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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
28.07.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction
28.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

Gent 2 - Maastricht

Football
G
Gent 2
1 : 0
Finished
Maastricht
Maastricht
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Gent 2 — 58%

1 · Gent 2 ✓ Pick58.3%
market64%
X · draw18.0%
market11%
2 · Maastricht23.7%
market25%

Model estimate: win Gent 2 58.3%, draw 18.0%, win Maastricht 23.7%. Model favourite — Gent 2.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Gent 2 (odds2.12) Score 2:1 confidence 58% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Gent U23 🇧🇪: probability 58% vs 47% on the line (odds 2.12)
  • • edge over the line +11 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gent 2 - Maastricht July 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Gent 2.

Line favourite Fonbet: Gent 2. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / X 5.90 / 2 2.66
  • Glicko: Gent 2 58.3% / X 18.0% / Maastricht 23.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 50.7%
1 ✓ Pick 63.8%
X 11.2%
2 24.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Gent 2 1 : 3 Maastricht
12.24
X3.52
22.61

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Match center

Gent 2 - Maastricht

Form 1/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Gent 2 39.9% 58.3% market and model agree
Draw 25.6% 18.0% draw risk
Maastricht 34.5% 23.7%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 58.3% / 18.0% / 23.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,660 / 1,544 Gent 2 / Maastricht
RD 273 / 197 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,113-2,207 / 1,150-1,937 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.66 market consensus · no value · model 23.7%
X 5.90 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 58.3%
Double chance
12 1.09 Fonbet · no value · model 82.0%
1X 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 76.3%
X2 6.70 Fonbet · no value · model 41.7%
Handicap
2 -1 1.55 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 3.60 Fonbet · line only
2 0 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Yes 6.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.08 92.6% 2.89 34.6%
yes 6.00 16.7% 1.38 72.5%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.09 91.7%
1x 1.03 97.1%
x2 6.70 14.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.80 35.7%
X 2.33 42.9%
3.19 31.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.09 47.9%
Under 1.5 1.66 60.2%
Match center
Gent 2
W
18.07 07:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Gent 2 3:2 Franks Bora 🇧🇪Franks Bora 🇧🇪
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Maastricht
L D D D W
25.07 07:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Maastricht 3:4 Beveren 🇧🇪
21.07 15:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Maastricht 2:2 EVV 🇳🇱
18.07 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Maastricht 0:0 Rasing Luxembourg (Lyuk)
14.07 15:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Maastricht 0:0 Seren 🇧🇪Seren 🇧🇪
12.07 08:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Maastricht 4:1 Viktoriya Keln 🇩🇪
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGent 2 - Maastricht

Gent 2
0 matches total
Maastricht
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history