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AI verdict

AI pick Storhamar win probability ~68% confidence High best odds 1.03

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Storhamar. Full breakdown below.

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Norway. Friendly
Norway. Friendly International
26.08.2026 16:30 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
26.08.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished

Norway. Friendly

Sparta Sarpsborg vs Storhamar — Hockey prediction

International Hockey
Sparta Sarpsborg
Sparta Sarpsborg
3 : 5
Finished
Storhamar
Storhamar

Sparta Sarpsborg face Storhamar on August 26, 2026 in the Norway. Friendly, International.

PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 17% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Storhamar — 68%

1 · Sparta Sarpsborg17.5%
market 15%
2 · Storhamar ✓ Pick67.9%
market 69%

Model estimate: win Sparta Sarpsborg 17.5%, win Storhamar 67.9%. Model favourite — Storhamar.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sparta Sarpsborg - Storhamar August 26, 2026

Hockey math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Storhamar.

Line favourite Fonbet: Storhamar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 6.25 / X 5.80 / 2 1.03
  • Glicko: Sparta Sarpsborg 17.5% / X 14.6% / Storhamar 67.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.4% 3 books
1 14.8%
X 15.9%
2 ✓ Pick 69.3%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 7.50 ↓ 6.90
1X2 X 6.80 ↓ 6.30
1X2 2 1.23 ↑ 1.27

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Sparta Sarpsborg
14%
27.00
Draw
15%
22.00
Storhamar
70%
1.33
Total
Over 6.5
50%
1.84
Under 6.5
50%
6.30

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Sparta Sarpsborg
3-7WLWLLWLLLL
scored 2.1conceded 3.9
Storhamar

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 26.08.2026 16:30 UTC
Market 1 12.3% @ 6.25 / X 13.2% @ 5.80 / 2 74.5% @ 1.03
Form 3 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Storhamar 68%
💹 Market Storhamar 69%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Sparta Sarpsborg - Storhamar

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/1 recent games
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 3:5
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 67.9% fact: away hit / ROI 33.0% / Brier 0.155 / LogLoss 0.387
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 43.0% fact: away hit / ROI 33.0% / Brier 0.487 / LogLoss 0.844
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sparta Sarpsborg 14.8% 17.5%
Draw 15.9% 14.6%
Storhamar 69.3% 67.9% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / X / P2 17.5% / 14.6% / 67.9% probabilities
Rating 1,367 / 1,739 Sparta Sarpsborg / Storhamar
RD 252 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 862-1,872 / 1,156-2,321 strength interval

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 67.9%
X 5.80 market consensus · no value · model 14.6%
1 6.25 market consensus · no value · model 17.5%
Handicap
2 +1 1.33 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 3.00 Fonbet · line only
1 0 8.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 1.5 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Over 10.5 5.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
3.00 33.3%
6.00 16.7%
2.15 46.5%
1.85 54.1%
1.52 65.8%
1.07 93.5%
1.23 81.3%
1.33 75.2%
1.09 91.7%
1.62 61.7%
1.85 54.1%
2.35 42.6%
6.80 14.7%
3.70 27.0%
4.10 24.4%
5.20 19.2%
7.10 14.1%
1.05 95.2%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 1.5 1.07 93.5%
Over 2.5 1.09 91.7%
Over 3.5 1.13 88.5%
Over 4.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 5 1.25 80.0%
Over 5.5 1.25 80.0%
Over 6 1.58 63.3%
Over 6.5 1.09 91.7%
Over 7 2.20 45.5%
Over 7.5 1.20 83.3%
Over 8 3.30 30.3%
Over 8.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 9 5.00 20.0%
Over 9.5 5.80 17.2%
Over 10.5 5.80 17.2%
Over 11.5 8.50 11.8%
Under 1.5 6.90 14.5%
Under 10.5 1.10 90.9%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
27.00 3.7% 6.25 16.0% 6.25 16.0%
X 22.00 4.6% 5.80 17.2% 5.80 17.2%
1.03 97.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2%
Match center
Sparta Sarpsborg
D L
23.08 14:00 UTC+0 Norway. Friendlies
Sparta Sarpsborg 3:3 Sternen
22.08 13:00 UTC+0 Sweden. Friendlies
Sparta Sarpsborg 1:6 Nyubru Vikings
0 Wins
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
4.5 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Storhamar
W
12.08 17:00 UTC+0 World: Club Friendlies
Storhamar 5:1 BIK Karlskuga 🇸🇪BIK Karlskuga 🇸🇪
1 Wins
0 Losses
5.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sparta Sarpsborg vs Storhamar?

By the PropickAI model, Storhamar is favoured — about 68% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Sparta Sarpsborg vs Storhamar?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Storhamar. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Sparta Sarpsborg vs Storhamar?

Live odds for Sparta Sarpsborg vs Storhamar from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Sparta Sarpsborg vs Storhamar start?

August 26, 2026.