 UTC
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✓ Prematch ready
Prematch data
✓Line
✓Form
–H2H
✓Prediction
04.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished
UZBEKISTAN: Pro Liga Standings
Kattaqorgon - Pakhtakor 2
K
Kattaqorgon
1
:
0
Finished
P
Pakhtakor 2
Kattaqorgon meet Pakhtakor 2 on August 4, 2026 in the UZBEKISTAN: Pro Liga Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Kattaqorgon 3-1-1, Pakhtakor 2 0-0-5. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 74% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Kattaqorgon — 74%
Pure model vs market (1 · Kattaqorgon): model 61% · market 84% Δ −23 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Kattaqorgon 73.9%, draw 15.5%, win Pakhtakor 2 10.6%. Model favourite — Kattaqorgon.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Kattaqorgon (odds1.60)
Score 2:0
confidence 63%
✓ outcome correct
- • Model backs Kattaqurgon: probability 63% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.60)
- • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 2:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Kattaqorgon - Pakhtakor 2 August 4, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Glicko: Kattaqorgon 73.9% / X 15.5% / Pakhtakor 2 10.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 8.7%
2 books · best price +3.2%
1 ✓ Pick
84.2%
X
10.9%
2
4.9%
Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Pro League ALeague table
Kattaqorgon
Pakhtakor 2
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Kattaqorgon
W-D-L 6-3-1
Scored 1.31
Conceded 0.50
Pakhtakor 2
W-D-L 1-0-9
Scored 0.60
Conceded 2.70
xG 1.27
xGA 1.43
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Kattaqorgon
Rating 1603
Pakhtakor 2
Rating 1179
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Match center
Kattaqorgon - Pakhtakor 2
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
1:0
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 73.9% fact: home
hit / ROI 13.0% / Brier 0.103 / LogLoss 0.302
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 73.9% fact: home
hit / ROI 13.0% / Brier 0.103 / LogLoss 0.302
Glicko-2: public filter
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 73.9% fact: home
hit / ROI 13.0% / Brier 0.103 / LogLoss 0.302
Glicko-2: precision filter
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 73.9% fact: home
hit / ROI 13.0% / Brier 0.103 / LogLoss 0.302
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Kattaqorgon
80.5%
73.9%
market and model agree
Draw
13.8%
15.5%
draw risk
Pakhtakor 2
5.8%
10.6%
1X2: 1 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
73.9% / 15.5% / 10.6%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,626 / 1,255
Kattaqurgon / Pakhtakor 2
RD
203 / 225
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,220-2,033 / 805-1,706
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
6.60
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.06
Fonbet · no value · model 73.9%
Double chance
12
1.01
Fonbet · no value · model 84.5%
1X
1.06
Fonbet · no value · model 89.4%
X2
7.30
Fonbet · no value · model 26.1%
Handicap
2 0
4.70
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.15
Fonbet · line only
Total
Under 2.5
1.02
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.10
Fonbet · line only
Yes
5.80
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.10 90.9% | 1.67 59.9% |
| yes | 5.80 17.2% | 2.07 48.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.01 99.0% |
| 1x | 1.06 94.3% |
| x2 | 7.30 13.7% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.45 69.0% | |
| X | 2.99 33.4% |
| 11.80 8.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.20 83.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.09 47.9% |
| Under 0.5 | 4.01 24.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.66 60.2% |
Match center
Kattaqorgon
W
W
L
W
D
Kattaqorgon
TerDU 0:2 Kattaqorgon
Kattaqorgon
Kattaqorgon 2:1 Yaypan
Kattaqorgon
Lochin 2:0 Kattaqorgon
Kattaqorgon
Kattaqorgon 3:0 Fardu Ferghana
Kattaqorgon
Metallurg Bekabad 1:1 Kattaqorgon
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.6
Scored
0.8
Conceded
10
Points
Pakhtakor 2
L
L
L
L
L
Pakhtakor 2 1:4 Olympic Mobius
Pakhtakor 2
BuxDU 2:0 Pakhtakor 2
Pakhtakor 2
Pakhtakor 2 0:3 Respublika FA
Pakhtakor 2
Aral Samali 3:0 Pakhtakor 2
Pakhtakor 2
Pakhtakor 2 1:2 Gazalkent
Pakhtakor 2
0
Wins
0
Draws
5
Losses
0.4
Scored
2.8
Conceded
0
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyKattaqorgon - Pakhtakor 2
Kattaqorgon
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Kattaqorgon - Pakhtakor 2 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form