Match center
Start
28.07.2026 10:00 UTC
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28.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished
Denmark. Women. A-League
FC Zurich (w) - Freiburg (w)
F
FC Zurich (w)
0
:
3
Finished
F
Freiburg (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Freiburg (w) — 74%
Pure model vs market (2 · Freiburg (w)): model 62% · market 84% Δ −22 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win FC Zurich (w) 10.8%, draw 15.5%, win Freiburg (w) 73.7%. Model favourite — Freiburg (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Freiburg (w) (odds1.22)
Score 0:3
confidence 74%
✓ outcome correct · exact score
- • Model backs Frayburg (Zh) 🇩🇪: probability 74% vs 82% on the line (odds 1.22)
- • no edge over the line (-9 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 0:3.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction FC Zurich (w) - Freiburg (w) July 28, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Freiburg (w).
Line favourite Fonbet: Freiburg (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 9.90 / X 12.00 / 2 1.05
- Glicko: FC Zurich (w) 10.8% / X 15.5% / Freiburg (w) 73.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 13.7%
1
8.9%
X
7.3%
2 ✓ Pick
83.8%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
FC Zurich (w)
1
:
4
Freiburg (w)
111.00
X6.85
21.14
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
FC Zurich (w) - Freiburg (w)
Form
2/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
0:3
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 73.7% fact: away
hit / ROI 22.0% / Brier 0.105 / LogLoss 0.305
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 73.7% fact: away
hit / ROI 22.0% / Brier 0.105 / LogLoss 0.305
Glicko-2: public filter
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 73.7% fact: away
hit / ROI 22.0% / Brier 0.105 / LogLoss 0.305
Glicko-2: precision filter
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 73.7% fact: away
hit / ROI 22.0% / Brier 0.105 / LogLoss 0.305
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
FC Zurich (w)
10.1%
10.8%
Draw
15.4%
15.5%
draw risk
Freiburg (w)
74.5%
73.7%
market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
10.8% / 15.5% / 73.7%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,185 / 1,785
FC Zurich (w) / Freiburg (w)
RD
259 / 255
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
668-1,703 / 1,275-2,295
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.05
Fonbet · no value · model 73.7%
X
5.87
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
9.27
market consensus · no value · model 10.8%
Double chance
12
1.02
Fonbet · no value · model 84.5%
1X
7.50
Fonbet · no value · model 26.3%
X2
1.04
Fonbet · no value · model 89.2%
Handicap
2 0
1.05
Fonbet · line only
1 0
7.20
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.13
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
4.80
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.02
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.70
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.02 49.5% | 1.96 51.0% |
| yes | 1.70 58.8% | 1.75 57.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.07 93.5% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.02 98.0% |
| 1x | 3.50 28.6% | 3.80 26.3% | 7.50 13.3% |
| x2 | — | 1.03 97.1% | 1.04 96.2% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 8.10 12.4% | |
| X | 3.00 33.3% |
| 1.53 65.4% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.89 52.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.81 55.3% |
Match center
FC Zurich (w)
L
L
FC Zurich (w)
2:3
Milan (Zh) 🇮🇹
FC Zurich (w)
2:7
Shtutgart (Zh) 🇩🇪
0
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
2.0
Scored
5.0
Conceded
0
Points
Freiburg (w)
W
W
Freiburg (w)
5:1
Lyutsern (Zh) 🇨🇭
Freiburg (w)
1:0
Bazel (Zh) 🇨🇭
2
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3.0
Scored
0.5
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyFC Zurich (w) - Freiburg (w)
FC Zurich (w)
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The FC Zurich (w) - Freiburg (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form