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Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6
Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6 International
01.08.2026 07:00 UTC Match prediction
01.08.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6

International

Metkie Strelki - Hitrye Lisy

International Hockey
Metkie Strelki
Metkie Strelki
2 : 2
Finished
Hitrye Lisy
Hitrye Lisy

Metkie Strelki face Hitrye Lisy on August 1, 2026 in the Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Metkie Strelki 0-0-1, Hitrye Lisy 2-0-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 50% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Metkie Strelki — 50%

1 · Metkie Strelki50.2%
2 · Hitrye Lisy49.8%

Model estimate: win Metkie Strelki 50.2%, win Hitrye Lisy 49.8%. Model favourite — Metkie Strelki.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Hitrye Lisy (odds2.05) Score 2:3 Under 6.5 (odds1.85) ✗ Handicap H2 +-0 (odds1.72) confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Metkie Strelki: forma PPPVP (1-4)
  • • Khitrye Lisy: forma VVPPP (2-3)
  • • ochnye 1-2 (za 3)
  • • Model backs Khitrye Lisy: probability 50% vs 49% on the line (odds 2.05)
  • • edge over the line +2 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 2:3
  • • Total: Under 6.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
  • • at line 6.5 (odds 1.85)
  • • Handicap F2 +0: score forecast 2:3 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.72).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Metkie Strelki - Hitrye Lisy August 1, 2026

Hockey math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hitrye Lisy.

Line favourite Fonbet: Hitrye Lisy. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.25 / X 5.30 / 2 2.18
  • Glicko: Metkie Strelki 50.2% / X - / Hitrye Lisy 49.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.2%
1 40.7%
X 17.3%
2 42.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 2.35 ↑ 2.55
1X2 X 5.60 ↓ 5.40
1X2 2 2.05 ↓ 1.93

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 07:00 UTC
Market 1 40.7% @ 2.25 / X 17.3% @ 5.30 / 2 42.0% @ 2.18
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Metkie Strelki - Hitrye Lisy

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 3 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 1/4 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Metkie Strelki 35.8% 50.2% Glicko contrarian
Draw 16.9% -
Hitrye Lisy 47.3% 49.8% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 50.2% / 49.8% probabilities
Rating 1,415 / 1,455 Metkie Strelki / Hitrye Lisy
RD 97 / 84 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,221-1,609 / 1,288-1,622 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.18 Fonbet · weak value +8.5% · model 49.8%
X 5.30 Fonbet · line only
1 2.25 Fonbet · value +13.0% · model 50.2%
Handicap
2 0 1.82 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.88 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 3.5 1.23 Fonbet · line only
Over 4.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.33 75.2%
1.13 88.5%
3.15 31.8%
5.40 18.5%
4.10 24.4%
1.88 53.2%
3.05 32.8%
5.10 19.6%
1.30 76.9%
1.12 89.3%
1.20 83.3%
1.82 55.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 3.5 1.23 81.3%
Over 4.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 5.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 6.5 3.05 32.8%
Over 7.5 4.80 20.8%
Over 8.5 3.90 25.6%
Over 9.5 5.80 17.2%
Under 3.5 3.75 26.7%
Under 4.5 2.35 42.6%
Under 5.5 1.65 60.6%
Under 6.5 1.32 75.8%
Under 7.5 1.14 87.7%
Under 8.5 1.20 83.3%
Under 9.5 1.10 90.9%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
2.25 44.4%
X 5.30 18.9%
2.18 45.9%
Match center
Metkie Strelki
L
25.07 07:00 UTC Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6
Metkie Strelki 4:6 Khitrye Lisy
0 Wins
1 Losses
4.0 Scored
6.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Hitrye Lisy
L W L W
25.07 08:00 UTC Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6
Hitrye Lisy 4:7 Stalnye Topory
25.07 07:00 UTC Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6
Hitrye Lisy 6:4 Metkie Strelki
18.07 08:00 UTC Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6
Hitrye Lisy 0:5 Stalnye topory
18.07 07:00 UTC Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6
Hitrye Lisy 3:1 Ledovye Spartantsy
2 Wins
2 Losses
3.3 Scored
4.3 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMetkie Strelki - Hitrye Lisy

Metkie Strelki
1 matches total
Hitrye Lisy
Metkie Strelki: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Hitrye Lisy: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Khitrye Lisy 4:6 (25.07 07:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 10 goals (4:6, 25.07 07:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 6
6 Goals conceded 4

Match history

25.07 07:00 UTC Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6
Metkie Strelki
4:6
Khitrye Lisy