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Belarus. Tournament in memory of A. Dubko. Grodno
Belarus. Tournament in memory of A. Dubko. Grodno International
30.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Finished

Belarus. Tournament in memory of A. Dubko. Grodno

Yunost Minsk - Shahter Soligorsk

International Hockey
Y
Yunost Minsk
1 : 4
Finished
Shahter Soligorsk
Shahter Soligorsk
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Shahter Soligorsk50%

1 · Yunost Minsk49.6%
2 · Shahter Soligorsk50.4%

Model estimate: win Yunost Minsk 49.6%, win Shahter Soligorsk 50.4%. Model favourite — Shahter Soligorsk.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Shahter Soligorsk (odds2.97) Score 2:3 Handicap H2 +1 (odds1.62) confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • Yunost Minsk: forma pp (0-2)
  • Shakhter Soligorsk: forma NPPP (0-3-1)
  • Model backs Shakhter Soligorsk: probability 50% vs 34% on the line (odds 2.97)
  • edge over the line +17 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 2:3
  • Handicap F2 +1: score forecast 2:3 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.62).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Yunost Minsk - Shahter Soligorsk July 30, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Yunost Minsk 49.6% / Shahter Soligorsk 50.4%

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.85 ↑ 2.25
1X2 X 4.30 ↓ 3.90
1X2 2 2.97 ↓ 2.44

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Form 5 matches
Match center

Yunost Minsk - Shahter Soligorsk

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:4
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 50.4% fact: away hit / ROI 144.0% / Brier 0.492 / LogLoss 0.685
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 50.1% fact: away hit / ROI 144.0% / Brier 0.498 / LogLoss 0.691
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Yunost Minsk 40.0% 49.6% market favourite
Draw 23.1% -
Shahter Soligorsk 36.9% 50.4% Glicko contrarian
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 49.6% / 50.4% probabilities
Rating 1,267 / 1,371 Yunost Minsk / Shahter Soligorsk
RD 255 / 226 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 758-1,776 / 919-1,824 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 50.4%
Handicap
2 -1 1.40 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 3.00 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.10 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.80 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Over 3.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.35 74.1%
8.50 11.8%
1.15 87.0%
1.25 80.0%
1.25 80.0%
2.80 35.7%
6.20 16.1%
5.10 19.6%
3.00 33.3%
1.05 95.2%
4.80 20.8%
3.55 28.2%
3.45 29.0%
6.50 15.4%
1.40 71.4%
1.09 91.7%
1.13 88.5%
1.10 90.9%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.04 96.2%
Over 3.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 4 1.38 72.5%
Over 4.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 5 1.85 54.1%
Over 5.5 7.50 13.3%
Over 6 2.85 35.1%
Over 6.5 8.00 12.5%
Over 7 4.70 21.3%
Over 7.5 8.50 11.8%
Over 8.5 4.15 24.1%
Under 2.5 8.50 11.8%
Under 3.5 1.62 61.7%
Under 4 2.80 35.7%
Under 4.5 1.50 66.7%
Under 5 1.85 54.1%
Under 5.5 1.06 94.3%
Under 6 1.37 73.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
74.00 1.4%
X 15.00 6.7%
1.02 98.0%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Yunost MinskLLLLLWWWLW
Shahter SoligorskWLLWLLLWWW
H2H 6-0-4, avg 4.9 gls
2026-07-30 · Yunost Minsk 1:4 Shaxter Soligorsk
2026-02-17 · Yunost Minsk 4:5 Shaxter Soligorsk
2026-02-15 · Yunost Minsk 1:3 Shaxter Soligorsk
2025-10-20 · Yunost Minsk 3:2 Shaxter Soligorsk
2025-10-18 · Yunost Minsk 3:2 Shaxter Soligorsk
Source: ruscore

Odds · 2 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.06 (Liga Stavok) · X 4.1 (Liga Stavok) · 2 2.8 (Liga Stavok)
Bookmaker1X2
Winline 1.8 3.84 1.9
Liga Stavok 2.06 4.1 2.8
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Yunost Minsk
L L
25.07 11:00 UTC+0 Friendlies
Yunost Minsk 0:2 Admiral 🇷🇺
22.07 10:30 UTC+0 Belarus. Friendlies
Yunost Minsk 2:3 Khimik Novopolotsk
0 Wins
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.5 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Shahter Soligorsk
D L L L
28.07 11:00 UTC+0 Friendlies
Shahter Soligorsk 2:2 Admiral 🇷🇺
25.07 09:30 UTC+0 World: Club Friendlies
Shahter Soligorsk 1:5 Brest
19.07 09:00 UTC+0 World: Club Friendlies
Shahter Soligorsk 0:1 Metallurg-Zhlobin 🇧🇾
15.07 08:00 UTC+0 World: Club Friendlies
Shahter Soligorsk 2:3 Yunost Minsk 🇧🇾
0 Wins
3 Losses
1.3 Scored
2.8 Conceded
0% Win percentage