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South AMERIKA: Yuzhnoamerikanskiy Cup - Playoff
South AMERIKA: Yuzhnoamerikanskiy Cup - Playoff
28.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

South AMERIKA: Yuzhnoamerikanskiy Cup - Playoff

Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡· - Bolivar U19

Football
Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡·
Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡·
0 : 4
Finished
B
Bolivar U19
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Bolivar U19 β€” 56%

1 Β· Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡·25.8%
X Β· draw18.0%
2 Β· Bolivar U19 ✓ Pick56.2%

Model estimate: win Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡· 25.8%, draw 18.0%, win Bolivar U19 56.2%. Model favourite β€” Bolivar U19.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Bolivar U19 (odds1.78) Score 1:2 Under 4.5 (odds1.80) βœ“ Handicap H1 +4.5 (odds1.55) βœ“ confidence 56% βœ“ outcome correct
  • Model backs Bolivar πŸ‡§πŸ‡΄: probability 56% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.78)
  • no edge over the line (-0 pp) β€” informational only
  • Expected score 1:2
  • Total: Under 4.5: model expects a total of ~3 goals
  • at line 4.5 (odds 1.80)
  • Handicap F1 +4.5: score forecast 1:2 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.55).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡· - Bolivar U19 July 28, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡· 25.8% / X 18.0% / Bolivar U19 56.2%

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡· - Bolivar U19

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants H2H
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:4
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form, table away - 56.2% fact: away hit / Brier 0.291 / LogLoss 0.577
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form, table away - 56.2% fact: away hit / Brier 0.291 / LogLoss 0.577
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡· - 25.8%
Draw - 18.0% draw risk
Bolivar U19 - 56.2% model pick

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 25.8% / 18.0% / 56.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,263 / 1,557 Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡· / Bolivar U19
RD 234 / 292 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 794-1,731 / 973-2,140 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
Both teams to score
No 1.14 Fonbet Β· line only
Yes 4.70 Fonbet Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.14 87.7%
yes 4.70 21.3%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
6.70 14.9%
1.16 86.2%
1.18 84.8%
1.02 98.0%
1.02 98.0%
1.06 94.3%
4.40 22.7%
4.05 24.7%
9.50 10.5%
10.00 10.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 4.5 3.70 27.0%
Over 5.5 6.60 15.2%
Over 6.5 9.50 10.5%
Over 7.5 9.00 11.1%
Over 8.5 6.30 15.9%
Under 4.5 1.22 82.0%
Under 5.5 1.06 94.3%
Under 6.5 1.02 98.0%
Under 7.5 1.03 97.1%
Under 8.5 1.07 93.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 4.5 4.50 22.2%
Over 5.5 2.50 40.0%
Over 6.5 2.40 41.7%
Under 4.5 1.15 87.0%
Under 5.5 1.47 68.0%
Under 6.5 1.50 66.7%
Match center
Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡·
L
23.07 20:00 UTC South AMERIKA: Yuzhnoamerikanskiy Cup - Playoff
Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡· 2:3 Bolivar πŸ‡§πŸ‡΄
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Bolivar U19
W
23.07 20:00 UTC South AMERIKA: Yuzhnoamerikanskiy Cup - Playoff
Bolivar U19 3:2 Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡·Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡·
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡· - Bolivar U19

Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡·
1 matches total
Bolivar U19
Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡·: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Bolivar U19: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Bolivar πŸ‡§πŸ‡΄ 2:3 (23.07 20:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 23.07 20:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw β€” draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 2

Match history

23.07 20:00 UTC South AMERIKA: Yuzhnoamerikanskiy Cup - Playoff
Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡·
2:3
Bolivar πŸ‡§πŸ‡΄