Match center
Start
29.07.2026 16:45 UTC
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29.07.2026 16:45 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Trafford - Chorley
T
Trafford
2
:
1
Finished
C
Chorley
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Trafford — 67%
Model estimate: win Trafford 66.8%, draw 16.3%, win Chorley 17.0%. Model favourite — Trafford.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Trafford (odds2.10)
Score 2:0
Under 4.5
(odds1.60) ✓
Handicap H1 +0
(odds1.68) ✓
confidence 60%
✓ outcome correct
- • liniya na pik P1 3.25→2.65 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
- • Model backs Trafford 🏴: probability 60% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.10)
- • edge over the line +13 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 2:0
- • Total: Under 4.5: model expects a total of ~2 goals
- • at line 4.5 (odds 1.60)
- • Handicap F1 +0: score forecast 2:0 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.68).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Trafford - Chorley July 29, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Trafford.
Line favourite Fonbet: Trafford. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / X 1.35 / 2 4.00
- Glicko: Trafford 66.8% / X 16.3% / Chorley 17.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 95.2%
1 ✓ Pick
49.3%
X
37.9%
2
12.8%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1
3.25
↓ 2.65
1X2 X
4.30
↓ 4.10
1X2 2
1.75
↑ 2.05
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Trafford
1
:
1
Chorley
Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Trafford - Chorley
Form
2/4
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
Movement
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
2:1
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 66.8% fact: home
hit / ROI 165.0% / Brier 0.166 / LogLoss 0.404
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 66.8% fact: home
hit / ROI 165.0% / Brier 0.166 / LogLoss 0.404
Glicko-2: public filter
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 66.8% fact: home
hit / ROI 165.0% / Brier 0.166 / LogLoss 0.404
Glicko-2: precision filter
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 66.8% fact: home
hit / ROI 165.0% / Brier 0.166 / LogLoss 0.404
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Trafford
34.0%
66.8%
Glicko contrarian
Draw
22.0%
16.3%
draw risk
Chorley
44.0%
17.0%
market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
66.8% / 16.3% / 17.0%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,590 / 1,253
Trafford / Chorley
RD
296 / 228
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
998-2,182 / 796-1,710
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.00
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 17.0%
X
1.35
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.04
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 66.8%
Double chance
12
2.95
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 83.7%
1X
1.20
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 83.0%
X2
9.00
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 33.2%
Handicap
2 0
1.37
Fonbet · line only
1 0
2.85
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.60
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.45
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 2.95 33.9% |
| 1x | 1.20 83.3% |
| x2 | 9.00 11.1% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.47 68.0% | |
| 7.20 13.9% | |
| 2.85 35.1% | |
| 2.50 40.0% | |
| 1.06 94.3% | |
| 1.37 73.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2.60 38.5% |
| Over 3.5 | 7.20 13.9% |
| Over 4.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Over 5.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| Over 6.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.06 94.3% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Under 5.5 | 1.58 63.3% |
| Under 6.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.04 96.2% | |
| X | 1.35 74.1% |
| 4.00 25.0% |
Match center
Trafford
L
W
Trafford
0:3
Yunayted of Manchester 🏴
Trafford
2:0
Warrington Rylands 🏴
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.5
Conceded
3
Points
Chorley
L
D
L
L
Chorley
0:3
Akkrington 🏴
Akkrington 🏴
Chorley
0:0
Altrinchem 🏴
Chorley
1:2
Byuri 🏴
Chorley
0:1
Bamber Bridzh 🏴
Bamber Bridzh 🏴
0
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
0.3
Scored
1.5
Conceded
1
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyTrafford - Chorley
Trafford
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form