AI verdict

AI pick VHK Vsetin win probability ~51% best odds 2.10

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to VHK Vsetin. Full breakdown below.

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Czech Republic. Friendly
Czech Republic. Friendly International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
11.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Czech Republic. Friendly

Havirov - VHK Vsetin

International Hockey
Havirov
Havirov
2 : 2
Finished
VHK Vsetin
VHK Vsetin

Havirov meet VHK Vsetin on August 11, 2026 in the Czech Republic. Friendly, International.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 49% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 VHK Vsetin51%

1 · Havirov48.7%
2 · VHK Vsetin51.3%

Model estimate: win Havirov 48.7%, win VHK Vsetin 51.3%. Model favourite — VHK Vsetin.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2VHK Vsetin (odds1.70) Score 2:3 Under 5.5 (odds1.85) confidence 51% ✗ outcome missed
  • Vsetin: forma V (1-0)
  • Model backs Vsetin: probability 51% vs 59% on the line (odds 1.70)
  • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 2:3
  • Total: Under 5.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
  • at line 5.5 (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Havirov - VHK Vsetin August 11, 2026

Hockey math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VHK Vsetin.

Line favourite Fonbet: VHK Vsetin. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.75 / X 4.10 / 2 2.10
  • Glicko: Havirov 48.7% / X - / VHK Vsetin 51.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.4%
1 33.6%
X 22.5%
2 43.9%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 3.55 ↑ 3.65
1X2 X 4.70 ↓ 4.60
1X2 2 1.70 → 1.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

9Wins15
2.4Goals on average3.0

Head-to-head matches: 24 · average total 5.5 (goals)

Team form

Havirov
6-4WLWWWLLLWW
scored 3.5conceded 3.0
VHK Vsetin
5-5LWWLWLWLLW
scored 2.7conceded 2.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 11.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 33.6% @ 2.75 / X 22.5% @ 4.10 / 2 43.9% @ 2.10
Form 1 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model VHK Vsetin 51%
💹 Market VHK Vsetin 44%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Havirov - VHK Vsetin

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Havirov 25.4% 48.7%
Draw 20.1% -
VHK Vsetin 54.5% 51.3% market and model agree
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 48.7% / 51.3% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,809 Havirov / VHK Vsetin
RD 350 / 287 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,236-2,382 strength interval

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.10 Fonbet · value +7.7% · model 51.3%
X 4.10 Fonbet · line only
1 2.75 Fonbet · weak value +34.0% · model 48.7%
Handicap
2 -1 1.30 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.35 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.65 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 3.15 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 3.5 1.13 Fonbet · line only
Over 4 1.17 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.52 65.8%
1.43 69.9%
1.25 80.0%
1.30 76.9%
3.15 31.8%
3.40 29.4%
4.50 22.2%
4.90 20.4%
2.35 42.6%
2.60 38.5%
3.50 28.6%
3.20 31.3%
5.20 19.2%
1.30 76.9%
1.27 78.7%
1.16 86.2%
1.14 87.7%
1.65 60.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 3.5 1.13 88.5%
Over 4 1.17 85.5%
Over 4.5 1.37 73.0%
Over 5 1.48 67.6%
Over 5.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 6 2.05 48.8%
Over 6.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 7 3.15 31.8%
Over 7.5 3.55 28.2%
Over 8 5.00 20.0%
Over 8.5 5.60 17.9%
Under 3.5 5.00 20.0%
Under 4 4.40 22.7%
Under 4.5 2.85 35.1%
Under 5 2.45 40.8%
Under 5.5 2.00 50.0%
Under 6 1.68 59.5%
Under 6.5 1.48 67.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
2.75 36.4%
X 4.10 24.4%
2.10 47.6%
Match center
Havirov
W
06.08 16:00 UTC+0 Czechia. Friendlies
Havirov 4:0 TORAKS PorubaTORAKS Poruba
1 Wins
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
VHK Vsetin
W
06.08 16:00 UTC Czechia. Friendlies
VHK Vsetin 4:0 TORAKS PorubaTORAKS Poruba
1 Wins
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHavirov - VHK Vsetin

Havirov
0 matches total
VHK Vsetin
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Havirov vs VHK Vsetin?

By the PropickAI model, VHK Vsetin is favoured — about 51% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Havirov vs VHK Vsetin?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to VHK Vsetin. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Havirov vs VHK Vsetin start?

August 11, 2026.