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Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6
Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6 International
25.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6

Hitrye Lisy - Stalnye Topory

International Hockey
Hitrye Lisy
Hitrye Lisy
4 : 7
Finished
Stalnye Topory
Stalnye Topory
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Stalnye Topory52%

1 · Hitrye Lisy48.4%
2 · Stalnye Topory51.6%

Model estimate: win Hitrye Lisy 48.4%, win Stalnye Topory 51.6%. Model favourite — Stalnye Topory.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Stalnye Topory (odds2.18) Score 2:3 Under 5.5 (odds1.65) Handicap H2 +-0 (odds1.82) confidence 52% ✓ outcome correct
  • Khitrye Lisy: forma VVPPN (2-1)
  • Stalnye Topory: forma VVPVP (3-2)
  • Model backs Stalnye Topory: probability 52% vs 46% on the line (odds 2.18)
  • edge over the line +6 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 2:3
  • Total: Under 5.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
  • at line 5.5 (odds 1.65)
  • Handicap F2 +0: score forecast 2:3 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.82).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hitrye Lisy - Stalnye Topory July 25, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Hitrye Lisy 48.4% / Stalnye Topory 51.6%

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 2.25 → 2.25
1X2 X 5.30 → 5.30
1X2 2 2.18 → 2.18

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
Match center

Hitrye Lisy - Stalnye Topory

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 4:7
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 51.6% fact: away hit / ROI 118.0% / Brier 0.469 / LogLoss 0.662
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 50.4% fact: away hit / ROI 118.0% / Brier 0.491 / LogLoss 0.684
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Hitrye Lisy 40.7% 48.4%
Draw 17.3% -
Stalnye Topory 42.0% 51.6% market and model agree
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 48.4% / 51.6% probabilities
Rating 1,460 / 1,578 Hitrye Lisy / Stalnye Topory
RD 113 / 154 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,234-1,686 / 1,270-1,885 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 48.4%
Handicap
2 0 1.75 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 1.98 Fonbet · line only
Over 11.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.19 84.0%
1.22 82.0%
1.50 66.7%
1.40 71.4%
1.09 91.7%
2.50 40.0%
1.95 51.3%
4.15 24.1%
3.85 26.0%
2.45 40.8%
2.75 36.4%
6.10 16.4%
1.47 68.0%
1.75 57.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.10 90.9%
Over 3.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 4.5 1.20 83.3%
Over 5.5 1.25 80.0%
Over 6.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 7.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 8.5 1.25 80.0%
Over 9.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 10.5 1.98 50.5%
Over 11.5 1.25 80.0%
Over 12.5 3.40 29.4%
Over 13.5 3.30 30.3%
Under 2.5 5.80 17.2%
Under 3.5 3.15 31.8%
Under 10.5 1.72 58.1%
Under 11.5 3.55 28.2%
Under 12.5 1.27 78.7%
Under 13.5 1.28 78.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.02 98.0%
X 17.00 5.9%
65.00 1.5%
Match center
Hitrye Lisy
W L W
25.07 07:00 UTC Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6
Hitrye Lisy 6:4 Metkie Strelki
18.07 08:00 UTC Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6
Hitrye Lisy 0:5 Stalnye topory
18.07 07:00 UTC Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6
Hitrye Lisy 3:1 Ledovye Spartantsy
2 Wins
1 Losses
3.0 Scored
3.3 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Stalnye Topory
W W L W L
24.07 07:00 UTC+0 Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №5
Stalnye Topory 3:1 Svirepye Ezhi
24.07 05:00 UTC+0 Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №5
Stalnye Topory 2:0 Metkie Strelki
22.07 06:00 UTC+0 Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №3
Stalnye Topory 3:4 Svirepye Ezhi
22.07 05:00 UTC+0 Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №3
Stalnye Topory 4:3 Metkie Strelki
20.07 07:00 UTC+0 Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №1
Stalnye Topory 1:2 Svirepye Ezhi
3 Wins
2 Losses
2.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
60% Win percentage