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AI verdict

AI pick Mountfield HK win probability ~79% confidence High best odds 1.02

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Mountfield HK. Full breakdown below.

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Minsk Cup
Minsk Cup International
27.08.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
27.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Minsk Cup

Crimmitschau vs Mountfield HK — Hockey prediction

International Hockey
Crimmitschau
Crimmitschau
0 : 3
Finished
Mountfield HK
Mountfield HK

Crimmitschau go head-to-head with Mountfield HK on August 27, 2026 in the Minsk Cup, International.

PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 12% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Mountfield HK — 79%

1 · Crimmitschau12.1%
market 9%
2 · Mountfield HK ✓ Pick79.3%
market 82%

Model estimate: win Crimmitschau 12.1%, win Mountfield HK 79.3%. Model favourite — Mountfield HK.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Crimmitschau - Mountfield HK August 27, 2026

Hockey math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mountfield HK.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mountfield HK. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 10.50 / X 10.00 / 2 1.02
  • Glicko: Crimmitschau 12.1% / X 8.6% / Mountfield HK 79.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.2% 2 books
1 8.9%
X 9.3%
2 ✓ Pick 81.8%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 10.50 ↑ 17.00
1X2 X 10.00 ↓ 7.50
1X2 2 1.12 ↓ 1.11

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Crimmitschau
8%
62.00
Draw
10%
17.00
Mountfield HK
82%
1.14
Total
Over 6.5
50%
8.50
Under 6.5
50%
1.87

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Crimmitschau

no data

Mountfield HK
6-4WLLWLLWWWW
scored 2.8conceded 2.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 27.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Market 1 8.1% @ 10.50 / X 8.5% @ 10.00 / 2 83.4% @ 1.02
Form 3 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Mountfield HK 79%
💹 Market Mountfield HK 82%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Crimmitschau - Mountfield HK

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/1 recent games
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:3
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 79.3% fact: away hit / ROI 14.0% / Brier 0.065 / LogLoss 0.232
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 46.2% fact: away hit / ROI 14.0% / Brier 0.434 / LogLoss 0.772
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Crimmitschau 8.9% 12.1%
Draw 9.3% 8.6%
Mountfield HK 81.8% 79.3% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / X / P2 12.1% / 8.6% / 79.3% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,658 Crimmitschau / Mountfield HK
RD 350 / 201 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,257-2,060 strength interval

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 79.3%
X 10.00 market consensus · no value · model 8.6%
Total
Over 2.5 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Over 3.5 5.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
7.20 13.9%
3.20 31.3%
6.60 15.2%
2.05 48.8%
1.09 91.7%
1.47 68.0%
1.15 87.0%
1.06 94.3%
1.30 76.9%
1.07 93.5%
1.68 59.5%
6.20 16.1%
2.50 40.0%
4.80 20.8%
3.70 27.0%
8.00 12.5%
5.30 18.9%
4.05 24.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.07 93.5%
Over 3.5 5.10 19.6%
Over 4.5 3.55 28.2%
Over 5 1.25 80.0%
Over 5.5 7.70 13.0%
Over 6 1.60 62.5%
Over 6.5 8.50 11.8%
Over 7 2.25 44.4%
Over 7.5 3.20 31.3%
Over 8 3.40 29.4%
Over 8.5 3.50 28.6%
Over 9 5.10 19.6%
Over 9.5 5.70 17.5%
Under 2.5 6.80 14.7%
Under 3.5 1.13 88.5%
Under 4.5 1.25 80.0%
Under 5 3.50 28.6%
Under 5.5 1.05 95.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
62.00 1.6% 10.50 9.5% 10.50 9.5%
X 17.00 5.9% 10.00 10.0% 10.00 10.0%
1.02 98.0% 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1, avg 3.0 gls
2026-08-27 · Krimmichau Ayspiraten 0:3 Mauntfild
Source: ruscore

Odds · 3 bookmakers

Best price: 1 16 (Winline) · X 8 (Winline) · 2 1.15 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Winline 16 8 1.1
Fonbet 15 7.6 1.11
Betcity 10.5 7.6 1.15
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Crimmitschau
W W D
21.08 15:00 UTC+0 Friendlies
Crimmitschau 6:1 Grats
19.08 15:00 UTC+0 Czechia. Friendlies
Crimmitschau 5:4 LiberetsLiberets
15.08 15:00 UTC+0 Friendlies
Crimmitschau 1:1 Zaltsburg
2 Wins
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Mountfield HK
W
21.08 15:00 UTC Friendlies
Mountfield HK 6:1 GratsGrats
1 Wins
0 Losses
6.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Crimmitschau vs Mountfield HK?

By the PropickAI model, Mountfield HK is favoured — about 79% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Crimmitschau vs Mountfield HK?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Mountfield HK. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Crimmitschau vs Mountfield HK?

Live odds for Crimmitschau vs Mountfield HK from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Crimmitschau vs Mountfield HK start?

August 27, 2026.