Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6
Hitrye Lisy - Stalnye Topory
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Stalnye Topory — 52%
Model estimate: win Hitrye Lisy 48.4%, win Stalnye Topory 51.6%. Model favourite — Stalnye Topory.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Khitrye Lisy: forma VVPPN (2-1)
- • Stalnye Topory: forma VVPVP (3-2)
- • Model backs Stalnye Topory: probability 52% vs 46% on the line (odds 2.18)
- • edge over the line +6 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 2:3
- • Total: Under 5.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
- • at line 5.5 (odds 1.65)
- • Handicap F2 +0: score forecast 2:3 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.82).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Hitrye Lisy - Stalnye Topory July 25, 2026
Hockey math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Glicko: Hitrye Lisy 48.4% / Stalnye Topory 51.6%
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Hitrye Lisy - Stalnye Topory
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.19 84.0% | |
| 1.22 82.0% | |
| 1.50 66.7% | |
| 1.40 71.4% | |
| 1.09 91.7% | |
| 2.50 40.0% | |
| 1.95 51.3% | |
| 4.15 24.1% | |
| 3.85 26.0% | |
| 2.45 40.8% | |
| 2.75 36.4% | |
| 6.10 16.4% | |
| 1.47 68.0% | |
| 1.75 57.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.10 90.9% |
| Over 3.5 | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 4.5 | 1.20 83.3% |
| Over 5.5 | 1.25 80.0% |
| Over 6.5 | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 7.5 | 1.35 74.1% |
| Over 8.5 | 1.25 80.0% |
| Over 9.5 | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 10.5 | 1.98 50.5% |
| Over 11.5 | 1.25 80.0% |
| Over 12.5 | 3.40 29.4% |
| Over 13.5 | 3.30 30.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 5.80 17.2% |
| Under 3.5 | 3.15 31.8% |
| Under 10.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
| Under 11.5 | 3.55 28.2% |
| Under 12.5 | 1.27 78.7% |
| Under 13.5 | 1.28 78.1% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| X | 17.00 5.9% |
| 65.00 1.5% |
Hitrye Lisy
Stalnye Topory
Full head-to-head historyHitrye Lisy - Stalnye Topory
Match history
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- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form