When does France vs Spain start?

AI verdict

AI pick France win probability ~40% confidence Low best odds 2.42

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to France. Full breakdown below.

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →

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World: Championship World - Play-off

Semifinal

14.07.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

14.07.2026 17:00 UTC Semifinal

Finished

World: Championship World - Play-off

France - Spain

Football

France

0 : 2

Finished

Spain

France face Spain on July 14, 2026 in the World: Championship World - Play-off.

Recent form (W-D-L): France 3-0-0, Spain 3-0-0. The bookmaker line makes France the favourite at about 40%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction France - Spain July 14, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like France.

Line favourite market consensus: France. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.42 / X 3.16 / 2 3.18
1X2 market: France 39.6% / X 30.3% / Spain 30.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.3% 16 books · best price +5.2%

1 39.7%

X 30.6%

2 29.8%

Odds source: consensus of 16 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

World Cup

League table

France

#19 ptsGP 33-0-010:2

LWWWW

Spain

#17 ptsGP 32-1-05:0

WWWWW

Best price across 13 books

1 2.62 Betano

X 3.30 Dafabet

2 3.25 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

France 2 : 1 Spain

12.46

X3.25

23.33

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated03.08.2026 17:09 UTC

1 41% ✓ favourite

X 30%

2 29%

Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:France ne proigraet and Total Under 2.5 golov (1X + Under 2.5)

Per AI data H2H: 4-5

DeepSeek updated13.07.2026 18:09 UTC

1 40% ✓ favourite

X 33%

2 27%

Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:1X (France ne proigraet)

Per AI data H2H: 1-3

ChatGPT updated13.07.2026 18:13 UTC

1 42% ✓ favourite

X 30%

2 28%

Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1X

Per AI data H2H: 4-5

Claude updated13.07.2026 18:16 UTC

1 40% ✓ favourite

X 27%

2 33%

Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:Double chance 1X (France ne proigraet v osnovnoe vremya)

Qwen updated13.07.2026 18:12 UTC

1 42% ✓ favourite

X 28%

2 30%

Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:1X (France ne proigraet)

AI consensus:1

AI	1	X	2	Score	Total goals	BTTS	Bet
Google AI	41%	30%	29%	1:0	Under 2.5	No	France ne proigraet and Total Under 2.5 golov (1X + Under 2.5)
DeepSeek	40%	33%	27%	1:1	Under 2.5	Yes	1X (France ne proigraet)
ChatGPT	42%	30%	28%	1:1	Under 2.5	No	1X
Claude	40%	27%	33%	1:1	Under 2.5	Yes	Double chance 1X (France ne proigraet v osnovnoe vremya)
Qwen	42%	28%	30%	1:1	Under 2.5	Yes	1X (France ne proigraet)

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Match center

Stadium Ey-Ti-end-Ti (Arlington, Tekhas, USA), 70 176 zriteley (63% pri vmestimosti 111 000)

Referee Ivan Barton (Santa-Ana, Salvador)

Start 14.07.2026 17:00 UTC

Market 1 39.6% @ 2.42 / X 30.3% @ 3.16 / 2 30.1% @ 3.18

🥊 Humans vs Machines

🤖 7 AI models France 41%

💹 Market France 3962%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

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Match center

France - Spain

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi France - Spain, 14 iyulya 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. World Cup po futbolu 2026, 1/2 finala. France - Spain, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.

Form 3/3 recent games

Post-match / SStats

Score 0:2

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.03 Fonbet · line only

X 3.16 market consensus · line only

1 2.42 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 1.02 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.37 market consensus · line only

X2 1.14 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.70 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.25 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.74 market consensus · line only

2 +1 1.16 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 8.00 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.08 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.87 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.93 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	2.36 42.4%	2.45 40.8%	2.38 42.0%	2.55 39.2%	2.40 41.7%	2.38 42.0%
X	3.05 32.8%	3.26 30.7%	3.20 31.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.00 33.3%
	3.15 31.8%	3.32 30.1%	3.20 31.3%	3.25 30.8%	3.25 30.8%	3.20 31.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.87 53.5%	2.19 45.7%
yes	1.93 51.8%	1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.39 71.9%	1.39 71.9%	1.02 98.0%
1x	1.39 71.9%	1.35 74.1%	12.00 8.3%
x2	1.60 62.5%	1.58 63.3%	1.14 87.7%

Exact Score

Outcome	10Bet
0_0	8.50 11.8%
0_1	9.00 11.1%
0_2	15.00 6.7%
0_3	31.00 3.2%
0_4	71.00 1.4%
1_0	7.50 13.3%
1_1	5.25 19.1%
1_2	9.00 11.1%
1_3	19.00 5.3%
1_4	51.00 2.0%
1_5	126.00 0.8%
2_0	10.00 10.0%
2_1	7.50 13.3%
2_2	10.00 10.0%
2_3	23.00 4.4%
2_4	61.00 1.6%
3_0	21.00 4.8%
3_1	13.00 7.7%

Match center

France

W W W

09.07 18:00 UTC World Cup - Playoff

France 2:0 Morocco

04.07 19:00 UTC World Cup - Playoff

France 1:0 Paraguay

30.06 19:00 UTC World Cup - Playoff

France 3:0 Sweden

3 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

0.0 Conceded

9 Points

Spain

W W W

10.07 17:00 UTC World Cup - Playoff

Spain 2:1 Belgium

05.07 17:00 UTC World Cup - Playoff

Spain 1:0 Portugal

02.07 17:00 UTC World Cup - Playoff

Spain 3:0 Austria

3 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

0.3 Conceded

9 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head history: France - Spain

France

0 matches total

Spain

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 France

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Spain

6 Games 6

6 Wins 5

0 Draws 1

0 Losses 0

16 Scored 11

2 Conceded 1

18 Points 16

119.17 Attacks 133.83

66.33 Dangerous attacks 78.83

5.5 Big chances 1

18.33 Shots on goal 17.17

7.83 Shots on target 6.17

zhdeniya 0.83 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Mikel Oyarsabal 0:1 22' Pedro Porro Dani Olmo 0:2 58' Nakazaniya Adrien Rabo 8' Mark Kukurelya 31' Kilian Mbappe 86'

France Spain 6 Games 6 Wins 5 0 Draws 1 0 Losses 0 16 Scored 11 2 Conceded 1 18 Points 16 119.17 Attacks 133.83 66.33 Dangerous attacks 78.83 5.5 Big chances 1 18.33 Shots on goal 17.17 7.83 Udary v stvor 6.17 1 Shtangi/perekladiny 1 6.83 Uglovye 6.5 1.17 Offsaydy 2 9.83 Foly 10.17 58.83 % vladeniya myachom 65.67 0.67 Warnings 0.83 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Mikel Oyarsabal 0:1 22' Pedro Porro Dani Olmo 0:2 58' Nakazaniya Adrien Rabo 8' Mark Kukurelya 31' Kilian Mbappe 86'

France - Spain

AI match prediction France - Spain July 14, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Statistics and model

AI outcome leader: 1

Score prediction

AI predictions

Unlock the full AI analysis

France - Spain

Match markets

Match Winner

Both teams to score

Double chance

Exact Score

Match history

More predictions

Frequently asked questions