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Venezuela: Liga FUTVE - Clausura Standings
Venezuela: Liga FUTVE - Clausura Standings
02.08.2026 22:30 UTC
Finished

Venezuela: Liga FUTVE - Clausura Standings

Metropolitanos FC - Academia Puerto Cabello

Football
Metropolitanos FC
Metropolitanos FC
2 : 1
Finished
A
Academia Puerto Cabello

Metropolitanos FC meet Academia Puerto Cabello on August 2, 2026 in the Venezuela: Liga FUTVE - Clausura Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Metropolitanos FC 2-1-2, Academia Puerto Cabello 2-1-2. Sportsbooks lean towards Academia Puerto Cabello, an implied 40% to win. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 29% to win — broadly in line with the market. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Academia Puerto Cabello40%

Pure model vs market (2 · Academia Puerto Cabello): model 40% · market 40% Δ 0 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Metropolitanos FC28.7%
X · draw30.9%
2 · Academia Puerto Cabello40.4%

Model estimate: win Metropolitanos FC 28.7%, draw 30.9%, win Academia Puerto Cabello 40.4%. Model favourite — Academia Puerto Cabello.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Academia Puerto Cabello (odds2.57) Score 0:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Puerto Kabello: probability 50% vs 39% on the line (odds 2.57)
  • edge over the line +11 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Metropolitanos FC - Academia Puerto Cabello August 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Academia Puerto Cabello.

Strongest: Academia Puerto Cabello - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.13 / X 2.88 / 2 2.28
  • 1X2 market: Metropolitanos FC 28.9% / X 31.4% / Academia Puerto Cabello 39.7%
  • Glicko: Metropolitanos FC 28.7% / X 30.9% / Academia Puerto Cabello 40.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.5%
1 28.9%
X 31.4%
2 39.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera División
League table
Metropolitanos FC
#433 ptsGP 199-6-422:17
Academia Puerto Cabello
#727 ptsGP 207-6-725:23
Best price across 14 books
1 3.32 1xBet
X 3.00 Betfair
2 2.50 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Metropolitanos FC
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 0.80 Conceded 0.81 xG 1.17 xGA 1.29
Academia Puerto Cabello
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.30 Conceded 1.40 xG 1.30 xGA 0.99

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Metropolitanos FC
Rating 1612 xG 1.11 Win 33%
Academia Puerto Cabello
Rating 1587 xG 1.21 Win 38%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Metropolitanos FC 1 : 1 Academia Puerto Cabello
13.24
X2.84
22.27

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 22:30 UTC
Market 1 28.9% @ 3.13 / X 31.4% @ 2.88 / 2 39.7% @ 2.28
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Academia Puerto Cabello 40%
💹 Market Academia Puerto Cabello 3968%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Metropolitanos FC - Academia Puerto Cabello

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Metropolitanos FC 28.1% 28.7%
Draw 31.5% 30.9% draw risk
Academia Puerto Cabello 40.5% 40.4% market and model agree
xG - 1.11 : 1.21
1X2: 16 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 28.7% / 30.9% / 40.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,320 / 1,444 Metropolitanos FC / Academia Puerto Cabello
RD 264 / 299 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 791-1,849 / 845-2,043 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.27 market consensus · no value · model 40.4%
X 4.60 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 28.7%
Double chance
12 1.15 Fonbet · no value · model 69.1%
1X 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 59.6%
X2 9.00 Fonbet · weak value +542.1% · model 71.3%
Handicap
2 -1 1.55 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 4.90 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.54 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.32 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.00 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.73 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
3.10 32.3% 3.32 30.1% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3%
X 2.90 34.5% 2.85 35.1% 2.88 34.7% 2.92 34.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3%
2.30 43.5% 2.23 44.8% 2.20 45.5% 2.35 42.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.00 50.0% 1.73 57.8%
yes 1.73 57.8% 2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.34 74.6% 1.38 72.5% 1.15 87.0%
1x 1.56 64.1% 1.62 61.7% 1.01 99.0%
x2 1.24 80.7% 1.28 78.1% 9.00 11.1%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 6.25 16.0%
0_1 5.50 18.2%
0_2 9.00 11.1%
0_3 21.00 4.8%
0_4 51.00 2.0%
1_0 6.50 15.4%
1_1 5.00 20.0%
1_2 8.00 12.5%
1_3 17.00 5.9%
1_4 46.00 2.2%
1_5 126.00 0.8%
2_0 13.00 7.7%
2_1 9.50 10.5%
2_2 13.00 7.7%
2_3 29.00 3.5%
2_4 67.00 1.5%
3_0 34.00 2.9%
3_1 23.00 4.4%
Match center
Metropolitanos FC
L W L D W
2026-05-31 Primera Division 2026, Apertura, Main Round, Group B
Metropolitanos FC Metropolitanos FC 1:5 Carabobo
2026-05-24 Primera Division 2026, Apertura, Main Round, Group B
Metropolitanos FC Estudiantes Merida 0:1 Metropolitanos FC
2026-05-17 Primera Division 2026, Apertura, Main Round, Group B
Metropolitanos FC Metropolitanos FC 0:1 Deportivo Tachira
2026-05-12 Primera Division 2026, Apertura, Main Round, Group B
Metropolitanos FC Deportivo Tachira 1:1 Metropolitanos FC
2026-05-08 Primera Division 2026, Apertura, Main Round, Group B
Metropolitanos FC Metropolitanos FC 2:0 Estudiantes Merida
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Academia Puerto Cabello
L W L W D
2026-06-07 Primera Division 2026, Apertura, Final
Carabobo 2:1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello
2026-05-31 Primera Division 2026, Apertura, Main Round, Group A
Deportivo La Guaira 0:2 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello
2026-05-27 CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026, Group B
Atletico Mineiro 1:0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello
2026-05-23 Primera Division 2026, Apertura, Main Round, Group A
Academia Puerto Cabello 2:1 Universidad Central Venezuela Academia Puerto Cabello
2026-05-21 CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026, Group B
Academia Puerto Cabello 1:1 Juventud Las Piedras Academia Puerto Cabello
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points