AI verdict

AI pick Skoda Plzen win probability ~44% best odds 1.11

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Skoda Plzen. Full breakdown below.

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Minsk Cup
Minsk Cup International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
29.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Minsk Cup

Crimmitschau vs Skoda Plzen — Hockey prediction

International Hockey
Crimmitschau
Crimmitschau
4 : 2
Finished
Skoda Plzen
Skoda Plzen

Crimmitschau go head-to-head with Skoda Plzen in ice hockey, in Minsk Cup, on 29 August 2026. The PropickAI Glicko-2 model rates Skoda Plzen as the favourite at around 44%. Sportsbook prices (1 book) put that result at roughly 84%. The model puts the chance of a draw at 13%.

There is little recent-form data for this fixture, so the read leans first on the ratings. Glicko ratings: Crimmitschau 1331, Skoda Plzen 1500, a gap of 169 points. The game is part of Minsk Cup.

Our model is notably more cautious on the favourite than the market. Model confidence in the favourite is low. That is a 40-point gap to the market. The match is close, and the model flags no clear safer edge. Key markers: an edge of 169 Glicko rating points, the model's 44% for Skoda Plzen. Read on for team stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI AI prediction. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Skoda Plzen44%

1 · Crimmitschau42.9%
2 · Skoda Plzen43.9%

Model estimate: win Crimmitschau 42.9%, win Skoda Plzen 43.9%. Model favourite — Skoda Plzen.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Crimmitschau - Skoda Plzen August 29, 2026

Hockey math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Skoda Plzen.

Line favourite Fonbet: Skoda Plzen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 15.00 / X 7.70 / 2 1.11
  • Glicko: Crimmitschau 42.9% / X 13.2% / Skoda Plzen 43.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.7%
1 6.1%
X 11.8%
2 82.1%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 15.00 ↑ 19.00
1X2 X 7.80 ↑ 8.50
1X2 2 1.11 ↓ 1.08

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Crimmitschau

no data

Skoda Plzen
5-5WLWWWLLLWL
scored 1.9conceded 2.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 29.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Market 1 6.1% @ 15.00 / X 11.8% @ 7.70 / 2 82.1% @ 1.11
Form 1 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Skoda Plzen 44%
💹 Market Skoda Plzen 82%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Crimmitschau - Skoda Plzen

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 4:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 43.9% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.536 / LogLoss 0.846
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 36.3% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.618 / LogLoss 1.021
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Crimmitschau 4.8% 42.9%
Draw 10.7% 13.2%
Skoda Plzen 84.5% 43.9% market and model agree
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / X / P2 42.9% / 13.2% / 43.9% probabilities
Rating 1,331 / 1,500 Crimmitschau / Skoda Plzen
RD 271 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 790-1,873 / 800-2,200 strength interval

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.11 Fonbet · no value · model 43.9%
X 7.70 Fonbet · no value · model 13.2%
Total
Over 6.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Under 6.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.70 58.8%
2.02 49.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 6.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 6.5 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
15.00 6.7%
X 7.70 13.0%
1.11 90.1%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-1, avg 7.5 gls
2026-08-29 · Krimmichau Ayspiraten 4:2 Plzen
2025-08-29 · Krimmichau Ayspiraten 3:6 Plzen
Source: ruscore
Crimmitschau
L
27.08 17:00 UTC Friendlies
Crimmitschau 0:3 Mauntfild
0 Wins
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Skoda Plzen
L
27.08 17:00 UTC+0 Friendlies
Skoda Plzen 0:3 Mauntfild
0 Wins
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Crimmitschau vs Skoda Plzen?

By the PropickAI model, Skoda Plzen is favoured — about 44% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Crimmitschau vs Skoda Plzen?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Skoda Plzen. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Crimmitschau vs Skoda Plzen?

Live odds for Crimmitschau vs Skoda Plzen from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Crimmitschau vs Skoda Plzen start?

August 29, 2026.