Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3x10. Dnevnoy Tournament №2
Stalnye Topory - Ledovye Spartantcy
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Stalnye Topory — 55%
Model estimate: win Stalnye Topory 55.5%, win Ledovye Spartantcy 44.5%. Model favourite — Stalnye Topory.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Stalnye Topory: forma VPVVV (4-1)
- • Ledovye Spartantsy: forma VVPPP (2-3)
- • Model backs Stalnye Topory: probability 54% vs 45% on the line (odds 2.20)
- • edge over the line +9 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 3:2
- • Total: Over 4.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
- • at line 4.5 (odds 1.65)
- • Handicap F1 +0: score forecast 3:2 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.82).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Stalnye Topory - Ledovye Spartantcy July 28, 2026
Hockey math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ledovye Spartantcy.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.25 / X 5.30 / 2 2.18
- Glicko: Stalnye Topory 55.5% / X - / Ledovye Spartantcy 44.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Stalnye Topory - Ledovye Spartantcy
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.35 74.1% | |
| 1.13 88.5% | |
| 3.10 32.3% | |
| 5.20 19.2% | |
| 5.10 19.6% | |
| 1.88 53.2% | |
| 3.00 33.3% | |
| 5.00 20.0% | |
| 1.30 76.9% | |
| 1.12 89.3% | |
| 1.13 88.5% | |
| 1.82 55.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.07 93.5% |
| Over 3.5 | 1.19 84.0% |
| Over 4.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 5.5 | 1.97 50.8% |
| Over 6.5 | 2.80 35.7% |
| Over 7.5 | 4.30 23.3% |
| Over 8.5 | 4.70 21.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 6.70 14.9% |
| Under 3.5 | 4.10 24.4% |
| Under 4.5 | 2.50 40.0% |
| Under 5.5 | 1.73 57.8% |
| Under 6.5 | 1.38 72.5% |
| Under 7.5 | 1.18 84.8% |
| Under 8.5 | 1.15 87.0% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 2.25 44.4% | |
| X | 5.30 18.9% |
| 2.18 45.9% |
Stalnye Topory
Ledovye Spartantcy
Full head-to-head historyStalnye Topory - Ledovye Spartantcy
Match history
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- Match history & form