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AI verdict

AI pick Polonia Bytom win probability ~52%

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Polonia Bytom. Full breakdown below.

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Poland. Friendly
Poland. Friendly International
14.08.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
14.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Poland. Friendly

Polonia Bytom - Cracovia

International Hockey
Polonia Bytom
Polonia Bytom
4 : 4
Finished
Cracovia
Cracovia

Polonia Bytom meet Cracovia on August 14, 2026 in the Poland. Friendly, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Polonia Bytom 2-0-1, Cracovia 0-0-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 52% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Polonia Bytom — 52%

1 · Polonia Bytom51.6%
2 · Cracovia48.4%

Model estimate: win Polonia Bytom 51.6%, win Cracovia 48.4%. Model favourite — Polonia Bytom.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Polonia Bytom (odds1.40) Score 3:2 Under 5.5 (odds1.92) ✗ Handicap H2 +1.5 (odds2.05) ✓ confidence 52% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Poloniya Bytom: forma VPV (2-1)
  • • Krakoviya: forma P (0-1)
  • • ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Poloniya Bytom: probability 52% vs 71% on the line (odds 1.40)
  • • no edge over the line (-20 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 3:2
  • • Total: Under 5.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
  • • at line 5.5 (odds 1.92)
  • • Handicap F2 +1.5: score forecast 3:2 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 2.05).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Polonia Bytom - Cracovia August 14, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Polonia Bytom 51.6% / Cracovia 48.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.6%
1 7.2%
2 3.5%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.40 ↑ 1.48
1X2 X 5.10 ↓ 5.00
1X2 2 5.60 ↓ 4.90

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Form 4 matches
H2H 1
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Polonia Bytom 52%
💹 Market Draw 89%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Polonia Bytom - Cracovia

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 3/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 4:4
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Polonia Bytom 62.6% 51.6% market and model agree
Draw 18.5% -
Cracovia 18.9% 48.4%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 51.6% / 48.4% probabilities
Rating 1,543 / 1,230 Polonia Bytom / Cracovia
RD 235 / 278 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,072-2,013 / 673-1,786 strength interval

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
X 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 2.75 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 11.5 9.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.35 74.1%
1.05 95.2%
9.00 11.1%
4.15 24.1%
4.00 25.0%
2.45 40.8%
3.95 25.3%
1.40 71.4%
2.90 34.5%
8.50 11.8%
1.04 96.2%
1.19 84.0%
1.20 83.3%
1.48 67.6%
1.20 83.3%
2.75 36.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.09 91.7%
Over 3.5 1.11 90.1%
Over 4.5 1.11 90.1%
Over 5.5 1.13 88.5%
Over 6.5 1.07 93.5%
Over 7.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 8.5 8.00 12.5%
Over 9.5 11.00 9.1%
Over 10.5 8.50 11.8%
Over 11.5 9.00 11.1%
Under 2.5 6.10 16.4%
Under 3.5 5.60 17.9%
Under 4.5 5.50 18.2%
Under 5.5 5.20 19.2%
Under 6.5 7.00 14.3%
Under 7.5 2.50 40.0%
Under 10.5 1.04 96.2%
Under 11.5 1.04 96.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
13.00 7.7%
X 1.05 95.2%
27.00 3.7%
Match center
Polonia Bytom
W L W
12.08 15:00 UTC Poland. Friendlies
Polonia Bytom 5:0 KrakoviyaKrakoviya
08.08 09:00 UTC Poland. Friendlies
Polonia Bytom 2:5 GKS Yastrshembe
06.08 15:00 UTC Poland. Friendlies
Polonia Bytom 5:1 GKS Yastrshembe
2 Wins
1 Losses
4.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Cracovia
L
12.08 15:00 UTC Poland. Friendlies
Cracovia 0:5 Poloniya BytomPoloniya Bytom
0 Wins
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
5.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPolonia Bytom - Cracovia

Polonia Bytom
1 matches total
Cracovia
Polonia Bytom: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Cracovia: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Poloniya Bytom 5:0 (12.08 15:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (5:0, 12.08 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

12.08 15:00 UTC Poland. Friendlies
Poloniya Bytom
5:0
Krakoviya

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Polonia Bytom vs Cracovia?

By the PropickAI model, Polonia Bytom is favoured — about 52% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Polonia Bytom vs Cracovia?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Polonia Bytom. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Polonia Bytom vs Cracovia start?

August 14, 2026.