Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3x10. Dnevnoy Tournament №2 International

28.07.2026 06:00 UTC Match prediction

28.07.2026 06:00 UTC

Finished

Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3x10. Dnevnoy Tournament №2

Stalnye Topory - Hitrye Lisy

International Hockey

Stalnye Topory

8 : 4

Finished

Hitrye Lisy

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Stalnye Topory — 54%

1 · Stalnye Topory54.4%

2 · Hitrye Lisy45.6%

Model estimate: win Stalnye Topory 54.4%, win Hitrye Lisy 45.6%. Model favourite — Stalnye Topory.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Stalnye Topory (odds2.20) Score 3:2 Under 6.5 (odds1.70) ✓ Handicap H1 +0 (odds1.85) ✗ confidence 54% ✓ outcome correct

• Stalnye Topory: forma VPVVV (4-1)
• Khitrye Lisy: forma VPNPV (2-1)
• ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
• Model backs Stalnye Topory: probability 54% vs 45% on the line (odds 2.20)
• edge over the line +9 pp — value pick
• Expected score 3:2
• Total: Under 6.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
• at line 6.5 (odds 1.70)
• Handicap F1 +0: score forecast 3:2 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Stalnye Topory - Hitrye Lisy July 28, 2026

Hockey math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hitrye Lisy.

Line favourite Fonbet: Hitrye Lisy. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.25 / X 5.30 / 2 2.18
Glicko: Stalnye Topory 54.4% / X - / Hitrye Lisy 45.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.2%

1 40.7%

X 17.3%

2 42.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 1 2.20 → 2.20

1X2 X 5.50 → 5.50

1X2 2 2.20 → 2.20

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 28.07.2026 06:00 UTC

Form 6 matches

H2H 1

Match center

Stalnye Topory - Hitrye Lisy

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 1/1 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament espn, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report

Referees Championat

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 8:4

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 54.4% fact: home hit / ROI 120.0% / Brier 0.415 / LogLoss 0.608

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 51.2% fact: home hit / ROI 120.0% / Brier 0.476 / LogLoss 0.669

Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Stalnye Topory 41.7% 54.4% market and model agree

Draw 16.7% -

Hitrye Lisy 41.7% 45.6%

1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model

P1 / P2 54.4% / 45.6% probabilities

Rating 1,556 / 1,468 Stalnye Topory / Hitrye Lisy

RD 129 / 96 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,297-1,815 / 1,276-1,659 strength interval

HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.18 Fonbet · no value · model 45.6%

X 5.30 Fonbet · line only

1 2.25 Fonbet · value +22.4% · model 54.4%

Handicap

2 0 1.82 Fonbet · line only

1 0 1.88 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 10.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only

Over 11.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.35 74.1%
	1.13 88.5%
	1.10 90.9%
	3.10 32.3%
	5.20 19.2%
	2.30 43.5%
	2.85 35.1%
	1.88 53.2%
	3.00 33.3%
	5.00 20.0%
	5.80 17.2%
	1.30 76.9%
	1.12 89.3%
	1.55 64.5%
	1.37 73.0%
	1.82 55.0%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 2.5	1.04 96.2%
Over 3.5	1.19 84.0%
Over 4.5	1.45 69.0%
Over 5.5	1.97 50.8%
Over 6.5	2.80 35.7%
Over 7.5	4.30 23.3%
Over 8.5	4.15 24.1%
Over 9.5	8.00 12.5%
Over 10.5	1.72 58.1%
Over 11.5	1.67 59.9%
Over 12.5	1.90 52.6%
Over 13.5	1.72 58.1%
Under 2.5	9.00 11.1%
Under 3.5	4.10 24.4%
Under 10.5	2.00 50.0%
Under 11.5	2.07 48.3%
Under 12.5	1.80 55.6%
Under 13.5	2.00 50.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.25 44.4%
X	5.30 18.9%
	2.18 45.9%

Match center

Stalnye Topory

28.07 04:00 UTC Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3x10. Dnevnoy Tournament №2

Stalnye Topory 3:1 Metkie Strelki

1 Wins

0 Losses

3.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

100% Win percentage

Hitrye Lisy

21.07 08:00 UTC Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3x10. Dnevnoy Tournament №2

Hitrye Lisy 1:5 Metkie Strelki

0 Wins

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

5.0 Conceded

0% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyStalnye Topory - Hitrye Lisy

Stalnye Topory

1 matches total

Hitrye Lisy

Stalnye Topory: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Hitrye Lisy: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Stalnye Topory 7:4 (25.07 08:00 UTC+0) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 11 goals (7:4, 25.07 08:00 UTC+0) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

7 Goals scored 4

4 Goals conceded 7

Match history

25.07 08:00 UTC+0 Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6

Stalnye Topory

7:4

Khitrye Lisy