Match center
Start
27.07.2026 16:30 UTC
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27.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished
World: COTIF Tournament Standings
Mauritania U20 - Elche U20
M
Mauritania U20
1
:
2
Finished
E
Elche U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Mauritania U20 — 72%
Pure model vs market (1 · Mauritania U20): model 59% · market 69% Δ −10 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Mauritania U20 71.9%, draw 16.8%, win Elche U20 11.3%. Model favourite — Mauritania U20.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Mauritania U20 (odds1.57)
Score 2:0
confidence 67%
✗ outcome missed
- • Model backs Mavritaniya U20: probability 67% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.57)
- • edge over the line +4 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 2:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Mauritania U20 - Elche U20 July 27, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mauritania U20.
Line favourite market consensus: Mauritania U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.50 / X 5.50 / 2 8.50
- Glicko: Mauritania U20 71.9% / X 16.8% / Elche U20 11.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin -3.4%
1 ✓ Pick
69.0%
X
18.8%
2
12.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1
1.78
↑ 10.00
1X2 X
4.05
↓ 3.30
1X2 2
3.30
↓ 1.06
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Mauritania U20
2
:
2
Elche U20
Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Mauritania U20 - Elche U20
Form
2/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
Movement
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
1:2
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 71.9% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.331 / LogLoss 2.177
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 71.9% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.331 / LogLoss 2.177
Glicko-2: public filter
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 71.9% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.331 / LogLoss 2.177
Glicko-2: precision filter
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 71.9% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.331 / LogLoss 2.177
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Mauritania U20
72.8%
71.9%
market and model agree
Draw
16.5%
16.8%
draw risk
Elche U20
10.7%
11.3%
1X2: 3 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
71.9% / 16.8% / 11.3%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,791 / 1,500
Mauritania U20 / Elche U20
RD
263 / 350
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,264-2,318 / 800-2,200
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
7.67
market consensus · no value · model 11.3%
X
5.03
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.33
market consensus · no value · model 71.9%
Total
Over 2.5
1.44
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.63
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Total
| Outcome | Bet365 |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.44 69.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.63 38.1% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Bet365 | Bet365 (no latency) | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.50 66.7% | |
| X | 5.50 18.2% | 5.50 18.2% | 4.10 24.4% |
| 8.50 11.8% | 8.50 11.8% | 6.00 16.7% |
Match center
Mauritania U20
W
W
Mauritania U20
2:1
Valensiya U20
Mauritania U20
3:0
Castellon U20
2
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.5
Scored
0.5
Conceded
6
Points
Elche U20
L
D
Elche U20
0:1
Castellon U20
Elche U20
1:1
Valensiya U20
0
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
0.5
Scored
1.0
Conceded
1
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMauritania U20 - Elche U20
Mauritania U20
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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The Mauritania U20 - Elche U20 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form