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World: Club Friendlies
World: Club Friendlies
04.08.2026 18:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line –Form –H2H ✓Prediction
04.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Finished

World: Club Friendlies

Nordvik πŸ‡³πŸ‡± - Rinsburgs Boys πŸ‡³πŸ‡±

Football
N
Nordvik πŸ‡³πŸ‡±
1 : 1
Finished
R
Rinsburgs Boys πŸ‡³πŸ‡±

Nordvik πŸ‡³πŸ‡± face Rinsburgs Boys πŸ‡³πŸ‡± on August 4, 2026 in the World: Club Friendlies.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 23% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Rinsburgs Boys πŸ‡³πŸ‡± β€” 55%

Pure model vs market (2 Β· Rinsburgs Boys πŸ‡³πŸ‡±): model 33% Β· market 57% Ξ” βˆ’24 pp model estimates below the market

1 Β· Nordvik πŸ‡³πŸ‡±23.5%
X Β· draw21.2%
2 Β· Rinsburgs Boys πŸ‡³πŸ‡±55.3%

Model estimate: win Nordvik πŸ‡³πŸ‡± 23.5%, draw 21.2%, win Rinsburgs Boys πŸ‡³πŸ‡± 55.3%. Model favourite β€” Rinsburgs Boys πŸ‡³πŸ‡±.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Nordvik πŸ‡³πŸ‡± (odds4.99) Score 2:1 confidence 52% βœ— outcome missed
  • • Model backs Nordvik πŸ‡³πŸ‡±: probability 52% vs 20% on the line (odds 4.99)
  • • edge over the line +32 pp β€” value pick
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nordvik πŸ‡³πŸ‡± - Rinsburgs Boys πŸ‡³πŸ‡± August 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rinsburgs Boys πŸ‡³πŸ‡±.

Line favourite market consensus: Rinsburgs Boys πŸ‡³πŸ‡±. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.20 / X 4.88 / 2 1.61
  • Glicko: Nordvik πŸ‡³πŸ‡± 23.5% / X 21.2% / Rinsburgs Boys πŸ‡³πŸ‡± 55.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.8% 3 books Β· best price +1.3%
1 22.2%
X 21.1%
2 56.7%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 22.4% @ 4.20 / X 19.3% @ 4.88 / 2 58.4% @ 1.61
Match center

Nordvik πŸ‡³πŸ‡± - Rinsburgs Boys πŸ‡³πŸ‡±

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, table away - 55.3% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.982 / LogLoss 1.551
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, table away - 55.3% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.982 / LogLoss 1.551
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Nordvik πŸ‡³πŸ‡± 22.2% 23.5%
Draw 21.1% 21.2% draw risk
Rinsburgs Boys πŸ‡³πŸ‡± 56.7% 55.3% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 23.5% / 21.2% / 55.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Nordvik πŸ‡³πŸ‡± / Rinsburgs Boys πŸ‡³πŸ‡±
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.60 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 55.3%
X 4.46 market consensus Β· draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 4.07 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 23.5%
Double chance
12 1.16 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 78.8%
1X 2.09 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 44.7%
X2 1.16 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 76.5%
Handicap
2 -1 1.88 market consensus Β· line only
2 0 1.31 market consensus Β· line only
1 +1 1.82 market consensus Β· line only
1 0 3.10 market consensus Β· line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.24 market consensus Β· line only
Under 2.5 3.60 market consensus Β· line only
Both teams to score
No 3.08 market consensus Β· line only
Yes 1.34 market consensus Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 3.08 32.5%
yes 1.34 74.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.13 88.5% 1.18 84.8%
1x 2.00 50.0% 2.17 46.1%
x2 1.13 88.5% 1.19 84.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.04 24.8%
X 2.90 34.5%
1.97 50.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.84 54.4%
Under 1.5 1.89 52.9%