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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

28.07.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction

28.07.2026 16:00 UTC

Finished

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

North Ferriby FC 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 - Scunthorpe United

Football

North Ferriby FC 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

2 : 2

Finished

Scunthorpe United

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Scunthorpe United — 77%

Pure model vs market (2 · Scunthorpe United): model 40% · market 80% Δ −40 pp model estimates below the market

1 · North Ferriby FC 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿8.8%

market7%

X · draw14.4%

market14%

2 · Scunthorpe United ✓ Pick76.8%

market80%

Model estimate: win North Ferriby FC 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 8.8%, draw 14.4%, win Scunthorpe United 76.8%. Model favourite — Scunthorpe United.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1North Ferriby FC 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 (odds1.72) Score 2:0 confidence 61% ✗ outcome missed

• Model backs North Ferriby FC 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿: probability 61% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.72)
• edge over the line +3 pp — value pick
• Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction North Ferriby FC 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 - Scunthorpe United July 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Scunthorpe United.

Line favourite market consensus: Scunthorpe United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 13.80 / X 6.70 / 2 1.16
Glicko: North Ferriby FC 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 8.8% / X 14.4% / Scunthorpe United 76.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.4%

1 6.7%

X 13.8%

2 ✓ Pick 79.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

North Ferriby FC 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 1 : 1 Scunthorpe United

113.50

X6.30

21.13

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center

Start 28.07.2026 16:00 UTC

Match center

North Ferriby FC 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 - Scunthorpe United

Form 0/4 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 2:2

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 76.8% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.329 / LogLoss 1.936

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 76.8% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.329 / LogLoss 1.936

Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 76.8% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.329 / LogLoss 1.936

Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 76.8% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.329 / LogLoss 1.936

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

North Ferriby FC 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 7.0% 8.8%

Draw 14.0% 14.4% draw risk

Scunthorpe United 79.1% 76.8% market and model agree

1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 8.8% / 14.4% / 76.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,500 / 1,626 North Ferriby FC 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 / Scunthorpe United

RD 350 / 292 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,042-2,211 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.16 market consensus · no value · model 76.8%

X 6.55 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

Double chance

12 1.07 market consensus · no value · model 85.6%

1X 4.70 market consensus · no value · model 23.2%

Handicap

2 +1 1.55 market consensus · line only

1 -1 2.36 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.69 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.09 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	1.69 59.2%
yes	2.09 47.9%

Double chance

Outcome	Betcity
12	1.07 93.5%
1x	4.70 21.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	10.10 9.9%
X	2.79 35.8%
	1.55 64.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 0.5	1.15 87.0%
Over 1.5	2.09 47.9%
Under 0.5	4.71 21.2%
Under 1.5	1.66 60.2%

Match center

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 16 (Pari) · X 7.2 (Liga Stavok) · 2 1.14 (Pari)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	16	6.9	1.14
Fonbet	16	6.9	1.14
Betcity	15.5	7.1	1.12
Liga Stavok	14	7.2	1.14

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Scunthorpe United

L L W W

22.07 16:45 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Scunthorpe United 0:2 Bakston 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

18.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Scunthorpe United 0:4 Spalding Yunayted 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

16.07 16:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Scunthorpe United 1:0 Skegness Town 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

07.07 16:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Scunthorpe United 2:1 Brigg Taun 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

2 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.8 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyNorth Ferriby FC 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 - Scunthorpe United

North Ferriby FC 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

0 matches total

Scunthorpe United

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

North Ferriby FC 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 - Scunthorpe United

AI match prediction North Ferriby FC 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 - Scunthorpe United July 28, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Score prediction

Buy the full AI analysis

North Ferriby FC 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 - Scunthorpe United

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Match history