Who is the favourite in Fischtown Pinguins vs Mountfield HK?

By the PropickAI model, Mountfield HK is favoured — about 47% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Fischtown Pinguins vs Mountfield HK?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Mountfield HK. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Fischtown Pinguins vs Mountfield HK?

Live odds for Fischtown Pinguins vs Mountfield HK from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

AI verdict

AI pick Mountfield HK win probability ~47% best odds 1.90

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Mountfield HK. Full breakdown below.

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Minsk Cup International

29.08.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

29.08.2026 14:00 UTC

Finished

Minsk Cup

Fischtown Pinguins vs Mountfield HK — Hockey prediction

International Hockey

Fischtown Pinguins

1 : 1

Finished

Mountfield HK

Fischtown Pinguins face Mountfield HK in ice hockey, in Minsk Cup, on 29 August 2026. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model makes Mountfield HK the favourite, with a win probability of about 47%. The bookmaker consensus (1 book) implies about 48% for the same outcome. The model puts the chance of a draw at 11%.

Latest form: Fischtown Pinguins 0 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost; Mountfield HK 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost. Mountfield HK come in having won their last matches. On the Glicko scale it is 1265 for Fischtown Pinguins against 1727 for Mountfield HK - a gap of 462 points.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is low. That is a 1-point gap to the market. The match is close, and the model flags no clear safer edge. Key markers: an edge of 462 Glicko rating points, the model's 47% for Mountfield HK. Below on this page: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Mountfield HK — 47%

1 · Fischtown Pinguins41.4%

2 · Mountfield HK47.2%

Model estimate: win Fischtown Pinguins 41.4%, win Mountfield HK 47.2%. Model favourite — Mountfield HK.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Mountfield HK (odds1.90) Score 2:3 Under 5.5 (odds1.80) ✓ confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed

• Fishtaun Pingvinz: forma PPP (0-3)
• Mauntfild: forma VVVNV (4-0-1)
• liniya na pik P2 1.88→1.90 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
• Model backs Mauntfild: probability 50% vs 53% on the line (odds 1.90)
• no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 2:3
• Total: Under 5.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
• at line 5.5 (odds 1.80).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fischtown Pinguins - Mountfield HK August 29, 2026

Hockey math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mountfield HK.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mountfield HK. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.00 / X 4.20 / 2 1.90
Glicko: Fischtown Pinguins 41.4% / X 11.4% / Mountfield HK 47.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.8%

1 30.4%

X 21.7%

2 48.0%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 1 2.95 ↑ 3.00

1X2 X 4.40 ↓ 4.20

1X2 2 1.88 ↑ 1.90

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Fischtown Pinguins

no data

Mountfield HK

6-4WLLWLLWWWW

scored 2.8conceded 2.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center

Start 29.08.2026 14:00 UTC

Market 1 30.4% @ 3.00 / X 21.7% @ 4.20 / 2 47.9% @ 1.90

Form 6 matches

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Mountfield HK 47%

💹 Market Mountfield HK 48%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

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Match center

Fischtown Pinguins - Mountfield HK

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/2 recent games

Market 3 model / bookmakers

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 1:1

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Fischtown Pinguins 30.4% 41.4%

Draw 21.7% 11.4%

Mountfield HK 48.0% 47.2% market and model agree

1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model

P1 / X / P2 41.4% / 11.4% / 47.2% probabilities

Rating 1,265 / 1,727 Fischtown Pinguins / Mountfield HK

RD 235 / 188 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 794-1,736 / 1,351-2,103 strength interval

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.90 Fonbet · no value · model 47.2%

X 4.20 Fonbet · no value · model 11.4%

1 3.00 Fonbet · no value · model 41.4%

Handicap

2 -1 1.25 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 2.20 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.52 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 3.60 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 3.5 1.16 Fonbet · line only

Over 4 1.20 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.60 62.5%
	1.48 67.6%
	1.30 76.9%
	1.25 80.0%
	3.60 27.8%
	3.90 25.6%
	5.40 18.5%
	6.00 16.7%
	2.35 42.6%
	2.20 45.5%
	2.45 40.8%
	3.20 31.3%
	3.55 28.2%
	1.25 80.0%
	1.20 83.3%
	1.12 89.3%
	1.09 91.7%
	1.52 65.8%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 3.5	1.16 86.2%
Over 4	1.20 83.3%
Over 4.5	1.42 70.4%
Over 5	1.55 64.5%
Over 5.5	1.83 54.6%
Over 6	2.25 44.4%
Over 6.5	2.65 37.7%
Over 7	3.50 28.6%
Over 7.5	3.90 25.6%
Over 8	5.40 18.5%
Under 3.5	4.60 21.7%
Under 4	3.95 25.3%
Under 4.5	2.65 37.7%
Under 5	2.30 43.5%
Under 5.5	1.87 53.5%
Under 6	1.58 63.3%
Under 6.5	1.43 69.9%
Under 7	1.25 80.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	3.00 33.3%
X	4.20 23.8%
	1.90 52.6%

Match center

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 3.15 (Pari) · X 4.2 (Pari) · 2 1.9 (Liga Stavok)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	3.15	4.2	1.85
Winline	3.05	4.2	1.89
Fonbet	3.15	4.2	1.85
Liga Stavok	3.05	4.2	1.9

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Fischtown Pinguins

L L

21.08 17:30 UTC Friendlies

Fischtown Pinguins 0:3 Fribur-Gotteron

20.08 18:15 UTC Friendlies

Fischtown Pinguins 2:3 Azhua

0 Wins

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

3.0 Conceded

0% Win percentage

Mountfield HK

W W

27.08 17:00 UTC Friendlies

Mountfield HK 3:0 Krimmichau

21.08 15:00 UTC Friendlies

Mountfield HK 6:1 Grats

2 Wins

0 Losses

4.5 Scored

0.5 Conceded

100% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head history: Fischtown Pinguins - Mountfield HK

Fischtown Pinguins

0 matches total

Mountfield HK

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Fischtown Pinguins vs Mountfield HK — Hockey prediction

AI match prediction Fischtown Pinguins - Mountfield HK August 29, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement