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AI verdict

AI pick UCV win probability ~47% best odds 1.93

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to UCV. Full breakdown below.

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Venezuela. Primera Division. Group stage
Venezuela. Primera Division. Group stage
04.08.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
04.08.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished

Venezuela. Primera Division. Group stage

UCV - Monagas SC

Football
U
UCV
2 : 1
Finished
M
Monagas SC

UCV take on Monagas SC on August 4, 2026 in the Venezuela. Primera Division. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): UCV 0-0-1, Monagas SC 0-0-1. The bookmaker line makes UCV the favourite at about 47%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1UCV (odds1.74) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs USV: probability 50% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.74)
  • • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction UCV - Monagas SC August 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like UCV.

Line favourite market consensus: UCV. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.93 / X 3.35 / 2 3.45
  • 1X2 market: UCV 46.8% / X 27.0% / Monagas SC 26.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.0% 13 books · best price +6.8%
1 46.7%
X 27.3%
2 26.1%

Odds source: consensus of 13 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano, Betcity). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera División
League table
UCV
#532 ptsGP 219-5-734:31
Monagas SC
#1211 ptsGP 153-2-1016:26
Best price across 13 books
1 2.05 Superbet
X 3.60 Betfair
2 3.70 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
UCV
W-D-L 1-4-5 Scored 1.10 Conceded 1.80 xG 1.12 xGA 1.35
Monagas SC
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 1.30 Conceded 1.50 xG 1.25 xGA 1.27

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
UCV
Rating 1544
Monagas SC
Rating 1439

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
UCV
47%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.60
Monagas SC
26%
3.76
Handicap
UCV (0)
65%
1.45
Monagas SC (0)
35%
2.70
Total
Over 2.75
50%
1.94
Under 2.75
50%
1.90

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated04.08.2026 21:29 UTC
1 47% ✓ favourite
X 30%
2 23%
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Double chance 1X
Per AI data H2H: 0-3
AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 47% 30% 23% 1:1 Under 2.5 No Double chance 1X

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 22:00 UTC
Market 1 46.8% @ 1.93 / X 27.0% @ 3.35 / 2 26.2% @ 3.45
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models UCV 47%
💹 Market UCV 4679%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

UCV - Monagas SC

Form 1/1 recent games
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 46.8% fact: home hit / ROI 105.0% / Brier 0.424 / LogLoss 0.759
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 46.8% fact: home hit / ROI 105.0% / Brier 0.424 / LogLoss 0.759
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.46 market consensus · line only
X 3.35 market consensus · line only
1 1.93 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.26 market consensus · line only
X2 1.78 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.40 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.68 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.70 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.43 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.20 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.60 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6% 2.02 49.5% 1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.30 30.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6%
3.40 29.4% 3.76 26.6% 3.70 27.0% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.20 45.5%
yes 1.60 62.5%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.29 77.5%
1x 1.26 79.4%
x2 1.78 56.2%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 10.00 10.0%
0_1 10.00 10.0%
0_2 15.00 6.7%
0_3 34.00 2.9%
0_4 81.00 1.2%
1_0 7.50 13.3%
1_1 6.25 16.0%
1_2 9.50 10.5%
1_3 21.00 4.8%
1_4 56.00 1.8%
2_0 8.50 11.8%
2_1 7.00 14.3%
2_2 11.00 9.1%
2_3 23.00 4.4%
2_4 61.00 1.6%
3_0 15.00 6.7%
3_1 12.00 8.3%
3_2 17.00 5.9%
Match center
UCV
L
01.08 21:00 UTC Venezuela: Liga FUTVE - Clausura Standings
UCV 0:2 TrukhilyanosTrukhilyanos
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Monagas SC
L
01.08 21:00 UTC Venezuela: Liga FUTVE - Clausura Standings
Monagas SC 1:2 Deportivo La-Guayra
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: UCV - Monagas SC

UCV
0 matches total
Monagas SC
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

More predictions

Monagas – Mineros Guayana 19.08 Necaxa – Leon 18.08 Chorrillo – Arabe Unido 18.08 Pitbulls – Uruguay Coronado 18.08 Santos Laguna (w) – Monterrey (w) 18.08 Sporting San Jose –Eskorpiones 18.08

Frequently asked questions

When does UCV vs Monagas SC start?

August 4, 2026.