UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Farnham Town - Yeovil Town
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Yeovil Town — 43%
Pure model vs market (2 · Yeovil Town): model 52% · market 16% Δ +36 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Farnham Town 32.2%, draw 24.7%, win Yeovil Town 43.1%. Model favourite — Yeovil Town.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Yovil 🏴: probability 59% vs 35% on the line (odds 2.89)
- • edge over the line +24 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Farnham Town - Yeovil Town July 29, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 9.50 / X 1.25 / 2 5.60
- Glicko: Farnham Town 32.2% / X 24.7% / Yeovil Town 43.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Farnham Town - Yeovil Town
What data is collected and where it is shown
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.65 60.6% | 2.27 44.1% |
| yes | 2.10 47.6% | 1.59 62.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.21 82.6% | 3.50 28.6% |
| 1x | 2.14 46.7% | 1.12 89.3% |
| x2 | 1.17 85.5% | 1.05 95.2% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.64 37.9% | |
| X | 2.19 45.7% |
| 3.77 26.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.66 60.2% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.07 48.3% |
| Under 1 | 2.09 47.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.67 59.9% |
Odds · 2 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fonbet | 4.7 | 4.1 | 1.6 |
| Betcity | 4.4 | 3.9 | 1.63 |
Farnham Town
Yeovil Town
Mertir Taun 🏴
Full head-to-head historyFarnham Town - Yeovil Town
Match history
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