PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
29.07.2026 06:00 UTC Match prediction
29.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

Lusitania Lourosa - Portu (B) 🇵🇹

Football
L
Lusitania Lourosa
3 : 3
Finished
P
Portu (B) 🇵🇹
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Lusitania Lourosa — 63%

1 · Lusitania Lourosa ✓ Pick62.7%
X · draw17.4%
2 · Portu (B) 🇵🇹19.9%

Model estimate: win Lusitania Lourosa 62.7%, draw 17.4%, win Portu (B) 🇵🇹 19.9%. Model favourite — Lusitania Lourosa.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Lusitania Lourosa (odds1.59) Score 2:0 confidence 63% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Luzitaniya 🇵🇹: probability 63% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.59)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lusitania Lourosa - Portu (B) 🇵🇹 July 29, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Lusitania Lourosa 62.7% / X 17.4% / Portu (B) 🇵🇹 19.9%

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Lusitania Lourosa
W-D-L 5-1-4 Scored 1.31 Conceded 1.32 xG 1.10 xGA 1.49
Portu (B) 🇵🇹
W-D-L 4-0-3 Scored 1.41 Conceded 1.99 xG 1.51 xGA 1.10

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Lusitania Lourosa
Rating 1520
Portu (B) 🇵🇹
Rating 1298

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Lusitania Lourosa 1 : 1 Portu (B) 🇵🇹

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 29.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Match center

Lusitania Lourosa - Portu (B) 🇵🇹

Form 3/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 3:3
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form, table home - 62.7% fact: draw missed / Brier 1.115 / LogLoss 1.748
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form, table home - 62.7% fact: draw missed / Brier 1.115 / LogLoss 1.748
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Lusitania Lourosa - 62.7% model pick
Draw - 17.4% draw risk
Portu (B) 🇵🇹 - 19.9%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 62.7% / 17.4% / 19.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,404 / 1,176 Lusitania Lourosa / Portu (B) 🇵🇹
RD 232 / 281 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 940-1,868 / 613-1,739 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Match center
Lusitania Lourosa
W L L
25.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Lusitania Lourosa 1:0 Akademiko Vizeu 🇵🇹
18.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Lusitania Lourosa 0:2 Braga (B) 🇵🇹
15.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Lusitania Lourosa 0:1 Famalikan 🇵🇹
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.3 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Portu (B) 🇵🇹
L
25.07 07:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Portu (B) 🇵🇹 1:3 Akademika 🇵🇹
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points