Champions League UEFA. Women. Qualifying stage. 2nd round. Semi-finals
Werder Bremen (w) meet Alkmaar (w) on August 4, 2026 in the Champions League UEFA. Women. Qualifying stage. 2nd round. Semi-finals.
Recent form (W-D-L): Werder Bremen (w) 1-0-1, Alkmaar (w) 0-1-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 60% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Werder Bremen (w) — 60%
Model estimate: win Werder Bremen (w) 60.4%, draw 17.4%, win Alkmaar (w) 22.3%. Model favourite — Werder Bremen (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Werder Bremen (w).
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.03 97.1% |
| yes | 9.00 11.1% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 2.05 48.8% |
| 1x | 1.05 95.2% |
| x2 | 9.00 11.1% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| 3.90 25.6% | |
| 7.70 13.0% | |
| 11.00 9.1% | |
| 1.20 83.3% | |
| 10.50 9.5% | |
| 1.20 83.3% | |
| 1.04 96.2% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 3.90 25.6% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 3.85 26.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 6.60 15.2% |
| Over 3.5 | 11.50 8.7% |
| Over 4.5 | 9.50 10.5% |
| Over 5.5 | 8.50 11.8% |
| Under 0.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.20 83.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.06 94.3% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.01 99.0% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.02 98.0% |
| Under 5.5 | 1.03 97.1% |
Full head-to-head historyWerder Bremen (w) - Alkmaar (w)
The Werder Bremen (w) - Alkmaar (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
