AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to CSK VVS Samara. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →Club Friendly Games
Neftyanik Almetyevsk - CSK VVS Samara
Neftyanik Almetyevsk meet CSK VVS Samara on August 13, 2026 in the Club Friendly Games, International.
PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 50% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 CSK VVS Samara — 50%
Model estimate: win Neftyanik Almetyevsk 49.9%, win CSK VVS Samara 50.1%. Model favourite — CSK VVS Samara.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Neftyanik Almetevsk: forma PPVVP (2-3)
- • liniya na pik P2 4.30→6.10 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
- • Model backs TsSK VVS Samara: probability 50% vs 16% on the line (odds 6.10)
- • edge over the line +34 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 2:3
- • Handicap F2 +1.5: score forecast 2:3 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 2.02).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Neftyanik Almetyevsk - CSK VVS Samara August 13, 2026
Hockey math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Glicko: Neftyanik Almetyevsk 49.9% / CSK VVS Samara 50.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Head-to-head
Team form
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
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Neftyanik Almetyevsk - CSK VVS Samara
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.30 76.9% | |
| 7.90 12.7% | |
| 1.60 62.5% | |
| 3.35 29.9% | |
| 2.45 40.8% | |
| 9.00 11.1% | |
| 4.20 23.8% | |
| 9.00 11.1% | |
| 3.30 30.3% | |
| 3.20 31.3% | |
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 2.20 45.5% | |
| 1.28 78.1% | |
| 1.48 67.6% | |
| 1.04 96.2% | |
| 1.19 84.0% | |
| 1.04 96.2% | |
| 2.85 35.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.07 93.5% |
| Over 3 | 1.12 89.3% |
| Over 3.5 | 1.18 84.8% |
| Over 4 | 1.20 83.3% |
| Over 4.5 | 1.23 81.3% |
| Over 5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 5.5 | 1.15 87.0% |
| Over 6 | 2.25 44.4% |
| Over 6.5 | 3.25 30.8% |
| Over 7 | 3.55 28.2% |
| Over 7.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| Over 8.5 | 7.70 13.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 6.60 15.2% |
| Under 3 | 5.30 18.9% |
| Under 3.5 | 4.30 23.3% |
| Under 4 | 3.90 25.6% |
| Under 4.5 | 3.75 26.7% |
| Under 5 | 2.25 44.4% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 11.50 8.7% | |
| X | 1.05 95.2% |
| 25.00 4.0% |
Neftyanik Almetyevsk
Ak Bars 🇷🇺
Ugra Khanty-Mansiysk
Ugra Khanty-Mansiysk
KhK Yugra
Ugra Khanty-Mansiysk
CSK VVS Samara
Ak Bars 🇷🇺
Ugra Khanty-Mansiysk
Ugra Khanty-Mansiysk
Full head-to-head historyNeftyanik Almetyevsk - CSK VVS Samara
Match history
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The Neftyanik Almetyevsk - CSK VVS Samara breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Neftyanik Almetyevsk vs CSK VVS Samara?
By the PropickAI model, CSK VVS Samara is favoured — about 50% win probability.
What does PropickAI predict for Neftyanik Almetyevsk vs CSK VVS Samara?
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to CSK VVS Samara. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
When does Neftyanik Almetyevsk vs CSK VVS Samara start?
August 13, 2026.
VHL