AI verdict

AI pick Toros win probability ~51%

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Toros. Full breakdown below.

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Club Friendly Games
Club Friendly Games International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
15.08.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

Club Friendly Games

Toros - CSK VVS Samara

International Hockey
Toros
Toros
3 : 1
Finished
CSK VVS Samara
CSK VVS Samara

Toros face CSK VVS Samara on August 15, 2026 in the Club Friendly Games, International.

PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 51% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Toros51%

1 · Toros50.7%
2 · CSK VVS Samara49.3%

Model estimate: win Toros 50.7%, win CSK VVS Samara 49.3%. Model favourite — Toros.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Toros (odds1.60) Score 3:2 confidence 51% ✓ outcome correct
  • TsSK VVS Samara: forma PN (0-1)
  • Model backs Toros: probability 51% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.60)
  • no edge over the line (-12 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 3:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Toros - CSK VVS Samara August 15, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Toros 50.7% / CSK VVS Samara 49.3%

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.60 ↑ 1.65
1X2 X 4.40 → 4.40
1X2 2 4.40 ↓ 4.05

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Toros

no data

CSK VVS Samara
2-8LLLLLLWLWL
scored 2.2conceded 2.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 15.08.2026 10:00 UTC
Form 2 matches
Match center

Toros - CSK VVS Samara

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/1 recent games
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 3:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 50.7% fact: home hit / ROI 65.0% / Brier 0.487 / LogLoss 0.680
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 50.2% fact: home hit / ROI 65.0% / Brier 0.496 / LogLoss 0.689
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Toros 56.1% 50.7% market and model agree
Draw 21.0% -
CSK VVS Samara 22.9% 49.3%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 50.7% / 49.3% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,426 Toros / CSK VVS Samara
RD 350 / 236 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 955-1,898 strength interval

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
X 8.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 50.7%
Handicap
2 -1 1.88 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 4.90 Fonbet · line only
2 0 9.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Over 3.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.14 87.7%
1.04 96.2%
1.82 55.0%
2.15 46.5%
2.75 36.4%
3.85 26.0%
4.60 21.7%
9.00 11.1%
4.90 20.4%
9.00 11.1%
7.60 13.2%
1.88 53.2%
1.63 61.4%
1.40 71.4%
1.22 82.0%
1.16 86.2%
1.05 95.2%
9.00 11.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.12 89.3%
Over 3.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 4 1.35 74.1%
Over 4.5 3.80 26.3%
Over 5 1.88 53.2%
Over 5.5 8.00 12.5%
Over 6 2.90 34.5%
Over 6.5 7.20 13.9%
Over 7 4.80 20.8%
Over 7.5 9.00 11.1%
Under 2.5 5.40 18.5%
Under 3.5 2.02 49.5%
Under 4 2.95 33.9%
Under 4.5 1.22 82.0%
Under 5 1.82 55.0%
Under 5.5 1.05 95.2%
Under 6 1.35 74.1%
Under 6.5 1.06 94.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.06 94.3%
X 8.00 12.5%
112.00 0.9%
Match center
Toros
L D
14.08 11:00 UTC+0 Predsezonnye turniry
Toros 0:1 BarsBars
13.08 15:30 UTC+0 Predsezonnye turniry
Toros 3:3 Neftyanik AlmetevskNeftyanik Almetevsk
0 Wins
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
CSK VVS Samara
L
14.08 11:00 UTC Predsezonnye turniry
CSK VVS Samara 0:1 BarsBars
0 Wins
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Toros - CSK VVS Samara

Toros
0 matches total
CSK VVS Samara
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Toros vs CSK VVS Samara?

By the PropickAI model, Toros is favoured — about 51% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Toros vs CSK VVS Samara?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Toros. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Toros vs CSK VVS Samara start?

August 15, 2026.