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Venezuela. Division 2
Venezuela. Division 2
02.08.2026 19:30 UTC
Finished

Venezuela. Division 2

Real Frontera - Union Atletico El Vigia

Football
R
Real Frontera
0 : 2
Finished
U
Union Atletico El Vigia

Real Frontera face Union Atletico El Vigia on August 2, 2026 in the Venezuela. Division 2.

Recent form (W-D-L): Real Frontera 0-0-5, Union Atletico El Vigia 1-1-3. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 48% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Real Frontera48%

Pure model vs market (1 · Real Frontera): model 30% · market 30% Δ 0 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Real Frontera47.5%
X · draw25.8%
2 · Union Atletico El Vigia26.7%

Model estimate: win Real Frontera 47.5%, draw 25.8%, win Union Atletico El Vigia 26.7%. Model favourite — Real Frontera.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Real Frontera (odds2.12) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Frontera: probability 50% vs 47% on the line (odds 2.12)
  • edge over the line +3 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Frontera - Union Atletico El Vigia August 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Union Atletico El Vigia.

Line favourite Fonbet: Union Atletico El Vigia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.98 / X 5.90 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Real Frontera 47.5% / X 25.8% / Union Atletico El Vigia 26.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 66.5%
1 30.3%
X 10.2%
2 59.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Segunda División
League table
Real Frontera
#1511 ptsGP 183-2-1318:37
Union Atletico El Vigia
#1611 ptsGP 182-5-1114:36
Best price across 11 books
1 2.04 Dafabet
X 3.40 Pinnacle
2 3.45 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Real Frontera
W-D-L 2-1-7 Scored 1.10 Conceded 2.21 xG 1.03 xGA 1.57
Union Atletico El Vigia
W-D-L 1-2-7 Scored 0.51 Conceded 2.00 xG 0.97 xGA 1.64

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Real Frontera
Rating 1369
Union Atletico El Vigia
Rating 1391

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Real Frontera 3 : 1 Union Atletico El Vigia
12.01
X3.28
23.35

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 19:30 UTC
Market 1 30.3% @ 1.98 / X 10.2% @ 5.90 / 2 59.5% @ 1.01
Match center

Real Frontera - Union Atletico El Vigia

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Real Frontera 48.6% 47.5% market and model agree
Draw 26.1% 25.8% draw risk
Union Atletico El Vigia 25.3% 26.7%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 47.5% / 25.8% / 26.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,190 / 1,482 Real Frontera / Union Atletico El Vigia
RD 243 / 228 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 705-1,675 / 1,027-1,937 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 26.7%
X 5.90 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.90 market consensus · no value · model 47.5%
Double chance
12 1.10 Fonbet · no value · model 74.2%
1X 1.22 market consensus · no value · model 73.3%
X2 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 52.5%
Handicap
2 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1 0 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.90 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.19 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.25 80.0% 2.09 47.9%
yes 3.40 29.4% 1.66 60.2%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.20 83.3% 1.26 79.4% 1.10 90.9%
1x 1.19 84.0% 1.24 80.7% 11.50 8.7%
x2 1.71 58.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.02 98.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.58 38.8%
X 2.12 47.2%
3.99 25.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.76 56.8%
Under 1 1.95 51.3%
Match center
Real Frontera
L L L L L
2026-07-29 Segunda Division 2026, Central-West
Real Frontera Atletico Barinas 3:1 Real Frontera
2026-07-25 Segunda Division 2026, Central-West
Real Frontera Real Frontera 1:5 Urena
2026-06-24 Copa Venezuela 2026, Group B
Real Frontera Real Frontera 0:1 Atletico Barinas
2026-06-06 Segunda Division 2026, Central-West
Real Frontera Real Frontera 1:2 Barquisimeto
2026-05-30 Segunda Division 2026, Central-West
Real Frontera Zamora 2 2:0 Real Frontera
0 Wins
0 Draws
5 Losses
0.6 Scored
2.6 Conceded
0 Points
Union Atletico El Vigia
W D L L L
2026-07-29 Segunda Division 2026, Central-West
Union Atletico El Vigia 2:1 Deportivo Lara Union Atletico El Vigia
2026-07-25 Segunda Division 2026, Central-West
Yaracuyanos 0:0 Union Atletico El Vigia Union Atletico El Vigia
2026-06-24 Copa Venezuela 2026, Group B
Zamora Barinas 6:1 Union Atletico El Vigia Union Atletico El Vigia
2026-05-31 Segunda Division 2026, Central-West
Atletico Barinas 7:1 Union Atletico El Vigia Union Atletico El Vigia
2026-05-24 Segunda Division 2026, Central-West
Union Atletico El Vigia 1:2 Urena Union Atletico El Vigia
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.2 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Frontera - Union Atletico El Vigia

Real Frontera
1 matches total
Union Atletico El Vigia
Real Frontera: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Union Atletico El Vigia: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Real Frontera 0:1 (2026-05-03) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 2026-05-03) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

2026-05-03 Segunda Division 2026, Central-West
Union Atletico El Vigia 0:1 Real Frontera