AI verdict

AI pick Metallurg Mg win probability ~52%

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Metallurg Mg. Full breakdown below.

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Club Friendly Games
Club Friendly Games International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
26.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Club Friendly Games

Metallurg Mg vs Traktor — Hockey prediction

International Hockey
Stadium Arena-Metallurg (Magnitogorsk, Russia)
Metallurg Mg
Metallurg Mg
3 : 1
Finished
Traktor
Traktor

Metallurg Mg meet Traktor on August 26, 2026 in the Club Friendly Games, International.

PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 52% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Metallurg Mg52%

1 · Metallurg Mg51.8%
2 · Traktor48.2%

Model estimate: win Metallurg Mg 51.8%, win Traktor 48.2%. Model favourite — Metallurg Mg.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Metallurg Mg - Traktor August 26, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Metallurg Mg 51.8% / Traktor 48.2%

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.70 → 1.70
1X2 X 4.30 → 4.30
1X2 2 4.30 → 4.30

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Metallurg Mg
6-4WWWWWLLLLW
scored 3.3conceded 2.5
Traktor
6-4LWLLLWWWWW
scored 3.2conceded 3.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Stadium Arena-Metallurg (Magnitogorsk, Russia)
Start 26.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Stage Memorial Romazana
Form 10 matches
H2H 8
Match center

Metallurg Mg - Traktor

Hockey, Metallurg Mg - Traktor, 26 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Metallurg Mg - Traktor, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Memorial imeni Ivana Romazana 2026, Memorial Romazana.

Form 4/1 recent games
H2H 8 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 3:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 51.8% fact: home hit / ROI 70.0% / Brier 0.464 / LogLoss 0.657
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 50.5% fact: home hit / ROI 70.0% / Brier 0.490 / LogLoss 0.683
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Metallurg Mg 55.8% 51.8% market and model agree
Draw 22.1% -
Traktor 22.1% 48.2%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 51.8% / 48.2% probabilities
Rating 1,543 / 1,245 Metallurg Mg / Traktor
RD 236 / 239 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,071-2,016 / 767-1,724 strength interval

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 51.8%
Handicap
2 -1 1.95 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 5.00 Fonbet · line only
2 0 6.30 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Over 3.5 1.19 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.12 89.3%
1.10 90.9%
1.80 55.6%
1.19 84.0%
2.45 40.8%
3.25 30.8%
4.10 24.4%
9.00 11.1%
5.00 20.0%
6.50 15.4%
6.10 16.4%
1.95 51.3%
4.40 22.7%
1.55 64.5%
1.32 75.8%
1.19 84.0%
1.05 95.2%
6.30 15.9%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.09 91.7%
Over 3.5 1.19 84.0%
Over 4 1.13 88.5%
Over 4.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 5 1.40 71.4%
Over 5.5 3.50 28.6%
Over 6 1.93 51.8%
Over 6.5 9.50 10.5%
Over 7 2.85 35.1%
Over 7.5 10.00 10.0%
Over 8 4.40 22.7%
Over 8.5 4.80 20.8%
Under 2.5 7.30 13.7%
Under 3.5 4.70 21.3%
Under 4 4.80 20.8%
Under 4.5 1.50 66.7%
Under 5 2.70 37.0%
Under 5.5 1.30 76.9%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.03 97.1%
X 13.00 7.7%
87.00 1.2%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 8-0-2, avg 6.8 gls
2026-08-26 · Metallurg Mg 3:1 Traktor
2026-03-18 · Metallurg Mg 2:6 Traktor
2026-03-08 · Metallurg Mg 3:2 Traktor
2026-01-27 · Metallurg Mg 3:2 Traktor
2025-12-29 · Metallurg Mg 5:4 Traktor
Source: ruscore
Metallurg Mg
D D D D
25.08.2026 Championat
Metallurg Mg 25.08.2026 Memorial imeni Ivana Romazana Metallurg Mg 3 : 2 OT Amur Memorial Romazana
17.08.2026 Championat
Metallurg Mg 17.08.2026 Cup Minska Metallurg Mg 3 : 4 Admiral Final
15.08.2026 Championat
Metallurg Mg 15.08.2026 Cup Minska Dinamo Mn 3 : 6 Metallurg Mg Cup Minska
14.08.2026 Championat
Metallurg Mg 14.08.2026 Cup Minska Metallurg Mg 3 : 2 OT Shankhayskie Drakony Cup Minska
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Scored
- Conceded
0% Win percentage
Traktor
L
25.08 10:00 UTC Predsezonnye turniry
Traktor 2:3 Salavat Yulaev 🇷🇺Salavat Yulaev 🇷🇺
0 Wins
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Metallurg Mg - Traktor

Metallurg Mg
0 matches total
Traktor
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2026 Fonbet Championship KKhL Traktor 6 : 2 Metallurg Mg 08.03.
Event
2026 Fonbet Championship KKhL Metallurg Mg 3 : 2 B Traktor 27.01.
Event
2026 Fonbet Championship KKhL Metallurg Mg 3 : 2 Traktor 29.12.
Event
2025 Fonbet Championship KKhL Metallurg Mg 5 : 4 OT Traktor 19.12.
Event
2025 Fonbet Championship KKhL Traktor 4 : 7 Metallurg Mg 18.11.
Event
2025 Fonbet Championship KKhL Traktor 3 : 4 Metallurg Mg 12.02.
Event
2025 Fonbet Championship KKhL Traktor 1 : 3 Metallurg Mg 05.02.
Event
2025 Fonbet Championship KKhL Traktor 5 : 2 Metallurg Mg 11.01.
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Metallurg Mg
Data 7 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Traktor
Metallurg Mg Team comparison Traktor
1 Games 1
1 Wins 0
0 Losses 1
3 Scored 2
2 Conceded 4
2 Points 0
24 Broski v stvor 23
1 Games 1
1 Wins 0
0 Losses 1
3 Scored 2
2 Conceded 4
2 Points 0

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Metallurg Mg vs Traktor?

By the PropickAI model, Metallurg Mg is favoured — about 52% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Metallurg Mg vs Traktor?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Metallurg Mg. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Metallurg Mg vs Traktor?

Live odds for Metallurg Mg vs Traktor from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Metallurg Mg vs Traktor start?

August 26, 2026.