Match center
Start
28.07.2026 14:00 UTC
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28.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Banik Prievidza - MSK Martin 🇸🇰
B
Banik Prievidza
2
:
1
Finished
M
MSK Martin 🇸🇰
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 MSK Martin 🇸🇰 — 48%
Model estimate: win Banik Prievidza 32.9%, draw 18.7%, win MSK Martin 🇸🇰 48.4%. Model favourite — MSK Martin 🇸🇰.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2MSK Martin 🇸🇰 (odds4.55)
Score 0:1
confidence 50%
✗ outcome missed
- • Model backs MSK Martin 🇸🇰: probability 50% vs 22% on the line (odds 4.55)
- • edge over the line +28 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Banik Prievidza - MSK Martin 🇸🇰 July 28, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Banik Prievidza.
Line favourite Fonbet: Banik Prievidza. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / X 2.70 / 2 3.55
- Glicko: Banik Prievidza 32.9% / X 18.7% / MSK Martin 🇸🇰 48.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 63.2%
1
60.1%
X
22.7%
2
17.3%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Banik Prievidza
2
:
2
MSK Martin 🇸🇰
11.46
X4.93
24.46
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Banik Prievidza - MSK Martin 🇸🇰
Form
2/0
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
2:1
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 48.4% fact: home
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.720 / LogLoss 1.113
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 48.4% fact: home
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.720 / LogLoss 1.113
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Banik Prievidza
61.5%
32.9%
market favourite
Draw
18.3%
18.7%
draw risk
MSK Martin 🇸🇰
20.2%
48.4%
Glicko contrarian
1X2: 1 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
32.9% / 18.7% / 48.4%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,376 / 1,500
Banik Prievidza / MSK Martin 🇸🇰
RD
256 / 350
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
864-1,888 / 800-2,200
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.55
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 48.4%
X
2.70
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.02
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 32.9%
Double chance
12
1.40
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 81.3%
1X
1.25
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 51.6%
Handicap
2 +1
1.91
market consensus · line only
2 0
2.40
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
1.83
market consensus · line only
1 0
1.50
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.80
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.38
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
3.33
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.30
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 3.33 30.0% |
| yes | 1.30 76.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.40 71.4% |
| 1x | 1.25 80.0% |
| x2 | 14.00 7.1% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.83 54.6% | |
| X | 3.12 32.1% |
| 4.30 23.3% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 2 | 2.00 50.0% |
| Under 2 | 1.72 58.1% |
Match center
Banik Prievidza
D
L
Banik Prievidza
2:2
Pukhov 🇸🇰
Banik Prievidza
0:4
Inter Bratislava 🇸🇰
0
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
3.0
Conceded
1
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBanik Prievidza - MSK Martin 🇸🇰
Banik Prievidza
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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The Banik Prievidza - MSK Martin 🇸🇰 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
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