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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
28.07.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction
28.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

Kalyari ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น - Modena

Football
K
Kalyari ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
1 : 0
Finished
M
Modena
๐ŸŽฏ PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Kalyari ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น โ€” 52%

Pure model vs market (1 ยท Kalyari ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น): model 38% ยท market 53% ฮ” โˆ’15 pp model estimates below the market

1 ยท Kalyari ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น52.0%
X ยท draw26.9%
2 ยท Modena21.1%

Model estimate: win Kalyari ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 52.0%, draw 26.9%, win Modena 21.1%. Model favourite โ€” Kalyari ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Modena (odds5.50) Score 0:1 confidence 50% โœ— outcome missed
  • • Model backs Modena ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น: probability 50% vs 18% on the line (odds 5.50)
  • • edge over the line +32 pp โ€” value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kalyari ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น - Modena July 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kalyari ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น.

Strongest: Kalyari ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.74 / X 3.36 / 2 4.51
  • 1X2 market: Kalyari ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 52.4% / X 27.3% / Modena 20.3%
  • Glicko: Kalyari ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 52.0% / X 26.9% / Modena 21.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.4%
1 52.5%
X 27.2%
2 20.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.53 โ†‘ 1.60
1X2 X 4.10 โ†“ 3.80
1X2 2 5.50 โ†“ 5.30

โ†“ odds shortened (money on this outcome), โ†‘ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction โ€ข nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Kalyari ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 1 : 1 Modena
11.71
X3.56
24.95

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference โ€” not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 13:00 UTC
๐ŸฅŠ Humans vs Machines
๐Ÿ“ Math model Kalyari ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 52%
๐Ÿ’น Market Kalyari ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 5244%
Every pick locked before kickoff ยท public log
Match center

Kalyari ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น - Modena

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kalyari ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 52.9% 52.0% market and model agree
Draw 27.2% 26.9% draw risk
Modena 19.9% 21.1%
1X2: 15 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 52.0% / 26.9% / 21.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,578 / 1,708 Kalyari ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น / Modena
RD 291 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 995-2,161 / 1,126-2,290 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 21.1%
X 1.18 Fonbet ยท draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.03 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 52.0%
Double chance
12 4.10 Fonbet ยท weak value +199.7% ยท model 73.1%
1X 1.05 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 78.9%
X2 7.20 Fonbet ยท weak value +245.9% ยท model 48.0%
Handicap
2 -1 2.25 Fonbet ยท line only
2 +1 1.68 market consensus ยท line only
2 0 2.10 Fonbet ยท line only
1 -1 1.55 Fonbet ยท line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.13 market consensus ยท line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet ยท line only
Both teams to score
No 1.05 Fonbet ยท line only
Yes 7.30 Fonbet ยท line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.70 58.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.70 58.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.42 29.2% 3.60 27.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3%
4.75 21.1% 4.71 21.2% 4.33 23.1% 4.45 22.5% 4.40 22.7% 4.60 21.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.05 95.2% 1.74 57.5%
yes 7.30 13.7% 2.02 49.5%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
12 1.26 79.4% 4.10 24.4%
1x 1.17 85.5% 1.05 95.2%
x2 2.00 50.0% 7.20 13.9%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 7.50 13.3%
0_1 9.00 11.1%
0_2 21.00 4.8%
0_3 61.00 1.6%
1_0 5.00 20.0%
1_1 5.75 17.4%
1_2 13.00 7.7%
1_3 34.00 2.9%
1_4 126.00 0.8%
2_0 6.25 16.0%
2_1 7.00 14.3%
2_2 15.00 6.7%
2_3 46.00 2.2%
3_0 11.00 9.1%
3_1 12.00 8.3%
3_2 26.00 3.9%
3_3 67.00 1.5%
4_0 26.00 3.9%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-1, avg 1.5 gls
2023-02-03 ยท Kalyari 0:2 Modena
2022-09-02 ยท Kalyari 1:0 Modena
Source: ruscore

Odds ยท 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.62 (Liga Stavok) ยท X 4.2 (Betcity) ยท 2 5.8 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.53 3.95 5.8
Winline 1.61 3.6 5
Fonbet 1.53 3.95 5.8
Betcity 1.55 4.2 5.5
Liga Stavok 1.62 3.6 5
Source: ruscore ยท line comparison
Kalyari ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
D
23.07 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Kalyari ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 0:0 Sampdoriya ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
1 Points
Modena
W
25.07 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Modena 5:0 Boltsano ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
5.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points