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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
27.07.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
27.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

Galatasaray - Venetsiya ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น

Football
G
Galatasaray
0 : 3
Finished
V
Venetsiya ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
๐ŸŽฏ PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Galatasaray โ€” 54%

Pure model vs market (1 ยท Galatasaray): model 32% ยท market 56% ฮ” โˆ’24 pp model estimates below the market

1 ยท Galatasaray54.0%
X ยท draw21.2%
2 ยท Venetsiya ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น24.8%

Model estimate: win Galatasaray 54.0%, draw 21.2%, win Venetsiya ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 24.8%. Model favourite โ€” Galatasaray.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Galatasaray (odds1.49) Score 2:1 confidence 55% โœ— outcome missed
  • • Model backs Galatasaray ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท: probability 55% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.49)
  • • no edge over the line (-12 pp) โ€” informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Galatasaray - Venetsiya ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น July 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Galatasaray.

Strongest: Galatasaray - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.63 / X 4.41 / 2 4.07
  • 1X2 market: Galatasaray 56.3% / X 20.9% / Venetsiya ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 22.8%
  • Glicko: Galatasaray 54.0% / X 21.2% / Venetsiya ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 24.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.6%
1 56.5%
X 20.9%
2 22.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.50 โ†‘ 1.72
1X2 X 4.70 โ†“ 4.50
1X2 2 4.90 โ†“ 3.85

โ†“ odds shortened (money on this outcome), โ†‘ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 12 books
1 1.72 Dafabet
X 4.60 Betfair
2 4.30 10Bet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data โ€” for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Galatasaray
W-D-L 7-1-2 Scored 2.94 Conceded 1.52 xG 2.10 xGA 1.14 Corners 5.0
Venetsiya ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 3.97 Conceded 1.55 xG 2.36 xGA 0.74

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data โ€” for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Galatasaray
Rating 1650
Venetsiya ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
Rating 1662

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model โ€” for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction โ€ข nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Galatasaray 1 : 2 Venetsiya ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
11.71
X4.33
23.97

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference โ€” not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Participant opinions
79 predictions Choose an outcome
1 87% 14
X 12% 2
2 0% 0
Double chance X2 2.15 (8) - 1X 1.24 (2) - 12 1.21 (2)
Total TB 3.5 1.88 (4) - TB 4.5 2.82 (3) - TM 3.5 1.91 (2)
handicap1 handicap1:-1 2.13 (6) - handicap2:2 1.17 (1) - handicap1:-1_5 2.60 (1)
total_t2_under total_t1_over:2 1.76 (3) - total_t2_over:1_5 2.20 (2) - total_t2_over:1 1.47 (1)
Match center
Start 27.07.2026 16:00 UTC
๐ŸฅŠ Humans vs Machines
๐Ÿ‘ฅ Community Galatasaray 87%
๐Ÿ“ Math model Galatasaray 54%
๐Ÿ’น Market Galatasaray 5633%
Every pick locked before kickoff ยท public log
Match center

Galatasaray - Venetsiya ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions Stavka.tv 16 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:3
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 54.0% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.902 / LogLoss 1.394
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 54.0% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.902 / LogLoss 1.394
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Galatasaray 55.4% 54.0% market and model agree
Draw 21.2% 21.2% draw risk
Venetsiya ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 23.4% 24.8%
1X2: 16 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 54.0% / 21.2% / 24.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,528 / 1,770 Galatasaray / Venetsiya ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
RD 255 / 259 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,018-2,038 / 1,252-2,288 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 24.8%
X 3.85 Fonbet ยท draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 10.00 Fonbet ยท weak value +440.4% ยท model 54.0%
Double chance
12 1.25 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 78.8%
1X 1.22 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 75.2%
X2 1.06 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 46.0%
Handicap
2 -1 1.06 Fonbet ยท line only
2 +1 1.04 Fonbet ยท line only
2 0 1.05 Fonbet ยท line only
1 -1 6.60 Fonbet ยท line only
Total
Over 2.5 10.00 Fonbet ยท line only
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet ยท line only
Both teams to score
No 1.07 Fonbet ยท line only
Yes 6.50 Fonbet ยท line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.68 59.5% 1.66 60.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7%
X 4.50 22.2% 4.40 22.7% 4.50 22.2% 4.50 22.2% 4.75 21.1% 4.33 23.1%
3.95 25.3% 4.20 23.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.80 26.3% 4.40 22.7% 4.10 24.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.07 93.5% 2.86 35.0%
yes 6.50 15.4% 1.39 71.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.25 80.0%
1x 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 12.00 8.3%
x2 1.96 51.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.06 94.3%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 26.00 3.9%
0_1 19.00 5.3%
0_2 23.00 4.4%
0_3 46.00 2.2%
0_4 81.00 1.2%
1_0 12.00 8.3%
1_1 9.00 11.1%
1_2 11.00 9.1%
1_3 21.00 4.8%
1_4 51.00 2.0%
1_5 126.00 0.8%
2_0 11.00 9.1%
2_1 7.50 13.3%
2_2 10.00 10.0%
2_3 19.00 5.3%
2_4 41.00 2.4%
2_5 101.00 1.0%
3_0 13.00 7.7%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1, avg 3.0 gls
2026-07-27 ยท Galatasaray 0:3 Venetsiya
Source: ruscore

Odds ยท 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.54 (Liga Stavok) ยท X 5.2 (Betcity) ยท 2 5 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.5 4.7 5
Winline 1.52 4.3 4.7
Fonbet 1.5 4.7 5
Betcity 1.5 5.2 4.9
Liga Stavok 1.54 4.4 4.8
Source: ruscore ยท line comparison
Galatasaray
L W
24.07 16:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Galatasaray 0:2 Montsa ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
17.07 16:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Galatasaray 5:1 Umraniespor ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ทUmraniespor ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
Venetsiya ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
W W
23.07 13:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Venetsiya ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 8:0 Vis Pezaro ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
19.07 13:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Venetsiya ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 4:2 Dolomiti Bellunezi ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡นDolomiti Bellunezi ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
6.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points