Match center
Start
29.07.2026 16:45 UTC
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29.07.2026 16:45 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Real Bedford - St Albans City
4
:
4
Finished
S
St Albans City
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Real Bedford — 43%
Pure model vs market (1 · Real Bedford): model 29% · market 36% Δ −7 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Real Bedford 43.3%, draw 23.6%, win St Albans City 33.1%. Model favourite — Real Bedford.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Real Bedford (odds1.94)
Score 1:0
confidence 50%
✗ outcome missed
- • Albans 🏴 (football)
- • Model backs Real Bedford 🏴: probability 50% vs 52% on the line (odds 1.94)
- • no edge over the line (-2 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Real Bedford - St Albans City July 29, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Bedford.
Line favourite market consensus: Real Bedford. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.87 / X 3.80 / 2 2.85
- Glicko: Real Bedford 43.3% / X 23.6% / St Albans City 33.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin -3.8%
1
36.2%
X
27.3%
2
36.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Real Bedford
4
:
2
St Albans City
12.10
X3.75
22.78
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Real Bedford - St Albans City
Form
2/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
4:4
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 43.3% fact: draw
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.880 / LogLoss 1.443
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 43.3% fact: draw
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.880 / LogLoss 1.443
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Real Bedford
44.3%
43.3%
market and model agree
Draw
23.9%
23.6%
draw risk
St Albans City
31.8%
33.1%
1X2: 3 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
43.3% / 23.6% / 33.1%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,314 / 1,640
Real Bedford / St Albans City
RD
249 / 257
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
816-1,812 / 1,125-2,155
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.66
market consensus · no value · model 33.1%
X
3.64
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
2.31
market consensus · no value · model 43.3%
Double chance
12
1.19
market consensus · no value · model 76.4%
1X
1.33
market consensus · no value · model 66.9%
X2
1.64
market consensus · no value · model 56.7%
Handicap
2 0
2.04
market consensus · line only
1 0
1.75
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.92
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.82
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.03
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.73
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.03 49.3% |
| yes | 1.73 57.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.16 86.2% | 1.22 82.0% |
| 1x | 1.29 77.5% | 1.37 73.0% |
| x2 | 1.59 62.9% | 1.69 59.2% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.59 27.9% | |
| X | 2.10 47.6% |
| 2.90 34.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.23 81.3% |
| Over 1 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.09 47.9% |
| Under 0.5 | 3.71 27.0% |
| Under 1 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.66 60.2% |
Match center
Odds · 3 bookmakers
Best price: 1 1.97 (Pari) · X 3.85 (Pari) · 2 3.2 (Pari)
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.97 | 3.85 | 3.2 |
| Fonbet | 1.97 | 3.85 | 3.2 |
| Betcity | 1.95 | 3.7 | 3.2 |
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Real Bedford
L
D
Real Bedford
2:8
Borkhem Vud 🏴
Real Bedford
4:4
Kharboro 🏴
0
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
3.0
Scored
6.0
Conceded
1
Points
St Albans City
W
L
St Albans City
4:1
Bedfont Sports 🏴
St Albans City
1:2
Khanvort 🏴
Khanvort 🏴
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.5
Scored
1.5
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyReal Bedford - St Albans City
Real Bedford
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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The Real Bedford - St Albans City breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form