Venezuela. Primera Division. Group stage
Trujillanos FC take on UCV on August 1, 2026 in the Venezuela. Primera Division. Group stage.
The bookmaker line makes UCV the favourite at about 42%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 29% to win — broadly in line with the market. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 UCV — 42%
Pure model vs market (2 · UCV): model 33% · market 43% Δ −10 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Trujillanos FC 29.2%, draw 28.8%, win UCV 41.9%. Model favourite — UCV.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like UCV.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.20 31.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.20 31.3% | |
| X | 3.20 31.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.90 34.5% | 3.15 31.8% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.20 31.3% |
| 2.15 46.5% | 2.11 47.4% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.15 46.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.91 52.4% |
| yes | 1.79 55.9% |
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.34 74.6% |
| 1x | 1.60 62.5% |
| x2 | 1.32 75.8% |
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 0_1 | 6.25 16.0% |
| 0_2 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 0_3 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 0_4 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 0_5 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 1_0 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 1_1 | 5.50 18.2% |
| 1_2 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 1_3 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 1_4 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 1_5 | 81.00 1.2% |
| 2_0 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 2_1 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 2_2 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 2_3 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 2_4 | 51.00 2.0% |
| 2_5 | 126.00 0.8% |
Full head-to-head historyTrujillanos FC - UCV
The Trujillanos FC - UCV breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
