Belarus. Tournament in memory of A. Dubko. Grodno
Yunost Minsk - Shahter Soligorsk
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Shahter Soligorsk — 50%
Model estimate: win Yunost Minsk 49.6%, win Shahter Soligorsk 50.4%. Model favourite — Shahter Soligorsk.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Yunost Minsk: forma pp (0-2)
- • Shakhter Soligorsk: forma NPPP (0-3-1)
- • Model backs Shakhter Soligorsk: probability 50% vs 34% on the line (odds 2.97)
- • edge over the line +17 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 2:3
- • Handicap F2 +1: score forecast 2:3 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.62).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Yunost Minsk - Shahter Soligorsk July 30, 2026
Hockey math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Glicko: Yunost Minsk 49.6% / Shahter Soligorsk 50.4%
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Yunost Minsk - Shahter Soligorsk
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.35 74.1% | |
| 8.50 11.8% | |
| 1.15 87.0% | |
| 1.25 80.0% | |
| 1.25 80.0% | |
| 2.80 35.7% | |
| 6.20 16.1% | |
| 5.10 19.6% | |
| 3.00 33.3% | |
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 4.80 20.8% | |
| 3.55 28.2% | |
| 3.45 29.0% | |
| 6.50 15.4% | |
| 1.40 71.4% | |
| 1.09 91.7% | |
| 1.13 88.5% | |
| 1.10 90.9% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 3.5 | 2.15 46.5% |
| Over 4 | 1.38 72.5% |
| Over 4.5 | 2.40 41.7% |
| Over 5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 5.5 | 7.50 13.3% |
| Over 6 | 2.85 35.1% |
| Over 6.5 | 8.00 12.5% |
| Over 7 | 4.70 21.3% |
| Over 7.5 | 8.50 11.8% |
| Over 8.5 | 4.15 24.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 8.50 11.8% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.62 61.7% |
| Under 4 | 2.80 35.7% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.50 66.7% |
| Under 5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 5.5 | 1.06 94.3% |
| Under 6 | 1.37 73.0% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 74.00 1.4% | |
| X | 15.00 6.7% |
| 1.02 98.0% |
Form & head-to-head
Odds · 2 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Winline | 1.8 | 3.84 | 1.9 |
| Liga Stavok | 2.06 | 4.1 | 2.8 |
Shahter Soligorsk
Full head-to-head historyYunost Minsk - Shahter Soligorsk
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form