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28.07.2026 16:45 UTC
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28.07.2026 16:45 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Istburn Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ - Hastings United
I
Istburn Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
1
:
3
Finished
H
Hastings United
๐ฏ PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model ยท comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Istburn Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ โ 63%
Model estimate: win Istburn Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 63.2%, draw 17.0%, win Hastings United 19.8%. Model favourite โ Istburn Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Istburn Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ (odds1.50)
Score 2:1
confidence 54%
โ outcome missed
- • Model backs Istburn Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ: probability 54% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.50)
- • no edge over the line (-13 pp) โ informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Istburn Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ - Hastings United July 28, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hastings United.
Line favourite market consensus: Hastings United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 13.80 / X 6.40 / 2 1.16
- Glicko: Istburn Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 63.2% / X 17.0% / Hastings United 19.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.1%
1 ✓ Pick
6.6%
X
14.3%
2
79.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 2
1.07
โ 1.04
โ odds shortened (money on this outcome), โ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction โข nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Istburn Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
3
:
1
Hastings United
Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference โ not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Istburn Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ - Hastings United
Form
0/3
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
Movement
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
1:3
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 63.2% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.072 / LogLoss 1.621
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 63.2% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.072 / LogLoss 1.621
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Istburn Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
6.6%
63.2%
Glicko contrarian
Draw
14.3%
17.0%
draw risk
Hastings United
79.0%
19.8%
market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
63.2% / 17.0% / 19.8%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,500 / 1,272
Istburn Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ / Hastings United
RD
350 / 257
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
800-2,200 / 758-1,786
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.16
market consensus ยท Glicko and market diverge ยท not marked as value ยท model 19.8%
X
6.40
market consensus ยท draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.80
market consensus ยท line only
2 -1
2.38
market consensus ยท line only
2 +0.5
1.69
market consensus ยท line only
2 +1
1.66
market consensus ยท line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.68
market consensus ยท line only
Under 2.5
2.11
market consensus ยท line only
Both teams to score
No
1.69
market consensus ยท line only
Yes
2.09
market consensus ยท line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.69 59.2% |
| yes | 2.09 47.9% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 10.10 9.9% | |
| X | 2.79 35.8% |
| 1.55 64.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.29 77.5% |
| Over 1 | 1.63 61.4% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.09 47.9% |
| Under 0.5 | 3.29 30.4% |
| Under 1 | 2.14 46.7% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.66 60.2% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.69 59.2% | |
| 1.54 64.9% | |
| 1.91 52.4% | |
| 1.79 55.9% | |
| 1.82 55.0% | |
| 2.01 49.8% | |
| 2.65 37.7% | |
| 1.69 59.2% | |
| 1.66 60.2% | |
| 1.75 57.1% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | |
| 2.38 42.0% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | |
| 1.44 69.4% |
Match center
Form & head-to-head
H2H 0-0-1, avg 4.0 gls
2026-07-24 ยท Pendzhab Yunayted 1:3 Uelling Yunayted
Source: ruscore
Hastings United
L
L
L
Hastings United
0:4
Konkord ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Hastings United
0:2
Roffey ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Hastings United
1:2
Lyuiz ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
0
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
0.3
Scored
2.7
Conceded
0
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyIstburn Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ - Hastings United
Istburn Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
0
matches total
Biggest win
โ
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
โ
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
โ
draw with the most goals
Match history
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