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Hungary: NB I. Standings
Hungary: NB I. Standings
1-y Round 27.07.2026 15:30 UTC Match prediction
27.07.2026 15:30 UTC 1-y Round
Finished

Hungary: NB I. Standings

MTK Budapest - Zalaegerszeg

Football
Stadium Khidegkuti Nandor (Budapesht, Hungary), vmestimost: 5322
MTK Budapest
MTK Budapest
3 : 0
Finished
Zalaegerszeg
Zalaegerszeg
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 MTK Budapest — 44%

Pure model vs market (1 · MTK Budapest): model 44% · market 76% Δ −32 pp model estimates below the market

1 · MTK Budapest43.5%
X · draw26.5%
2 · Zalaegerszeg30.0%

Model estimate: win MTK Budapest 43.5%, draw 26.5%, win Zalaegerszeg 30.0%. Model favourite — MTK Budapest.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

Xdraw (odds3.48) Score 1:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 29% on the line (odds 3.48)
  • • edge over the line +21 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction MTK Budapest - Zalaegerszeg July 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like MTK Budapest.

Line favourite Fonbet: MTK Budapest. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 4.20 / 2 15.00
  • Glicko: MTK Budapest 43.5% / X 26.5% / Zalaegerszeg 30.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 29.5%
1 76.5%
X 18.4%
2 5.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

MTK Budapest 2 : 1 Zalaegerszeg
12.07
X3.30
23.19

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

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Participant opinions
81 predictions Choose an outcome
1 52% 12
X 34% 8
2 13% 3
Double chance 1X 1.30 (2) - 12 1.26 (1) - X2 1.65 (1)
Total TB 2.5 1.66 (6) - TM 2.5 2.10 (2) - TB 2 1.27 (1)
total_t2_under total_t1_over:1_5 1.89 (7) - total_t2_under:1_5 1.49 (1) - total_t2_over:1_5 2.40 (1)
Both teams to score BTTS yes 1.54 (4) - BTTS no 2.25 (1)
Match center
Stadium Khidegkuti Nandor (Budapesht, Hungary), vmestimost: 5322
Start 27.07.2026 15:30 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community MTK Budapest 52%
📐 Math model MTK Budapest 44%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

MTK Budapest - Zalaegerszeg

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi MTK - Zalaegerseg, 27 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Vengrii po futbolu (OTP Bank Liga) 2027, 1 round. MTK - Zalaegerseg, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions Stavka.tv 23 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Overview
More needed
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 3:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 43.5% fact: home hit / ROI 115.0% / Brier 0.479 / LogLoss 0.832
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 43.5% fact: home hit / ROI 115.0% / Brier 0.479 / LogLoss 0.832
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
MTK Budapest 43.5% 43.5% market and model agree
Draw 26.7% 26.5% draw risk
Zalaegerszeg 29.9% 30.0%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 43.5% / 26.5% / 30.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 MTK Budapest / Zalaegerszeg
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.13 market consensus · no value · model 30.0%
X 4.20 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 43.5%
Double chance
12 1.20 Fonbet · no value · model 73.6%
1X 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 70.0%
X2 10.00 Fonbet · weak value +465.0% · model 56.5%
Handicap
2 -1 9.50 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.50 Fonbet · line only
2 0 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Yes 7.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.05 95.2% 2.24 44.6%
yes 7.50 13.3% 1.58 63.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.27 78.7% 1.27 78.7% 1.20 83.3%
1x 1.32 75.8% 1.32 75.8% 1.03 97.1%
x2 1.63 61.4% 1.63 61.4% 10.00 10.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.68 37.3%
X 2.28 43.9%
3.48 28.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.54 39.4%
Under 1.5 1.52 65.8%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

MTK BudapestWDWLLWWDDD
ZalaegerszegLWWWLLLLLD
H2H 5-4-1, avg 2.3 gls
2026-07-27 · MTK Budapesht 3:0 Zalaegerseg
2026-04-11 · MTK Budapesht 3:0 Zalaegerseg
2025-12-20 · MTK Budapesht 1:1 Zalaegerseg
2025-09-21 · MTK Budapesht 1:0 Zalaegerseg
2025-03-08 · MTK Budapesht 1:1 Zalaegerseg
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.2 (Pari) · X 3.5 (Pari) · 2 3.05 (Winline)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 2.2 3.5 2.9
Winline 2.14 3.5 3.05
Fonbet 2.2 3.5 2.9
Betcity 2.2 3.4 3
Liga Stavok 2.13 3.45 3
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

0 Cards total 2
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
0 Second yellows 0
5 Substitutions 5
Source: ruscore
MTK Budapest
D D D
15.05.2026 Championat
MTK Budapest 15.05.2026 Hungary — OTP Bank Liga Akademiya Pushkasha 2 MTK 33-y Round
02.05.2026 Championat
MTK Budapest 02.05.2026 Hungary — OTP Bank Liga MTK 1 Niredkhaza 32-y Round
24.04.2026 Championat
MTK Budapest 24.04.2026 Hungary — OTP Bank Liga Kazintsbartsika 0 MTK 31-y Round
0 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
- Scored
- Conceded
0 Points
Zalaegerszeg
D D D
18.04.2026 Championat
18.04.2026 Hungary — OTP Bank Liga MTK 2 : 1 Kishvarda 30-y Round Zalaegerszeg
11.04.2026 Championat
11.04.2026 Hungary — OTP Bank Liga MTK 3 : 0 Zalaegerseg 29-y Round 2 Wins 3 Draws 0 Losses 1.4 Scored 0.2 Conceded 7+0 Kartochki 0 +1 0 +3 +1 +2 0 -1 15 30 45 60 75 Zalaegerszeg
16.05.2026 Championat
16.05.2026 Hungary — OTP Bank Liga Ferentsvarosh 3 : 0 Zalaegerszeg
0 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
- Scored
- Conceded
0 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 MTK Budapest
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Zalaegerszeg
MTK Budapest Team comparison Zalaegerszeg
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
0 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Udary v stvor 0
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0

MTK Zalaegerseg 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 31.10.2026 Hungary — OTP Bank Liga Zalaegerseg –:– MTK 12 round Goly Zalan Kerezhi Krishtof Khinora 1:0 12' Zalan Kerezhi Gabor Yurek 2:0 67' Milan Klaus Derd Komaromi 3:0 72' Nakazaniya Khoset Peras 62' Norbert Sendrei 64'