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AI verdict

AI pick Admiral win probability ~52%

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Admiral. Full breakdown below.

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Minsk Cup
Minsk Cup International
Final 17.08.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
17.08.2026 08:00 UTC Final
Finished

Minsk Cup

Metallurg Mg - Admiral

International Hockey
Stadium Olimpik-Arena (Minsk, Belarus)
Metallurg Mg
Metallurg Mg
3 : 3
Finished
Admiral
Admiral

Metallurg Mg take on Admiral on August 17, 2026 in the Minsk Cup, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Metallurg Mg 0-0-1, Admiral 2-0-0. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 48% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Admiral — 52%

1 · Metallurg Mg48.1%
2 · Admiral51.9%

Model estimate: win Metallurg Mg 48.1%, win Admiral 51.9%. Model favourite — Admiral.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Admiral (odds4.70) Score 2:3 Under 5.5 (odds2.00) Handicap H2 +1.5 (odds1.80) ✓ confidence 52% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Metallurg Mg: forma P (0-1)
  • • Admiral: forma VVVNV (4-0-1)
  • • Model backs Admiral: probability 52% vs 21% on the line (odds 4.70)
  • • edge over the line +31 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 2:3
  • • Total: Under 5.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
  • • at line 5.5 (odds 2.00)
  • • Handicap F2 +1.5: score forecast 2:3 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.80).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Metallurg Mg - Admiral August 17, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Metallurg Mg 48.1% / Admiral 51.9%

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.60 ↓ 1.57
1X2 X 4.70 ↑ 4.80
1X2 2 4.70 ↑ 4.80

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Metallurg Mg
6-4WWWWWLLLLW
scored 3.3conceded 2.5
Admiral
6-4LWLLWWWLWW
scored 3.2conceded 2.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Stadium Olimpik-Arena (Minsk, Belarus)
Referee Sergey Belyaev (Voskresensk)
Start 17.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Stage Final
Form 10 matches
H2H 8
Match center

Metallurg Mg - Admiral

hockey, Metallurg Mg - Admiral, 17 avgusta 2026: Highlights matcha, schet 3 : 4, statistika i rezultaty, video goals. Cup Minska, Final. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Metallurg Mg - Admiral, gde smotret pryamoy efir, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha.

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 8 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 3:3
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Metallurg Mg 60.5% 48.1% market favourite
Draw 19.8% -
Admiral 19.8% 51.9% Glicko contrarian
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 48.1% / 51.9% probabilities
Rating 1,336 / 1,806 Metallurg Mg / Admiral
RD 286 / 193 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 764-1,908 / 1,420-2,192 strength interval

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.23 Fonbet · no value · model 51.9%
X 4.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.07 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.65 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.75 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 9.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 2.5 1.11 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.45 69.0%
1.75 57.1%
8.50 11.8%
2.80 35.7%
9.50 10.5%
4.05 24.7%
6.70 14.9%
6.50 15.4%
2.70 37.0%
6.80 14.7%
2.07 48.3%
1.06 94.3%
1.43 69.9%
1.05 95.2%
1.18 84.8%
1.09 91.7%
1.09 91.7%
2.65 37.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.11 90.1%
Over 3.5 1.15 87.0%
Over 4 1.18 84.8%
Over 4.5 1.27 78.7%
Over 5 1.50 66.7%
Over 5.5 1.32 75.8%
Over 6 2.10 47.6%
Over 6.5 3.35 29.9%
Over 7 3.25 30.8%
Over 7.5 3.80 26.3%
Over 8 5.00 20.0%
Over 8.5 7.80 12.8%
Over 9.5 9.00 11.1%
Over 10.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 2.5 6.60 15.2%
Under 3.5 5.40 18.5%
Under 4 4.15 24.1%
Under 10.5 1.06 94.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
52.00 1.9%
X 4.50 22.2%
1.23 81.3%
Match center
Metallurg Mg
L
14.08 13:00 UTC Cup Minska
Metallurg Mg 1:2 Shankhay Dregons
0 Wins
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Admiral
W W
16.08 12:30 UTC Cup Minska
Admiral 5:3 KhK SochiKhK Sochi
13.08 12:00 UTC Cup Minska
Admiral 3:1 SibirSibir
2 Wins
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Metallurg Mg - Admiral

Metallurg Mg
0 matches total
Admiral
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2026 Fonbet Championship KKhL Metallurg Mg 4 : 3 OT Admiral 17.01.
Event
2026 Fonbet Championship KKhL Admiral 4 : 8 Metallurg Mg 22.11.
Event
2025 Fonbet Championship KKhL Metallurg Mg 4 : 3 B Admiral 05.11.
Event
2025 Fonbet Championship KKhL Admiral 1 : 2 Metallurg Mg 17.08.
Event
2025 Cup Minska Metallurg Mg 4 : 2 Admiral Cup Minska 19.03.
Event
2025 Fonbet Championship KKhL Metallurg Mg 5 : 4 B Admiral 16.01.
Event
2025 Fonbet Championship KKhL Admiral 4 : 2 Metallurg Mg 07.01.
Event
2025 Fonbet Championship KKhL Metallurg Mg 4 : 3 OT Admiral 05.11.
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Metallurg Mg
Data 8 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Admiral
Metallurg Mg Team comparison Admiral
2 Games 2
2 Wins 2
0 Losses 0
9 Scored 8
5 Conceded 4
4 Points 4
31 Broski v stvor 28.5
11 samykh dorogikh igrokov sezona KKhL 0
2 Games 2
2 Wins 2
0 Losses 0
9 Scored 8
5 Conceded 4
4 Points 4

Metallurg Mg Admiral 2 Games 2 Wins 2 0 Losses 0 9 Scored 8 5 Conceded 4 Points 4 31 Broski v stvor 28.5 Sleduyuschiy match 05.10.2026 Fonbet Championship KKhL Metallurg Mg –:– Admiral Goly Mikhail Fedorov Dmitriy Silantev Igor Nechaev 1:0 10:35 5x5 Danila Moiseev Egor Korbit 1 15:54 5x5 Mikhail Grass Maksim Musorov 1:2 16:22 5x5 Nikita Mikhaylis Andrey Kozlov Stepan Starkov 2 34:54 5x5 Dmitriy Zavgorodniy Kayl Olson Libor Shulak 2:3 35:13 5x5 Dmitriy Silantev Nikita Mikhaylis Igor Nechaev 3 36:29 5x4 Maksim Musorov Danila Khulapov Mikhail Grass 3:4 56:09 5x5 Sendoffs Anton Rubin podnozhka 2' 05:47 Mikhail Gordeev zaderzhka shayby rukami 2' 19:48 Entoni Kamara podnozhka 2' 26:24 Egor Korobkin zaderzhka shayby rukami 2' 32:20 Dmitriy Mukhtarov udar klyushkoy 2' 36:18 Fedor Kroschinskiy vybros shayby 2' 59:38 Half-auty Metallurg Mg 57:52 Vratari Aleksandr Dyubin 00-57:58 Vratari Dzhelal-ad-Din Amirbekov 00-60:00

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Metallurg Mg vs Admiral?

By the PropickAI model, Admiral is favoured — about 52% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Metallurg Mg vs Admiral?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Admiral. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Metallurg Mg vs Admiral start?

August 17, 2026.