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01.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Finished
Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Girona - Arsenal
G
Girona
1
:
4
Finished
A
Arsenal
Girona go head-to-head with Arsenal on August 1, 2026 in the Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.
Recent form (W-D-L): Girona 1-2-2, Arsenal 4-1-0. Sportsbooks lean towards Arsenal, an implied 51% to win. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 24% to win — broadly in line with the market. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Arsenal — 50%
Pure model vs market (2 · Arsenal): model 32% · market 51% Δ −19 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Girona 24.2%, draw 25.8%, win Arsenal 50.0%. Model favourite — Arsenal.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Arsenal (odds1.52)
Score 0:1
Under 3
(odds1.80)
confidence 50%
✓ outcome correct
- • Model backs Arsenal 🏴: probability 50% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.52)
- • no edge over the line (-16 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 0:1
- • Total: Under 3: model expects a total of ~1 goals
- • at line 3 (odds 1.80).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Girona - Arsenal August 1, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.
Strongest: Arsenal - market and Glicko agree
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.01 / X 3.51 / 2 1.79
- 1X2 market: Girona 22.8% / X 26.0% / Arsenal 51.2%
- Glicko: Girona 24.2% / X 25.8% / Arsenal 50.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.3%
1
22.8%
X
26.1%
2
51.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1
5.50
↓ 4.00
1X2 X
4.20
↑ 4.50
1X2 2
1.55
↑ 1.68
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies ClubsLeague table
Girona
Arsenal
not in table
Best price
across 12 books
1
4.20
10Bet
X
3.75
Betfair
2
1.90
Superbet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Girona
W-D-L 4-2-4
Scored 1.98
Conceded 1.49
xG 1.62
xGA 1.18
Arsenal
W-D-L 5-2-3
Scored 1.78
Conceded 1.42
xG 1.99
xGA 1.14
Corners 3.6
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Girona
Rating 1607
Arsenal
Rating 1628
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Girona
1
:
1
Arsenal
14.51
X3.80
21.72
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Start
01.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market
1 22.8% @ 4.01 / X 26.1% @ 3.51 / 2 51.1% @ 1.79
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community
Arsenal 96%
📐 Math model
Arsenal 50%
💹 Market
Arsenal 5118%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Girona - Arsenal
football, Zhirona - Arsenal, 1 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Zhirona - Arsenal, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Club Friendlies 2026.
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Player opinions
LiveResult 99
combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
H2H
Tournament
Line
Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
yes
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
yes
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
1:4
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Girona
22.8%
24.2%
Draw
26.0%
25.8%
draw risk
Arsenal
51.2%
50.0%
market and model agree
1X2: 17 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
24.2% / 25.8% / 50.0%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,520 / 1,500
Girona / Arsenal
RD
224 / 350
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,072-1,967 / 800-2,200
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.05
Fonbet · no value · model 50.0%
X
3.52
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
4.01
market consensus · no value · model 24.2%
Double chance
12
1.02
Fonbet · no value · model 74.2%
1X
7.40
Fonbet · weak value +269.8% · model 50.0%
X2
1.06
Fonbet · no value · model 75.8%
Handicap
2 -1
1.07
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
1.65
Fonbet · line only
2 0
1.04
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
6.40
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.20
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
3.90
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.87
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.88
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.30 23.3% | 4.08 24.5% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.10 24.4% | |
| X | 3.60 27.8% | 3.54 28.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.55 28.2% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.60 27.8% |
| 1.70 58.8% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.75 57.1% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.87 53.5% | 2.08 48.1% |
| yes | 1.88 53.2% | 1.70 58.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.24 80.7% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.02 98.0% |
| 1x | 1.81 55.3% | 1.84 54.4% | 7.40 13.5% |
| x2 | 1.21 82.6% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.06 94.3% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 0_1 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 0_2 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 0_3 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 0_4 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 0_5 | 56.00 1.8% |
| 0_6 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 1_0 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 1_1 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 1_2 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 1_3 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 1_4 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 1_5 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 1_6 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 2_0 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 2_1 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 2_2 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 2_3 | 17.00 5.9% |
Match center
Girona
D
L
W
D
L
Girona
Girona 3:3 Castellon
Girona
Girona 0:1 Alaves
Girona
Olot 1:3 Girona
Girona
Girona 1:1 Elche
Girona
Atletico Madrid 1:0 Girona
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1.4
Scored
1.4
Conceded
5
Points
Arsenal
D
W
W
W
W
PSG 1:1 Arsenal
Arsenal
Crystal Palace 1:2 Arsenal
Arsenal
Arsenal 1:0 Burnley
Arsenal
West Ham 0:1 Arsenal
Arsenal
Arsenal 1:0 Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
4
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
1.2
Scored
0.4
Conceded
13
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyGirona - Arsenal
Girona
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1
Girona
Team 2
Arsenal
Girona
Team comparison
Arsenal
0
Games
0
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
0
Scored
0
0
Conceded
0
0
Points
0
0
Attacks
0
0
Dangerous attacks
0
0
Big chances
0
0
Shots on goal
0
0
Udary v stvor
0
Zhirona Arsenal 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Kay Khaverts Maks Doumen 0:1 16' Khristos Tsolis Rikkardo Kalafori 0:2 30'
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- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form