Match center
Start
04.08.2026 15:00 UTC
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✓ Prematch ready
Prematch data
–Line
✓Form
–H2H
✓Prediction
04.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished
Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Teramo - Scafatese
T
Teramo
1
:
0
Finished
S
Scafatese
Teramo meet Scafatese on August 4, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Teramo 2-3-0, Scafatese 4-1-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 47% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Teramo — 47%
Model estimate: win Teramo 47.4%, draw 18.9%, win Scafatese 33.7%. Model favourite — Teramo.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Teramo (odds2.48)
Score 1:0
confidence 50%
✓ outcome correct · exact score
- • Model backs Teramo 🇮🇹: probability 50% vs 40% on the line (odds 2.48)
- • edge over the line +10 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Teramo - Scafatese August 4, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Glicko: Teramo 47.4% / X 18.9% / Scafatese 33.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.7%
1
5.2%
X
89.3%
2
5.5%
Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Teramo - Scafatese
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Form
Match
Participants
More needed
Market
fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line
fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
1:0
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: form, table
home - 47.4% fact: home
hit / Brier 0.426 / LogLoss 0.747
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: form, table
home - 47.4% fact: home
hit / Brier 0.426 / LogLoss 0.747
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Teramo
-
47.4%
model pick
Draw
-
18.9%
draw risk
Scafatese
-
33.7%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
47.4% / 18.9% / 33.7%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,500 / 1,604
Teramo / Scafatese
RD
350 / 259
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
800-2,200 / 1,086-2,123
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
1.05
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
Double chance
12
7.80
Fonbet · weak value +532.7% · model 81.1%
1X
1.06
Fonbet · no value · model 66.3%
X2
1.05
Fonbet · no value · model 52.6%
Handicap
2 -1
1.82
Fonbet · line only
2 0
1.82
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
1.88
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.88
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
8.50
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.04
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.20
Fonbet · line only
Yes
4.00
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.20 83.3% |
| yes | 4.00 25.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 7.80 12.8% |
| 1x | 1.06 94.3% |
| x2 | 1.05 95.2% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 1.88 53.2% | |
| 5.00 20.0% | |
| 1.88 53.2% | |
| 9.00 11.1% | |
| 1.82 55.0% | |
| 1.13 88.5% | |
| 1.82 55.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.40 71.4% |
| Over 1 | 1.95 51.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.55 39.2% |
| Over 2 | 2.85 35.1% |
| Over 2.5 | 8.50 11.8% |
| Over 3 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Over 3.5 | 9.00 11.1% |
| Over 4.5 | 4.80 20.8% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.70 37.0% |
| Under 1 | 1.75 57.1% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| Under 2 | 1.35 74.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.04 96.2% |
| Under 3 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.04 96.2% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.14 87.7% |
Match center
Teramo
W
D
D
W
D
Teramo
Teramo 3:1 San Nicolo
Teramo
Atletico Ascoli 1:1 Teramo
Teramo
Teramo 2:2 Recanatese
Teramo
San Marino 1:3 Teramo
Teramo
Teramo 0:0 Termoli
2
Wins
3
Draws
0
Losses
1.8
Scored
1.0
Conceded
9
Points
Scafatese
W
D
W
W
W
Scafatese 1:0 Desenzano Calvina
Scafatese
Desenzano Calvina 1:1 Scafatese
Scafatese
Savoia 1908 1:4 Scafatese
Scafatese
Scafatese 1:0 Palmese 1914
Scafatese
Anzio 0:1 Scafatese
Scafatese
4
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
1.6
Scored
0.4
Conceded
13
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyTeramo - Scafatese
Teramo
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Teramo - Scafatese breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form