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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
28.07.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction
28.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

Portimonensi 🇵🇹 - Al-Akhli 🇸🇦

Football
P
Portimonensi 🇵🇹
2 : 0
Finished
Al-Akhli 🇸🇦
Al-Akhli 🇸🇦
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Portimonensi 🇵🇹 — 50%

1 · Portimonensi 🇵🇹50.4%
X · draw18.7%
2 · Al-Akhli 🇸🇦30.9%

Model estimate: win Portimonensi 🇵🇹 50.4%, draw 18.7%, win Al-Akhli 🇸🇦 30.9%. Model favourite — Portimonensi 🇵🇹.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Portimonensi 🇵🇹 (odds1.70) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Portimonensi 🇵🇹: probability 50% vs 59% on the line (odds 1.70)
  • • no edge over the line (-9 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Portimonensi 🇵🇹 - Al-Akhli 🇸🇦 July 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Al-Akhli 🇸🇦.

Line favourite market consensus: Al-Akhli 🇸🇦. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.68 / X 4.26 / 2 1.71
  • Glicko: Portimonensi 🇵🇹 50.4% / X 18.7% / Al-Akhli 🇸🇦 30.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.1%
1 24.9%
X 21.5%
2 53.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Portimonensi 🇵🇹 1 : 2 Al-Akhli 🇸🇦
13.62
X4.18
21.68

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Match center

Portimonensi 🇵🇹 - Al-Akhli 🇸🇦

Form 1/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 50.4% fact: home hit / ROI 268.0% / Brier 0.376 / LogLoss 0.684
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 50.4% fact: home hit / ROI 268.0% / Brier 0.376 / LogLoss 0.684
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Portimonensi 🇵🇹 24.9% 50.4% Glicko contrarian
Draw 21.5% 18.7% draw risk
Al-Akhli 🇸🇦 53.6% 30.9% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 50.4% / 18.7% / 30.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,295 / 1,340 Portimonensi 🇵🇹 / Al-Akhli 🇸🇦
RD 282 / 240 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 731-1,860 / 860-1,821 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.71 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 30.9%
X 4.26 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.68 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 50.4%
Handicap
2 -1 2.31 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.40 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.40 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.74 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.42 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.74 36.5%
yes 1.42 70.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.86 25.9%
X 2.74 36.5%
2.10 47.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.24 44.6%
Over 1.5 1.77 56.5%
Under 1 1.58 63.3%
Under 1.5 1.94 51.6%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.57 63.7%
2.40 41.7%
1.50 66.7%
1.50 66.7%
2.31 43.3%
2.40 41.7%
Match center
Portimonensi 🇵🇹
L
15.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Portimonensi 🇵🇹 0:3 Riu Ave 🇵🇹
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Al-Akhli 🇸🇦
L D L
24.07 07:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Al-Akhli 🇸🇦 1:3 Vitoriya Gimaraynsh 🇵🇹
19.07 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Al-Akhli 🇸🇦 2:2 Riu Ave 🇵🇹
15.07 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Al-Akhli 🇸🇦 1:4 Kholshtayn Kil 🇩🇪Kholshtayn Kil 🇩🇪
0 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.3 Scored
3.0 Conceded
1 Points